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  • Post #125,001
  • Quote
  • Jan 26, 2021 1:25am Jan 26, 2021 1:25am
  •  mshady
  • | Joined Mar 2020 | Status: Member | 88 Posts
EUR COT data shows bullish week.
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...4#post13374384
 
 
  • Post #125,002
  • Quote
  • Edited at 2:08am Jan 26, 2021 1:58am | Edited at 2:08am
  •  v2vboni
  • Joined Sep 2015 | Status: ob-la-di, ob-la-da, life goes on... | 3,351 Posts
Quoting mshady
Disliked
EUR COT data shows bullish week.
Ignored
Quoting mshady
Disliked
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...4#post13374384
Ignored


CoT data (Futures) is issued every Friday (3:30 PM EST) wherein the consolidated data is from Tuesday to Tuesday only. The three days before the release date are not included. It means there is a three-day lag between the report and the actual positioning of traders. This is an eternity by short-term investing standards, and by the time the new report is issued, it has already missed a large amount of trading activity. Think of it as illegal insider information received early by Michael Corleone (CFTC) but then he shared it only to the public after three days. ; )─

The CoT data is an essential tool for gauging current and future sentiment in the Futures or Forex market. It is highly advisable not to use CoT data alone when it comes to your trading decision. For me, the report is not designed as a market entry tool, because the market can be near-term bullish in a long-term downtrend. Although, it can be used to confirm the mid/long term fundamental bias in a given market.

Though there is never one report─data/information or tool that can give you certainty about where prices are headed in the future, the CoT data does allow the small investors a way to see what larger traders are doing and to possibly position their positions accordingly. Such as, if there is a large manage money shorts interest in EUR Futures, that is often an indication that a rally may be coming because the market is overly pessimistic and saturated with shorts - so you may want to take a long position (on normal market conditions).


Futures data offer a proxy for volume but represent only a small fraction of the currency market. Also, inter-market relationships govern currency price action.
Intelligence is the ability to adapt to change. -- Stephen Hawking
 
2
  • Post #125,003
  • Quote
  • Jan 26, 2021 2:02am Jan 26, 2021 2:02am
  •  Cornabu
  • Joined Aug 2020 | Status: Member | 82 Posts
Buy 2125
sl 2095 tp 2200
 
1
  • Post #125,004
  • Quote
  • Jan 26, 2021 2:14am Jan 26, 2021 2:14am
  •  Cornabu
  • Joined Aug 2020 | Status: Member | 82 Posts
H4 Update Status
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  • Post #125,005
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  • Jan 26, 2021 2:19am Jan 26, 2021 2:19am
  •  Wavegarrick
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Active | 2,572 Posts
Quoting Wavegarrick
Disliked
{quote} Hi Guys, Bulls were very quick to pounce on Bears. Unless you were quick to pull the trigger, you probably would have missed this move. Price returned to my daily pivot at 1.21500 and up from there. I got in at 1.21648 and am looking at a target at 1.22029 which is the 50% Fib retrace of the recent down move. Have a great day. Cheers {image}
Ignored
Hi Guys,
I managed to get out at break-even with my buy trades. I am getting subtle bearish hints from a 4hr perspective and have entered a sell trade with a 25 pip stop and could add more with the retrace towards my daily pivot at 1.21460. A break of this little ascending trend line could give Eu a nice bit of impetus.

Take care,
Cheers.
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Trade to Trade another day.
 
6
  • Post #125,006
  • Quote
  • Jan 26, 2021 2:24am Jan 26, 2021 2:24am
  •  strodx
  • | Joined Dec 2014 | Status: Junior Member | 4 Posts
Quoting Cornabu
Disliked
Buy 2125 sl 2095 tp 2200
Ignored
Same ish here,
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  • Post #125,007
  • Quote
  • Jan 26, 2021 2:28am Jan 26, 2021 2:28am
  •  DasZealot
  • | Joined Oct 2020 | Status: Member | 2 Posts
Evening traders,
I’ve looked at CME’s Vol2Vol expected on EUR/USD they show a high call volume (1,265 calls/ 124puts) for the week. Though their open interest profile shows a high put volume @1.2150 and even higher @1.2100 & 1.2075. Conversely their Call volume is high @ 1.2175. I don’t know exactly how to reconcile the data...lol I’m going long, for better or for worst, preferably the latter.
Techne Return Today: na
 
 
  • Post #125,008
  • Quote
  • Jan 26, 2021 2:43am Jan 26, 2021 2:43am
  •  justiceuduma
  • | Joined Jun 2020 | Status: Member | 33 Posts
Morning guys .. Bears are really in charge of the market for the week, despite the strong support levels they stand to face on the way.. We currently have a rising wedge and a rising channel on daily, which I expect us to break below today.. I think we will see 1.1203 this week...
 
 
  • Post #125,009
  • Quote
  • Jan 26, 2021 2:46am Jan 26, 2021 2:46am
  •  Yogi88
  • | Joined Jan 2021 | Status: Member | 31 Posts
Near support break, bear in charge now
 
 
  • Post #125,010
  • Quote
  • Jan 26, 2021 2:46am Jan 26, 2021 2:46am
  •  Emmanuelbank
  • | Joined Apr 2020 | Status: Member | 17 Posts
It Good we follow at times the market sentiment on the week, Daily and 4H candlestick which about not is strong bearish be only for short-term
 
 
  • Post #125,011
  • Quote
  • Jan 26, 2021 2:59am Jan 26, 2021 2:59am
  •  imoveit
  • | Joined May 2020 | Status: Member | 85 Posts
EU should get to 2086. Then we decide next
No Bias
 
1
  • Post #125,012
  • Quote
  • Jan 26, 2021 3:03am Jan 26, 2021 3:03am
  •  Whale
  • Joined Jun 2013 | Status: Eyes on the prize | 7,285 Posts
Quoting gatenio
Disliked
Good morning. pending long, 1.2107 risk 14 pips. tp open. Will be very surprise to see price break it. if price wont get there and 1h will break tokyo wave at 1.215 then i will buy it. this is my plan for today, have a nice day.
Ignored
LO just on my pending.. missed it by 1 pip.. RRRRRRRRR

CANCEL IT
 
 
  • Post #125,013
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  • Jan 26, 2021 3:10am Jan 26, 2021 3:10am
  •  mshady
  • | Joined Mar 2020 | Status: Member | 88 Posts
Quoting mshady
Disliked
My target Buy zone 1.2115 - 1.2095 1HTF & 1.2105 - 1.2082 4HTF.
Ignored
Target buy Zone achieved, TR 1.2152/59
 
3
  • Post #125,014
  • Quote
  • Jan 26, 2021 3:13am Jan 26, 2021 3:13am
  •  MrGuy
  • | Joined Jan 2021 | Status: Member | 216 Posts
I said this on another thread, but actually...I think it bears repeating:

There's a genuine ugliness to unwarranted cockiness. The fact is, nobody knows with absolute certainty. Trading will at some point humble everyone. You won’t win all the time, so yes…enjoy it while you’re profitable, or your system pans out. But maybe consider the fact that you’ll be on the other side at some point before churning out the braggadocios posts. This applies to all of us.
A wise man changes his mind, a fool never will
 
6
  • Post #125,015
  • Quote
  • Jan 26, 2021 3:15am Jan 26, 2021 3:15am
  •  drawdownfx
  • | Joined Jan 2021 | Status: Junior Member | 4 Posts
EURUSD Buys - had a bad day yesterday at -4%, hoping to recoup today :-). I think this initial bear move is to just get them excited, i am long for the day.
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1
  • Post #125,016
  • Quote
  • Jan 26, 2021 3:23am Jan 26, 2021 3:23am
  •  spicybite
  • | Joined Dec 2020 | Status: Member | 23 Posts
Not sure about a short term, but given the direction of current administration we will see a EU go up in near time.
My reasons:
Job cuts due to oil/gas pipelines closures
Expansions of govt spending
Lack of planning of job creation
Little to no response to violent protests of violent activists
Covid response is nothing but excuses

Sadly for me, probably by the end of the year we will see EU in 1.50 range. I am sustaining my long position.
Live long and prosper
lazy_forex All Time Pips: -511
 
 
  • Post #125,017
  • Quote
  • Jan 26, 2021 3:26am Jan 26, 2021 3:26am
  •  lucky1359
  • Joined Nov 2018 | Status: Member | 1,051 Posts
Quoting v2vboni
Disliked
{quote} {quote} ...continuation setup: NY intraday setup Entry @ 1.21462... and sell limit @ 1.21570 SL: 1.21730 TP: 1.20800 {image}
Ignored
Dear Your Chart contains too much of Perfection with all the Best indicators and you acquire great knowledge.
but for a laymen it makes it too complicated to understand

it would be very nice of you if you post 1 more chart apart from this with simple and best which could be understood by a laymen.
Because i have studied your thread and more then perfect and your Trend Direction Prediction is also good.

Your knowledge is really helpful and it would be nice if you post a simple chart also.

Thanks & Regards
 
1
  • Post #125,018
  • Quote
  • Edited at 3:48am Jan 26, 2021 3:33am | Edited at 3:48am
  •  v2vboni
  • Joined Sep 2015 | Status: ob-la-di, ob-la-da, life goes on... | 3,351 Posts
Quoting lucky1359
Disliked
{quote} Dear Your Chart contains too much of Perfection with all the Best indicators and you acquire great knowledge. but for a laymen it makes it too complicated to understand it would be very nice of you if you post 1 more chart apart from this with simple and best which could be understood by a laymen. Because i have studied your thread and more then perfect and your Trend Direction Prediction is also good. Your knowledge is really helpful and it would be nice if you post a simple chart also. Thanks & Regards
Ignored

Sorry, I'm not a KISS fan and not targeting a layman or laywoman (gender-neutral) to be understood here ; )─ none of that matters to me. If 1 out of 150+ viewers on this thread understood my entries, that's fine with me... zero, just okay ; )─

And I'm not promoting my charts (and/or my system) or gain fanatic followers herein. Anyway, forget the charts focus on what really matters that Matter (that occupies space and has Mass) the most.

I hope you got my point... otherwise, ignore my charts/post and move on to check out other (hundreds of) helpful contributors on this thread that falls to your own liking. Good luck!
Intelligence is the ability to adapt to change. -- Stephen Hawking
 
1
  • Post #125,019
  • Quote
  • Jan 26, 2021 3:38am Jan 26, 2021 3:38am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 18,707 Posts
For my followers: Current H1 candle is a skip candle.. Inside next hour we can decide to sell 1.2131 resistance area or not.. Closed my earlier short order with +22 pips and I am in sidelines for now.. 22 more minutes until H1 candle close.. Zzzzz...

Stay Green
Be a seer, not a looker!
Ata's Trend Hunter V1.2 All Time Return: 172.4%
 
5
  • Post #125,020
  • Quote
  • Jan 26, 2021 3:42am Jan 26, 2021 3:42am
  •  lucky1359
  • Joined Nov 2018 | Status: Member | 1,051 Posts
Quoting v2vboni
Disliked
{quote} Sorry, I'm not a KISS fan... And not promoting my charts or gain fanatic followers herein. Anyway, forget the charts focus on what really matters that Matter (that occupies space and has Mass) the most. I hope you get my point... otherwise, move on with other contributors on this thread. Good luck!
Ignored
Your Charts Speak up for you so you never need to promote your chart.

Yes your Entry exit points sl tp matters the most which i really focus on

Got you Point

Thanks & Regards
 
 
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