Billytt Die happy trading e/j daily breakout | Page 2799 | Forex Factory

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Billytt Die happy trading e/j daily breakout

  • #55,961
  • Jan 26, 2021 8:03am Jan 26, 2021 8:03am
Quoting Fagin
{quote} Pivots doing well today, Claudia
Definitely 'back to the pivot' day and up to 00. ADR at 126%.
  • #55,962
  • Jan 26, 2021 8:13am Jan 26, 2021 8:13am
Quoting claudia1
{quote} Definitely 'back to the pivot' day and up to 00. ADR at 126%.
Yep, FTSE moving in tandem for a change too..
  • #55,963
  • Jan 26, 2021 8:14am Jan 26, 2021 8:14am
46 trades today yaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay with 9 fails.
shorted cable then longed it,
same with dax, down then up.
all finished now,
SEE LINE,TRADE LINE..PRICE HAS TO GO SOMEWHERE,,, PRICE WILL GO SOMEWHERE.
  • #55,964
  • Jan 26, 2021 8:16am Jan 26, 2021 8:16am
Quoting billytt
46 trades today yaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay with 9 fails. shorted cable then longed it, same with dax, down then up. all finished now,
46! You guzzling Red Bull today Billy?!
  • #55,965
  • Jan 26, 2021 8:20am Jan 26, 2021 8:20am
Quoting Lineseeker
{quote} nice birdland - Thank you for sharing i’ve read some of your old posts on Capt Billy’s thread and found your comments on stats helpful. I would really appreciate some tips on how to efficiently capture stats - for instance the one you made on E/U was insightful once again thanks one and all -
you are welcome, just keep on reading. the statistics on EU i found on another thread who is dead now.
that happens to most threads, but you can also find nuggets in a disused mine...

i just see interesting things, sleep, trade, sleep, trade and after a few months or so i wake up in the night and it makes "click" and i know what to do with all the stuff learned (especially) here and on ff. but here is a special universum inside ff, belive me;-)
trading is like dancing, don't think and just listen to the music!
  • #55,966
  • Jan 26, 2021 10:15am Jan 26, 2021 10:15am
Quoting claudia1
{quote} No problem - here you go. {file} {file}
Thanks.
  • #55,967
  • Jan 26, 2021 11:10am Jan 26, 2021 11:10am
For you Cable traders -if only it did this every day, eh what !
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Cable1708.png Size: 561 KB
every Saint has a past. Every Sinner has a Future
  • #55,968
  • Jan 26, 2021 6:36pm Jan 26, 2021 6:36pm
Quoting birdland
{quote} you are welcome, just keep on reading. the statistics on EU i found on another thread who is dead now. that happens to most threads, but you can also find nuggets in a disused mine... i just see interesting things, sleep, trade, sleep, trade and after a few months or so i wake up in the night and it makes "click" and i know what to do with all the stuff learned (especially) here and on ff. but here is a special universum inside ff, belive me;-)
thanks Birdland, combination of “see a line trade a line” and the intuition you get from experience.

if anyone else has ideas on efficiently capturing stats I would greatly appreciate it
  • #55,969
  • Jan 27, 2021 1:24am Jan 27, 2021 1:24am
Quoting turnip15
For you Cable traders -if only it did this every day, eh what ! {image}
AND a 135 daily range, this is still small from what we are used to see.
SEE LINE,TRADE LINE..PRICE HAS TO GO SOMEWHERE,,, PRICE WILL GO SOMEWHERE.
  • #55,970
  • Jan 27, 2021 2:04am Jan 27, 2021 2:04am
yaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay
SEE LINE,TRADE LINE..PRICE HAS TO GO SOMEWHERE,,, PRICE WILL GO SOMEWHERE.
  • #55,971
  • Jan 27, 2021 2:13am Jan 27, 2021 2:13am
Quoting Lineseeker
{quote} thanks Birdland, combination of “see a line trade a line” and the intuition you get from experience. if anyone else has ideas on efficiently capturing stats I would greatly appreciate it
Hi Lineseeker,

Good question. If you aren't a programmer or have access to one, I recon excel might be your best bet. I simply track a couple of simple line-entry techniques in excel (well.. numbers now) and record maximum positive excursion, maximum negative excursion and a few other things that I like to keep an eye on. I then make a separate table that basically gives me a frequency distribution. This gives you the basics and you can expand this as much as you like.

It is a bit cumbersome and a lot of work if you are going to track many pairs. I would be interested too, to see how others do this : )

Hope it helps, W
  • #55,972
  • Jan 27, 2021 2:26am Jan 27, 2021 2:26am
so far busy morning.
i have scalped 7 winners and 10 losers.
cable and dax. and everything is good.

Cable 08-00 break was good with the drop. i did not trade it lol
SEE LINE,TRADE LINE..PRICE HAS TO GO SOMEWHERE,,, PRICE WILL GO SOMEWHERE.
  • #55,973
  • Jan 27, 2021 2:28am Jan 27, 2021 2:28am
Quoting Wizzlebizzle
{quote} Hi Lineseeker, Good question. If you aren't a programmer or have access to one, I recon excel might be your best bet. I simply track a couple of simple line-entry techniques in excel (well.. numbers now) and record maximum positive excursion, maximum negative excursion and a few other things that I like to keep an eye on. I then make a separate table that basically gives me a frequency distribution. This gives you the basics and you can expand this as much as you like. It is a bit cumbersome and a lot of work if you are going to track many...
thanks W - that’s very useful

frequency distribution being the key according to Captain Billy

Like W would be keen to learn from others as well
  • #55,974
  • Jan 27, 2021 2:36am Jan 27, 2021 2:36am
Quoting Wizzlebizzle
{quote} Hi Lineseeker, Good question. If you aren't a programmer or have access to one, I recon excel might be your best bet. I simply track a couple of simple line-entry techniques in excel (well.. numbers now) and record maximum positive excursion, maximum negative excursion and a few other things that I like to keep an eye on. I then make a separate table that basically gives me a frequency distribution. This gives you the basics and you can expand this as much as you like. It is a bit cumbersome and a lot of work if you are going to track many...
i have taken thousands and thousands of stats all by hand.
i honestly think that this helped me to retain information.

a couple of years ago i had a girl friend who was a Maths Lecturer in a Uni, and she had tons of FD stats copied for me from the uni computor.
This stuff was amazing but most of it was so far over my head. lol
SEE LINE,TRADE LINE..PRICE HAS TO GO SOMEWHERE,,, PRICE WILL GO SOMEWHERE.
  • #55,975
  • Jan 27, 2021 2:37am Jan 27, 2021 2:37am
Quoting Lineseeker
{quote} thanks W - that’s very useful frequency distribution being the key according to Captain Billy Like W would be keen to learn from others as well
FD is the way, the whole world runs off these stats.
SEE LINE,TRADE LINE..PRICE HAS TO GO SOMEWHERE,,, PRICE WILL GO SOMEWHERE.
  • #55,976
  • Jan 27, 2021 3:03am Jan 27, 2021 3:03am
Quoting billytt
{quote} i have taken thousands and thousands of stats all by hand. i honestly think that this helped me to retain information. a couple of years ago i had a girl friend who was a Maths Lecturer in a Uni, and she had tons of FD stats copied for me from the uni computor. This stuff was amazing but most of it was so far over my head. lol

Ah yes, doing by hand is even better imo.. Have stacks of notebooks filled with them.

MIT does a good series of lectures on statistics for free, worth a watch. Though I have to admit I lost them during the intro lol.

Also just missed the second entry of the BillyBar while writing this.
  • #55,977
  • Jan 27, 2021 3:08am Jan 27, 2021 3:08am
Morning. 12-4am range, we’ve had a low break, a high break, and almost another low break. It should make up its mind and either head down to the daily pivot, or up to R1. I think buyers will try to push it up to 1.38 today. I’ll be happy whichever way it goes, as long as it makes around 65-70 pips for the day.
  • #55,978
  • Jan 27, 2021 3:09am Jan 27, 2021 3:09am
Cable.
just watching cable for the scalp breaks.
small daily range so far and no news.
chart copied a couple of minutes ago.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gu 27 01 21 A.png Size: 30 KB
SEE LINE,TRADE LINE..PRICE HAS TO GO SOMEWHERE,,, PRICE WILL GO SOMEWHERE.
  • #55,979
  • Jan 27, 2021 3:10am Jan 27, 2021 3:10am
Quoting ia1979
Morning. 12-4am range, we’ve had a low break, a high break, and almost another low break. It should make up its mind and either head down to the daily pivot, or up to R1. I think buyers will try to push it up to 1.38 today. I’ll be happy whichever way it goes, as long as it makes around 65-70 pips for the day.
we have a good chance of getting the 70, hoping it will double that lol.
SEE LINE,TRADE LINE..PRICE HAS TO GO SOMEWHERE,,, PRICE WILL GO SOMEWHERE.
  • #55,980
  • Jan 27, 2021 3:39am Jan 27, 2021 3:39am
eu scalp, this is showing how my 50 range was hit,
i did take a couple of points but i was concentrating on dax and Cable.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu 27 01 21 B.png Size: 28 KB
the 2 scalp areas are not true scalp breaks, but i do trade them and i will explain soon.

we had a low break and luckily it made the 50 range.
This is what we are hoping to do with dax and cable, a/u etc.

once these areas are made we can trade retrace or follow on.
But really we should close down monitors and have a coffee and chill.
SEE LINE,TRADE LINE..PRICE HAS TO GO SOMEWHERE,,, PRICE WILL GO SOMEWHERE.
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