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  • #126,681
  • Feb 14, 2021 10:00am Feb 14, 2021 10:00am
Fundamental forcasting
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...8#post13407948
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #126,682
  • Feb 14, 2021 11:27am Feb 14, 2021 11:27am
Quoting newbegger
{quote} The long term trend IMHO is up, but the medium term trend is down with LH's and LL's. I expect a shoulder test to the H&S where I will start shorting, around 1.2070 area stops above 1.2170. Targeting 1.1888 area to begin squaring up and out of all in your area around 1.1777. {image}
A little more hopeful now as Eurozone struggling more than USA with SARS-2 issues (fundamental).
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The chart shows a long tail on Friday and it may be pointing the way (down), or, showing that buyers are in control (up). I am still holding small short from 1.2077 and never added to this position.
Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #126,683
  • Feb 14, 2021 12:13pm Feb 14, 2021 12:13pm
Tomorrow seems to be a ranging day with small daily candle due to USD/CNY bank holiday.
  • #126,684
  • Feb 14, 2021 12:16pm Feb 14, 2021 12:16pm
I can't think of a scenario when 1.2130 does not get re-tested first, but it may fail in a few more pips in a capital manner.
There is 1.2141 and 1.1255, 61 and 66 for the next levels.

Everybody and their grandma are convinced that inflation is coming in the US.
Japan has been in a deflation from the 90s and they are not doing anything differently.

DXY is going to rally back to beyond the 103 high, and the reason would be the bond market rallying due to the rates going negative
(it took 2 weeks to get from 95 to 103 at the last EURUSD liquidity event.)

I don't think much time left before this plays out, perhaps by the end of March it would be there.

Watch out for the thin trading on Monday due to President's day.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #126,685
  • Feb 14, 2021 3:34pm Feb 14, 2021 3:34pm
Quoting macdulio
I can't think of a scenario when 1.2130 does not get re-tested first, but it may fail in a few more pips in a capital manner. There is 1.2141 and 1.1255, 61 and 66 for the next levels. Everybody and their grandma are convinced that inflation is coming in the US. Japan has been in a deflation from the 90s and they are not doing anything differently. DXY is going to rally back to beyond the 103 high, and the reason would be the bond market rallying due to the rates going negative (it took 2 weeks to get from 95 to 103 at the last EURUSD liquidity...
can I ask where I can find the information about U.S bond? Thank you in advance.
  • #126,686
  • Feb 14, 2021 4:04pm Feb 14, 2021 4:04pm
Quoting RyuChym
{quote} can I ask where I can find the information about U.S bond? Thank you in advance.
Steven Van Meter on Youtube
  • #126,687
  • Feb 14, 2021 6:22pm Feb 14, 2021 6:22pm
Quoting mysterio
{quote} If I can get 2xR per day i'm happy, so usually around 20 pips for me. Sometimes I'll stop after 1-1.5xR. Typically might risk 2-2.5% per trade which might be on the high side for some people but fine for me. I did have an exceptional day on Friday with 85 pips. I'm just scalping the 5m chart, in and out with tight stop loss. Ideal for me is just 1 deal a day, maybe 2 or 3 max. I know for the two markets I follow if i'm patient there will be an opportunity every day to grab 20 pips easily. This may sound a paltry amount to some people but...

Couldn't agree more. I've only recently crossed into being able make profitable trades regularly. More trades = stress.

20 pips, I hear you. Being willing to settle, you get the satisfaction of your account increasing.
  • #126,688
  • Feb 14, 2021 7:15pm Feb 14, 2021 7:15pm
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  • #126,689
  • Feb 14, 2021 8:12pm Feb 14, 2021 8:12pm
Only buy low till we reach 1.23000 - 23250 tops.
1.22500 possible first target till we reach major resistance.
  • #126,690
  • Feb 14, 2021 11:45pm Feb 14, 2021 11:45pm
Hi traders..

We just arrived at today's critical area 1.2141/44 based on DAILY.. Let's see if there will be rejection or continuation.. Happy trading week to all
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #126,691
  • Feb 15, 2021 12:11am Feb 15, 2021 12:11am
First target 1,2149.
  • #126,692
  • Feb 15, 2021 12:40am Feb 15, 2021 12:40am
My updated Daily S/R levels for today.. Bears might take advantage of US holiday by stalling bulls long enough to kill hopes..
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #126,693
  • Feb 15, 2021 1:32am Feb 15, 2021 1:32am
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  • #126,694
  • Feb 15, 2021 1:43am Feb 15, 2021 1:43am
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  • #126,695
  • Feb 15, 2021 1:56am Feb 15, 2021 1:56am
Dont be in a hurry. Unless you see a 1hr closes below 1.2128, or better 1.2121, dont enter sells.
  • #126,696
  • Feb 15, 2021 2:31am Feb 15, 2021 2:31am
I'm longing for some profits...
but, you know me, either way it's fine.
Practitioner of the cryptic trading arts
  • #126,697
  • Feb 15, 2021 2:46am Feb 15, 2021 2:46am
looking bullish, next res level on the 1.22 area
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TMT Scalping System (Best system on FF)
  • #126,698
  • Feb 15, 2021 2:46am Feb 15, 2021 2:46am
sorts up to 1.211 should be ok. overall i consider 4hr to be bullish.

i wouldnt take swing sorts for the time being.

similar pa to 1 octomber 2020
price should go to 1.23 and look from there for sorts.

trade safe
offering my system to copy trade. check my link
  • #126,699
  • Feb 15, 2021 2:46am Feb 15, 2021 2:46am
Quoting Traderview
Dont be in a hurry. Unless you see a 1hr closes below 1.2128, or better 1.2121, dont enter sells.
Yes sure
  • #126,700
  • Feb 15, 2021 2:53am Feb 15, 2021 2:53am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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