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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #11,601
  • Jan 23, 2021 5:58am Jan 23, 2021 5:58am
On GU.. 4hr Volumes @1.3642 provided support. if prices remain above 1.3680 we should continue the move up.

1.3775 and 1.3800 might serve as a weekly resistance.
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On Daily TF is a possible Bullish SW forming.
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Le$$ I$ More
  • #11,602
  • Edited 9:28am Jan 23, 2021 9:17am | Edited 9:28am
Hello everybody. This week i saw some cot report in the group. Below there is my update as follow:

Dealers: (smart money). They buy when the price get cheaper (downtrend) and sell when demand increase (uptrend). So they are counter trend, but they are who sell to market. Thats why smart money.

Speculators: trend follower. In my graph are represented as gbp usd tot position, i do the calculation with both leverage fund and asset manager.

Here is my view for coming week.

Dealers long are below 10%, they are not buying at all. is when price start to make the top
Dealer short are in extreme territory, is almost 25%. Looking at the past only in 2017 and 2018 went above 30%, but looking at the average, is when they start to close the sell contracts.

Speculator: we are in positive territory and long contracts are reaching the extreme.

This doesnt mean i cant go up. I am only careful opening longs now (depends where and for how many pips).

So for intraday, you dont really need cot report. Medium term, is worth to have a look.
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Twitter: Rummer_grapes
  • #11,603
  • Jan 23, 2021 12:30pm Jan 23, 2021 12:30pm
Quoting Bacco
Hello everybody. This week i saw some cot report in the group. Below there is my update as follow: Dealers: (smart money). They buy when the price get cheaper (downtrend) and sell when demand increase (uptrend). So they are counter trend, but they are who sell to market. Thats why smart money. Speculators: trend follower. In my graph are represented as gbp usd tot position, i do the calculation with both leverage fund and asset manager. Here is my view for coming week. Dealers long are below 10%, they are not buying at all. is when price start to...
Maybe we can see another new high to 1.3900/1.400 before a sell off begins.
Le$$ I$ More
  • #11,604
  • Jan 23, 2021 8:50pm Jan 23, 2021 8:50pm
Quoting Roszey
{quote} Maybe we can see another new high to 1.3900/1.400 before a sell off begins.
It could be. But technically I see weekly and daily divergence that are getting ugly
Twitter: Rummer_grapes
  • #11,605
  • Edited 10:22am Jan 24, 2021 10:00am | Edited 10:22am
More then 1 reason to short EJ retest of resistance, perfect Gartley trendline broken...
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  • #11,606
  • Jan 24, 2021 10:37am Jan 24, 2021 10:37am
G/CAD bulls on slaughtering desk
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  • #11,607
  • Jan 24, 2021 10:51am Jan 24, 2021 10:51am
GBP/CHF just broke rising wedge i expect to price go i free fall
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  • #11,608
  • Jan 24, 2021 10:57am Jan 24, 2021 10:57am
The CFTC reports came out. EURUSD remains bullish.
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  • #11,609
  • Jan 24, 2021 11:04am Jan 24, 2021 11:04am
UC also on interesting confluence area if you see left
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  • #11,610
  • Jan 24, 2021 11:35am Jan 24, 2021 11:35am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} GBPCHF 1.22 short trade. Yes, I called that level one week in advance, but it's not magic, trust me. You just have to identify the confluence levels and learn how to read PA. Levels to watch on the chart. Also, I've noticed some commercial member has recently started selling what we've been practicing here for months if not years. Guys you don't need to pay to learn these stuff. Just take your time and read through charts and free resources. You don't need some commercial member to sell you some fancy and colorful tools to properly apply...
A testimony to the quality you bring to Forex Factory. I don't think I have ever seen so many Likes for a single trade call and more importantly the sound advice and teaching you bring to the table. A true Gem.

Thanks, Shahab.
Trade to trade another day
  • #11,611
  • Jan 24, 2021 12:47pm Jan 24, 2021 12:47pm
Quoting mizi123
UC also on interesting confluence area if you see left {image}
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  • #11,612
  • Jan 24, 2021 1:19pm Jan 24, 2021 1:19pm
Quoting crow
{quote} {image}
I need some more rejection signals on GU stil see HH and HL but is in important resistance level i agree
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  • #11,613
  • Jan 24, 2021 1:49pm Jan 24, 2021 1:49pm
These is last chart from me GOLD is on shining spot again inverted h&sh
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  • #11,614
  • Jan 24, 2021 4:12pm Jan 24, 2021 4:12pm
Currently, price are at the low of the MN SW zone. From the COT report non-commercials are still long. So if any further up has to come, i will be watching 1.4025 to see the sellers reaction.
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Le$$ I$ More
  • #11,615
  • Jan 25, 2021 3:22am Jan 25, 2021 3:22am
GU Trade, Short, and posibble level to watch
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  • #11,616
  • Jan 25, 2021 3:58am Jan 25, 2021 3:58am
Shahab said.. no brainer setup.. when S become R
EJ Trade, short
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  • #11,617
  • Jan 25, 2021 8:30am Jan 25, 2021 8:30am
Watching EN for possible long setup.
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  • #11,618
  • Jan 25, 2021 9:34am Jan 25, 2021 9:34am
Quoting meugampong
Shahab said.. no brainer setup.. when S become R EJ Trade, short {image}
Update
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  • #11,619
  • Jan 25, 2021 9:56am Jan 25, 2021 9:56am
Quoting meugampong
Watching EN for possible long setup. {image}
EN Trade, let see how it play..
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  • #11,620
  • Jan 25, 2021 10:01am Jan 25, 2021 10:01am
Hi friends still waiting for GCH to give up he don't want but he have to
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