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I want a losing system

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  • Post #121
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  • Oct 26, 2019 6:24am Oct 26, 2019 6:24am
  •  Adelhard
  • | Additional Username | Joined Feb 2019 | 214 Posts
Quoting auricforecas
Disliked
{quote} Well it's not that hard as it would seem... you can check my TP20SL20 or SINGLE STRIKE thread.. that I might join/move soon... Basically to get 100% return per trade... although very risky one... One would need TP22pips at 500:1.. or TP222 at 50:1... Full account IN.... The trick then is to either STOP... or see how high is one able to roll it, again and again.. until the FAIL (that will happen, the challenge is to PULL-OUT as close before it as possible)... Many achieved this but then threw it back to the market... Since...
Ignored
Interesting; so what’s the update on that 100% profit-target trade? Keep continuing?
 
 
  • Post #122
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  • Edited at 7:07am Oct 26, 2019 6:40am | Edited at 7:07am
  •  auricforecas
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Still a total mystery | 3,575 Posts
Quoting Adelhard
Disliked
{quote} Interesting; so what’s the update on that 100% profit-target trade? Keep continuing?
Ignored
It already passed 100% (so TP20SL20 passed) It peaked 300%+ (SINGLE STRIKE territory) It might go to 500%+ (what we are looking for in SINGLE STRIKE type) but I won't advice it (not saying it wouldn't), since I am done advising in that particular market... Specially, because it might be dangerous for people to enter NOW (at that very high-risk setup)... but if they were be already in, since the time I predicted... they would be close to 300% right this exact time (market close)... so for them it might be much greater sense to maybe wait for 500%+ per this trade Up to them. However I might start new/joined thread for this by mid of NOV.. where we might harvest this... just had to see what market would be best suitable... Would be nice right?

To make like n=5 in a row... TP20SL20s... Which would get us 100USD->about 2.5k USD
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=100*1.9%5E5 So the question would be, how many of those can happen out of X trials... So are they repeatable enough to pay for missed trials... Or we might trade only high-certain ones...

This is what I would be looking for.. n=5-7... trading "high certainty" ones... So that would mean, if we can make them clean... so only trade precise and almost "not uncertain ones".. they do happen, just maybe not so frequent as traders one (some want like 5 those per day, so they can skip first 2-3 to check the waters and then jump in till n=10+... yeah, if it could be that easy.... Ok so at n=5-7... that would mean at 100USD in... we get get to 2.5k-(almost)9k...
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=100*1.9%5E5
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=100*1.9%5E7

MAYBE! there might be 3rd option... higher TPs in a ROW... For example TP25SL20... (500:1, account=position, and stop-out should be 10%)
at TP25SL20.. this would mean...
100USD->4-19k in n=5-7 trades... Nice right
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=100*2.12%5E5

So it all comes down to statitics, combinatorics... to see what type of TP, SL, LEV... would seem best for this 100% (or more) per trade trades... aka burners.
To be continued.. by mid of NOV hopefully... To see which market might be best suitable for this...

BTW... "Holy Grail" of this might be even TP20SL10... at 1:1000 But in BETA testing But check this:
n=5 (5x TP20SL10 at 1:1000)
100USD->17k USD
n=7
100USD->134k USD!!!
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=100*2.8%5E5
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=100*2.8%5E7

Calculated quickly... haven't even double checked, but you get the idea I hope... But it is risky af.. need to be good at a lot of things.. in fact skilled af in quite many.. but the award is worth it..

To others also:
BACK on topic... There are quite some members that give signals... so you would just have to check their past predictions, time-stamped... compared to REALITY, market data in the after-math.. and you might find who is giving correct predictions... and maybe follow or who is giving very bad one and follow-hedge them
Also there are quite some many TEs... where you might HEDGE the really bad ones... And as I stated... Deriving this from pure stat.... They say % of losing traders are quite high.. which might implicate that one might have better chance at winning if one would just (randomly) follow some member and HEDGE his trades
Can you afford to take that chance?
CHEETAH LIVE TE Return This Year: na
 
 
  • Post #123
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  • Oct 27, 2019 11:02am Oct 27, 2019 11:02am
  •  Adelhard
  • | Additional Username | Joined Feb 2019 | 214 Posts
Quoting auricforecas
Disliked
{quote} It already passed 100% (so TP20SL20 passed) It peaked 300%+ (SINGLE STRIKE territory) It might go to 500%+ (what we are looking for in SINGLE STRIKE type) but I won't advice it (not saying it wouldn't), since I am done advising in that particular market... Specially, because it might be dangerous for people to enter NOW (at that very high-risk setup)... but if they were be already in, since the time I predicted... they would be close to 300% right this exact time (market close)... so for them it might be much greater sense to maybe...
Ignored
That’s really awesome mate! I really enjoyed your long-detail response!
 
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  • Post #124
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  • Nov 22, 2019 9:37am Nov 22, 2019 9:37am
  •  MarkFxAnde
  • | Additional Username | Joined Mar 2016 | 641 Posts
Quoting auricforecas
Disliked
{quote} It already passed 100% (so TP20SL20 passed) It peaked 300%+ (SINGLE STRIKE territory) It might go to 500%+ (what we are looking for in SINGLE STRIKE type) but I won't advice it (not saying it wouldn't), since I am done advising in that particular market... Specially, because it might be dangerous for people to enter NOW (at that very high-risk setup)... but if they were be already in, since the time I predicted... they would be close to 300% right this exact time (market close)... so for them it might be much greater sense to maybe...
Ignored
good summary with more information , thanks for your nice post. great
 
 
  • Post #125
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  • Nov 22, 2019 1:19pm Nov 22, 2019 1:19pm
  •  auricforecas
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Still a total mystery | 3,575 Posts
Quoting Adelhard
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{quote} That’s really awesome mate! I really enjoyed your long-detail response!
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Quoting MarkFxAnde
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{quote} good summary with more information , thanks for your nice post. great
Ignored
Tnx If you guys like the 100%+/trade idea, not to mention the "holy grail" of rolling 100USD or 1k to a million or "at least" few k or let's say 100k...
No doubt with many loses/trials along the way.. I would suggest you visit my CHEETAH thread which can be accessible from either Metals forum or Energy... depends which you visit, links here (via EE forum) or here (via MM forum)... As for now, there were few trades posted and also some examples of what it takes to make 100%+/trade... Hopefully we will harvest a lot of absolute money.... Also you can learn there that win-rate (alone) is not that important in the end-game, at that strategy... you will also see the difference of win/lose sequences at same win-rate... So welcome and I hope you can contribute the stat-buildup at least... If you can bring some signals also, that would be awesome...Or in worst case, we will have the "losing system" that others can hedge maybe and become rich...
Can you afford to take that chance?
CHEETAH LIVE TE Return This Year: na
 
 
  • Post #126
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  • Edited at 12:51am Nov 27, 2019 12:35am | Edited at 12:51am
  •  guttsman007
  • | Joined Feb 2018 | Status: Member | 74 Posts
Quoting Duncan
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Does anyone have a copper bottomed losing system? I am looking for a system that can guarantee losses 75% time. I have heard claims that Newbies lose their accounts within months. I want to know how to do this every time.
Ignored
If you're planning on using a losing system/EA and swap the trades to make it a winner it won't work. As much as I hate listening to these so called "senior" members, they're right on one account, swapping random still gives you random. The system you're looking for generally needs to have an edge but even that's pushing it. The edge I speak of is basically a system that should win but based on the way the trading logic follows you lose every time instead. Those kinds of systems are as rare as finding the "holy grail" system. Most "edges" people have here simply lose due to market efficiency. If you don't know what that is, please look up and read Market Efficiency Hypothesis and get well-versed in it. It explains why even if there is a "holy grail" it won't be for long due to liquidity issues.

As already stated, turning a losing system into a winning one is a lot more complicated than just inserting a <reverse> trade function. You have to understand the underlying basics of what the system is, why it trades the way it does then contrast it with real live market data. You also have to take into account the spread you pay your broker as well as slippage. I've performed reverse trade functions and even inverted the logics of countless EAs and backtested them from as far back to the ages of dinosaurs for me to confirm that this is indeed sadly the case.
 
 
  • Post #127
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  • Nov 29, 2019 1:19am Nov 29, 2019 1:19am
  •  MarkFxAnde
  • | Additional Username | Joined Mar 2016 | 641 Posts
in order to my trading experience i think if there is no money management , every trading strategy can be a losing system. so build strong money management and bring good profit.
 
 
  • Post #128
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  • Oct 30, 2020 4:08am Oct 30, 2020 4:08am
  •  ViktorDanie
  • | Additional Username | Joined Jul 2020 | 130 Posts
Quoting MarkFxAnde
Disliked
in order to my trading experience i think if there is no money management , every trading strategy can be a losing system. so build strong money management and bring good profit.
Ignored
I think risk management also equally important. Both reduce loses and ensure survival in the market.
 
 
  • Post #129
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  • Nov 6, 2020 12:43am Nov 6, 2020 12:43am
  •  Deepak.Dubey
  • | Additional Username | Joined Apr 2020 | 370 Posts
Quoting MarkFxAnde
Disliked
in order to my trading experience i think if there is no money management , every trading strategy can be a losing system. so build strong money management and bring good profit.
Ignored
Correct, every trading system can be a potentially losing system in the absence of a proper risk management system.
 
 
  • Post #130
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  • Nov 6, 2020 7:50am Nov 6, 2020 7:50am
  •  Majeeda
  • | Additional Username | Joined Sep 2017 | 217 Posts
when you have poor money management system , then all trading approach can be useless , so we have to make sure real money management, otherwsie fall a great trouble.
 
 
  • Post #131
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2020 7:56am Nov 6, 2020 7:56am
  •  HisaoFujioka
  • | Additional Username | Joined Jul 2020 | 131 Posts
Systems do not lose money. It's the use of a system that lose money. Every system works in a specific situation. That's why patience is important. We have not wait until our system shows the trade. Follow the system. Don't make the system follow you.
 
 
  • Post #132
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  • Jan 27, 2021 4:12pm Jan 27, 2021 4:12pm
  •  SamGoi
  • | Additional Username | Joined Aug 2020 | 109 Posts
Interesting, people are looking for a profitable strategy and you are looking for the opposite.
 
 
  • Post #133
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  • Jan 28, 2021 1:41pm Jan 28, 2021 1:41pm
  •  WillGagnon
  • | Additional Username | Joined Jul 2020 | 133 Posts
Scalping is the strategy which is taken by mostly new traders. They use this strategy to make money quickly from the market.
 
 
  • Post #134
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  • Jan 29, 2021 8:31am Jan 29, 2021 8:31am
  •  MarcoDresner
  • | Additional Username | Joined Jul 2020 | 131 Posts
If we talk about technical aspects, every pair has its own reasons to move. Sometimes same strategy works on different pairs but not all the time. But we try to use the same strategy all the time. That's a mistake.
 
 
  • Post #135
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  • Jan 29, 2021 12:43pm Jan 29, 2021 12:43pm
  •  Niels.Lar
  • | Additional Username | Joined Jul 2020 | 130 Posts
Quoting WillGagnon
Disliked
Scalping is the strategy which is taken by mostly new traders. They use this strategy to make money quickly from the market.
Ignored

You can both earn and lose money in short period of time with this kind of trading strategy.
 
 
  • Post #136
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  • Last Post: Feb 1, 2021 8:05am Feb 1, 2021 8:05am
  •  NeilWagner
  • | Additional Username | Joined Mar 2017 | 484 Posts
in spite of having most powerful analyzing trade knowledge no nway to avoid losses , so we the traders first of all have to take easily this losses.
 
 
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