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  • #127,881
  • Mar 3, 2021 3:24pm Mar 3, 2021 3:24pm
3rd fibo has not completed the down D. It has however made a 70-70 push back up to form todays high.
The Inside fibo Has hit It's min pullback level C 50 and looking for the D 50 to the downside.
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MY GRID. Markets are NOT random.
  • #127,882
  • Mar 3, 2021 3:41pm Mar 3, 2021 3:41pm
Quoting tonyb123
3rd fibo has not completed the down D. It has however made a 70-70 push back up to form todays high. The Inside fibo Has hit It's min pullback level C 50 and looking for the D 50 to the downside. {image}
i dun rule out downside also. If retracement 12042 taken out, still not too late to look for 1.1910s..
  • #127,883
  • Edited 4:41pm Mar 3, 2021 3:45pm | Edited 4:41pm
Quoting blurbear
{quote} i dun rule out downside also. If retracement 12042 taken out, still not too late to look for 1.1910s..
I am bullish based on Daily fibo, looking for the stop hunt 1st then the trend change above the 3rd fibo high.
Here is my Daily outlook: looooong term.

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Here's monthly outlook, looks ridiculous but numbers don't lie.
Monthly and weekly look the same it will be in this range (gold brackets for at least 4 more years) D take profit at least another 10 years unless Europe falls off the map.
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MY GRID. Markets are NOT random.
  • #127,884
  • Mar 3, 2021 3:45pm Mar 3, 2021 3:45pm
Good day guys, its been a while now... Well the important levels to look out for tomorrow are 1.2050 area to buy targeting 50pips. Nevertheless we are bearish in long term, and I expect a massive drop around 1.210 - 1.212 area..... These areas are key for bears..... GOODLUCK
  • #127,885
  • Mar 3, 2021 4:00pm Mar 3, 2021 4:00pm
Quoting tonyb123
{quote} I am bullish based on Daily fibo, looking for the stop hunt 1st then the trend change above the 3rd fibo high. Here is my Daily outlook: looooong term. {image}
i am not that bullish. Bearish divergence on weeklies suggest deeper sell down before bull emerges. Anyway, just my thoughts only...see what happened the last time divergence occurred.
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  • #127,886
  • Mar 3, 2021 4:02pm Mar 3, 2021 4:02pm
Quoting tush1822
While US 10 year bond yield is taking Breathe under 1.5%. For today it looks the target can be 1.21630 {image}
As US 10 year yield is again actively going up from 1.415 to 1.486 !! Dollar is again become active.
Clear rejection at 1.20870 and showing signs of advancing towards 1.20115 or even lower in Tokyo and London session.
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  • #127,887
  • Mar 3, 2021 4:48pm Mar 3, 2021 4:48pm
Hey guys, how are you all doing, sorry for the inactive updates, been busy with school project.

Meanwhile, the most important levels I see tomorrow is at 1.20528-1.20508 for buys and 1.210xx for sells.

The direction is a bit confusing at the moment because my indicator is telling me buy the dip while price action is saying sell the high


If the buy will work out, the target is 1.21260

What nullifies the buy will be if we take out today's (yesterday's) low
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
  • #127,888
  • Mar 3, 2021 6:19pm Mar 3, 2021 6:19pm
Today was an absolutely disastrous day for me, I lost all my profits from the last 2 days. All my trades got stopped 1-3 pips before reversing, I took a final massive long that just got stopped at 1.2045 after this extremely fast drop.

now I see it bouncing off of 1.2043 my long target was 1.21258 where I would’ve shorted. I’m hoping price just crashes from here so I don’t have to see me getting stopped perfectly at the bottom , but at the same time I won’t get my short that I want.

I’m too scared to enter back long now , had I just not messed with my original long trade and not moved my stop I’d be in profit. This is what I deserve for making emotional decisions and not sticking to my plan
  • #127,889
  • Mar 3, 2021 6:52pm Mar 3, 2021 6:52pm
My red line is where I expected price to hold if we were going back up (the break of the megaphone back inside) and I expected resistance at 1.20779 which resisted twice, I didn't expect price to come back to my redline but it did. Now it dropped hard and my stop was the black line (underneath the support line, the light blue horizontal line is where I expected the worst case drop scenario to go to as an order block) , but no matter where I put my stop price always manages to hit it by 1 pip. If price breaks above my red line as support and we actually manage to break 1.20779, I'm gonna be so pissed.
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  • #127,890
  • Mar 3, 2021 8:02pm Mar 3, 2021 8:02pm
Quoting Austyno
Hey guys, how are you all doing, sorry for the inactive updates, been busy with school project. Meanwhile, the most important levels I see tomorrow is at 1.20528-1.20508 for buys and 1.210xx for sells. The direction is a bit confusing at the moment because my indicator is telling me buy the dip while price action is saying sell the high If the buy will work out, the target is 1.21260 What nullifies the buy will be if we take out today's (yesterday's) low
Bought @ 1.20508
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
  • #127,891
  • Mar 3, 2021 8:30pm Mar 3, 2021 8:30pm
Quoting tonyb123
{quote} I am bullish based on Daily fibo, looking for the stop hunt 1st then the trend change above the 3rd fibo high. Here is my Daily outlook: looooong term. {image} Here's monthly outlook, looks ridiculous but numbers don't lie. Monthly and weekly look the same it will be in this range (gold brackets for at least 4 more years) D take profit at least another 10 years unless Europe falls off the map. {image}
Not suggesting it will fall off the map, just a fall to wave 4 of previous impulse wave..1.16s??
.
  • #127,892
  • Mar 3, 2021 9:57pm Mar 3, 2021 9:57pm
My Plan for the Day
Jobless claims at 8:30 EST
Powell speaks at 12:05 EST
1.21 rejected yesterday, killing that upside momentum after the break of 1.2069.
1.20 is still a level to break and close under. Until then I'm expecting a range bound market.
The pair looks weak right now, but the scars I got from selling near the lows of range bound markets in the past keep me wary while still in the lower half of 1.1950 and 1.2250.
Day Trade Plan
If yesterday's low is broken, looking for buy setups to occur into S1 around 1.2020. Looking for short setups near 1.2080.
Swing Trade Plan
Not much, got the long still open from yesterday. Will get stopped out if the weak tape continues. If 1.20 holds for another day or so and the pair can put in some bullish support bars. Then I'll add in on a setup/break above 1.21 and target the upper portion of the range.
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  • #127,893
  • Mar 3, 2021 10:07pm Mar 3, 2021 10:07pm
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  • #127,894
  • Edited 10:35pm Mar 3, 2021 10:10pm | Edited 10:35pm
If today break bellow 1.2009 its bears for me

ADP NFP Negative Data

If NFP Data bellow ADP NFP Data its long for EUR, But we need to see unemployment data today.
  • #127,895
  • Mar 3, 2021 10:20pm Mar 3, 2021 10:20pm
Weak...may have to flip
  • #127,896
  • Mar 4, 2021 12:50am Mar 4, 2021 12:50am
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collect short till 1.2080
asia session was not able to push price above usa session close 1.2060
all prices above 1.2060 till 1.2080 could see a return to 1.2060
the fast sell (look at the time it moved from 1.2060 to 1.2044) is suspicious say some
Trends have a higher probability of continuing than not.
  • #127,897
  • Mar 4, 2021 12:53am Mar 4, 2021 12:53am
The big difference between being at 1.1950 the last time and now is the location of the E-89
Sure, double bottom, be my guest!
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  • #127,898
  • Mar 4, 2021 12:56am Mar 4, 2021 12:56am
Quoting macdulio
The big difference between being at 1.1950 the last time and now is the location of the E-89 Sure, double bottom, be my guest! {image}
Hello, can i ask what trading techniques are you using? Thanks.
  • #127,899
  • Mar 4, 2021 1:05am Mar 4, 2021 1:05am
Quoting NewbieTrad3r
{quote} Hello, can i ask what trading techniques are you using? Thanks.
sent you an email
  • #127,900
  • Mar 4, 2021 1:10am Mar 4, 2021 1:10am
Quoting Kyuu
Today was an absolutely disastrous day for me, I lost all my profits from the last 2 days. All my trades got stopped 1-3 pips before reversing, I took a final massive long that just got stopped at 1.2045 after this extremely fast drop. now I see it bouncing off of 1.2043 my long target was 1.21258 where I would’ve shorted. I’m hoping price just crashes from here so I don’t have to see me getting stopped perfectly at the bottom , but at the same time I won’t get my short that I want. I’m too scared to enter back long now , had I just not messed with...
Hardest part of trading for me, controlling emotions. I'm still trying to get a handle on 'overconfidence' trades where I feel indestructible after a series of wins. It's a lot easier to lose money than make it too, funny how a weeks worth of gains can go up in smoke in a matter of minutes if you're not careful. Actually started a written checklist system to give me a moment to evaluate things, sounds nuts but seems to be working. I ask myself if I could only take ten trades this year would this be one of them-those setups come along more often than you think
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