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  • Post #123,321
  • Quote
  • Jan 5, 2021 8:33am Jan 5, 2021 8:33am
  •  Austyno
  • Joined Oct 2018 | Status: Discipline creates Lifestyle | 1,699 Posts
Bulls need to defend 1.22640 area with everything they've got if we are to continue up
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
 
1
  • Post #123,322
  • Quote
  • Jan 5, 2021 8:37am Jan 5, 2021 8:37am
  •  udithag
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Oct 2011 | 478 Posts
EUR/USD turning point on 1H chart which will occur on 2021.01.05
Turning point in 15 min time frame with EST time included
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: EURUSDH1_2021.01.05.PNG
Size: 46 KB
 
 
  • Post #123,323
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  • Jan 5, 2021 8:40am Jan 5, 2021 8:40am
  •  andvk74
  • Joined Jun 2018 | Status: Member | 1,584 Posts | Invisible
Quoting udithag
Disliked
EUR/USD turning point on 1H chart which will occur on 2021.01.05 Turning point in 15 min time frame with EST time included {image}
Ignored
Is it going to turn UP or DOWN?
 
2
  • Post #123,324
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  • Jan 5, 2021 8:45am Jan 5, 2021 8:45am
  •  heftee
  • | Joined Nov 2020 | Status: Member | 70 Posts
Quoting andvk74
Disliked
{quote} Is it going to turn UP or DOWN?
Ignored
According to fundamentals I posted earlier together with technicals. Its going to Turn down, I guess
Shorting a small lot size with tight SL.
Looking to buy deeps
Good things comes in pairs...
 
 
  • Post #123,325
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  • Jan 5, 2021 8:49am Jan 5, 2021 8:49am
  •  udithag
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Oct 2011 | 478 Posts
Quoting andvk74
Disliked
{quote} Is it going to turn UP or DOWN?
Ignored
It is difficult to tell that in advance friend. please have a look closely at that time about 1 hour and 15 min trend. whatever the trend is, it is going to reverse the trend.
 
2
  • Post #123,326
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  • Jan 5, 2021 8:56am Jan 5, 2021 8:56am
  •  corongumet
  • Joined Dec 2018 | Status: Trading For Living | 1,457 Posts
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: 51dd344cdd0417a1c3054f5cca231e11.png
Size: 42 KB
Short mode

If break (2) its shortest
my sell setup
1.2282
SL: 1.2292
TP: 1.2199
TF M15
Learn and learning
EA XAU Ticmill All Time Return: 209.7%
 
1
  • Post #123,327
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  • Jan 5, 2021 9:00am Jan 5, 2021 9:00am
  •  MnrComposite
  • Joined Nov 2020 | Status: Member | 68 Posts
Quoting MnrComposite
Disliked
{quote} Still holding long. A lot of consolidation around 1.2270. Looks like market is setting for a new leg up.
Ignored
Although we are seeing some pull back, that latest high around 1.2290 gives us roughly a 63% probability of reaching 1.23395 before 1.22395.

Anything can happen though! Sellers look to be coming in pretty strong.
Viewing the market through f(x)
 
 
  • Post #123,328
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  • Jan 5, 2021 9:04am Jan 5, 2021 9:04am
  •  forextrini1
  • | Joined Mar 2010 | Status: Member | 95 Posts
Quoting andvk74
Disliked
{quote} Is it going to turn UP or DOWN?
Ignored
Its smack in the middle of resistance and support, in my book that is a bad position to be in. don't force the trade. Either wait until it spikes up and look for the reversal to sell at 1.2310 or bounces off 1.2240-10 for buy...note it could smash though either of those and go to 1.2180 or 1.2350 and you miss the move entirely, but such is EURUSD...in other words noone knows cause right now its consolidating. You might be able to scalp either position for today...again too risky IMO.
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Stop thinking like a retail trader
Forextrinitrader3.0 Profit This Month: na
 
2
  • Post #123,329
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  • Jan 5, 2021 9:11am Jan 5, 2021 9:11am
  •  ursinho4711
  • Joined Nov 2019 | Status: Member | 1,116 Posts
Quoting Austyno
Disliked
Bulls need to defend 1.22640 area with everything they've got if we are to continue up
Ignored
Amazing, how that pair likes the pink trend line (which I have posted sooooo many times before: it's still the same):
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: 058f70e23f29e99a6bb8e4eccb1151af.png
Size: 17 KB
 
2
  • Post #123,330
  • Quote
  • Jan 5, 2021 9:21am Jan 5, 2021 9:21am
  •  Austyno
  • Joined Oct 2018 | Status: Discipline creates Lifestyle | 1,699 Posts
Quoting Austyno
Disliked
Bulls need to defend 1.22640 area with everything they've got if we are to continue up
Ignored
Good bull, they heard my calls, still not out of the woods yet, we need a bullish engulfing candle on 1hr
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
 
1
  • Post #123,331
  • Quote
  • Jan 5, 2021 9:24am Jan 5, 2021 9:24am
  •  Starcraftmaz
  • Joined Mar 2012 | Status: Member | 1,793 Posts
Quoting MnrComposite
Disliked
{quote} Although we are seeing some pull back, that latest high around 1.2290 gives us roughly a 63% probability of reaching 1.23395 before 1.22395. Anything can happen though! Sellers look to be coming in pretty strong.
Ignored
Can I ask, why do you separate them out by 100 pips - is it sort of arbitrary or a result of some specific analysis?
 
 
  • Post #123,332
  • Quote
  • Jan 5, 2021 9:40am Jan 5, 2021 9:40am
  •  MnrComposite
  • Joined Nov 2020 | Status: Member | 68 Posts
Quoting Starcraftmaz
Disliked
{quote} Can I ask, why do you separate them out by 100 pips - is it sort of arbitrary or a result of some specific analysis?
Ignored
It’s just arbitrary. You could use whatever range size you’d like to trade in.

I prefer 100 because I can normalize and calculate the spread cost I need to account for in my probabilities along with other things like break even win rate for open position assuming a Gaussian distribution.

Spread / 100 or whatever your range is, gives you the “houses edge” you need to beat.
Viewing the market through f(x)
 
1
  • Post #123,333
  • Quote
  • Jan 5, 2021 9:41am Jan 5, 2021 9:41am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 18,194 Posts | Online Now
M15 Status Update

  1. For now bulls have the upper hand BUT the question is for how long?
  2. IF bulls can defend 1.2260/65 area they could attack 1.2275/80 area once again but then they also will form the right shoulder of a potential H&S pattern which gives bears the upper hand again..
  3. Long story short: I stay away from situations like this and wait on sidelines until we see a major breakout and clearer direction!

Stay Green

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Name: EURUSD-M15-Status-Update.png
Size: 36 KB
Be a seer, not a looker!
 
3
  • Post #123,334
  • Quote
  • Jan 5, 2021 10:00am Jan 5, 2021 10:00am
  •  myths
  • | Joined Nov 2020 | Status: Member | 131 Posts
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  • Post #123,335
  • Quote
  • Jan 5, 2021 10:03am Jan 5, 2021 10:03am
  •  Starcraftmaz
  • Joined Mar 2012 | Status: Member | 1,793 Posts
Quoting myths
Disliked
{image}
Ignored
I feel like we may be about to find out!
 
1
  • Post #123,336
  • Quote
  • Jan 5, 2021 10:04am Jan 5, 2021 10:04am
  •  andvk74
  • Joined Jun 2018 | Status: Member | 1,584 Posts | Invisible
If divergence remains, then I expect a move UP on the euro.
DISREGARD THE TOP PICTURE - I can't delete it for some reason.
Attached Images (click to enlarge)
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Size: 87 KB Click to Enlarge

Name: 2021-01-05 18_03_18-.png
Size: 89 KB
 
 
  • Post #123,337
  • Quote
  • Jan 5, 2021 10:05am Jan 5, 2021 10:05am
  •  myths
  • | Joined Nov 2020 | Status: Member | 131 Posts
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Disliked
M15 Status Update For now bulls have the upper hand BUT the question is for how long? IF bulls can defend 1.2260/65 area they could attack 1.2275/80 area once again but then they also will form the right shoulder of a potential H&S pattern which gives bears the upper hand again.. Long story short: I stay away from situations like this and wait on sidelines until we see a major breakout and clearer direction! Stay Green {image}
Ignored
It is not below 1.22217 at the moment, it is an increase
 
 
  • Post #123,338
  • Quote
  • Jan 5, 2021 10:08am Jan 5, 2021 10:08am
  •  myths
  • | Joined Nov 2020 | Status: Member | 131 Posts
Quoting Starcraftmaz
Disliked
{quote} I feel like we may be about to find out!
Ignored
Discover what?
 
 
  • Post #123,339
  • Quote
  • Jan 5, 2021 10:10am Jan 5, 2021 10:10am
  •  Starcraftmaz
  • Joined Mar 2012 | Status: Member | 1,793 Posts
Quoting myths
Disliked
{quote} Discover what?
Ignored
Whether that trendline will hold or not. It's on the verge of being punctured but I do also hope it holds.
 
 
  • Post #123,340
  • Quote
  • Jan 5, 2021 10:14am Jan 5, 2021 10:14am
  •  myths
  • | Joined Nov 2020 | Status: Member | 131 Posts
Quoting Starcraftmaz
Disliked
{quote} Whether that trendline will hold or not. It's on the verge of being punctured but I do also hope it holds.
Ignored
It did not go down to 1.22420, it probably will continue
 
 
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