Billytt Die happy trading e/j daily breakout | Page 2750 | Forex Factory

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Billytt Die happy trading e/j daily breakout

  • #54,981
  • Dec 19, 2020 7:07pm Dec 19, 2020 7:07pm
Quoting Skyhawks
Been doing some stat taking/backtesting on the weekend and sometimes I would notice that some days would do better than others. For example a trigger may fail more on a Wednesday. Is there any merit in not trading the Wed for that trigger or would I be overfitting the curve/over optimizing? Appreciate your thoughts. Thanks!
I personally don't usually trade the Monday set up, as the US hasn't begun the week yet.

Don't know about any of the other days. Billy's stats will reveal details.
  • #54,982
  • Dec 20, 2020 4:48am Dec 20, 2020 4:48am
This is different
Inserted Video
  • #54,983
  • Dec 20, 2020 4:53am Dec 20, 2020 4:53am
Quoting ia1979
{quote} Avery, read the above post from June this year. The information contained within this post should set you on the straight and narrow hopefully. As I say in the post, all of the information I have gleaned has been from this forum, from the counter/hedge masters themselves. Billy, Claudia, Lem and all of the regulars, hope you guys are all well. I haven’t been on much due to personal reasons. Will hopefully be back soon.
Good to see you back around. Hope all's ok.
  • #54,984
  • Dec 20, 2020 5:01am Dec 20, 2020 5:01am
Quoting Skyhawks
{quote} I am actually trying to look for other extra triggers. Looking at the 0900 15 min bar currently, doesnt look that good. But also I am testing it as a momentum bar (trading in direction of the color).
Wasn't going to get involved in this this but here we go.

The Billy bar works on the 8.00 - 8.15 GMT as this is the when pre-market orders are getting filled - it's as simple as that. Big orders are generally placed in the 15 minutes prior to London open. This being the 'not the Billy bar' as Lem would call it.

Same can be applied to NY open/pre-open.
  • #54,985
  • Dec 20, 2020 5:08am Dec 20, 2020 5:08am
Quoting claudia1
{quote} Wasn't going to get involved in this this but here we go. The Billy bar works on the 8.00 - 8.15 GMT as this is the when pre-market orders are getting filled - it's as simple as that. Big orders are generally placed in the 15 minutes prior to London open. This being the 'not the Billy bar' as Lem would call it. Same can be applied to NY open/pre-open.

Yup totally, been using the billy bar with success. Just randomly looking for other triggers to see if any others ones are good for fixing or as second trades
  • #54,986
  • Dec 20, 2020 5:08am Dec 20, 2020 5:08am
Scottish cup final day ! Bet on 2.5 + goals and Celtic to win.
  • #54,987
  • Dec 20, 2020 6:09am Dec 20, 2020 6:09am
Quoting claudia1
Scottish cup final day ! Bet on 2.5 + goals and Celtic to win.
Good luck
Hoops....
Attached Image
every Saint has a past. Every Sinner has a Future
  • #54,988
  • Dec 20, 2020 6:31am Dec 20, 2020 6:31am
Quoting lemercenaire
{quote} If you'd read the thread you could have saved yourself some time. This time slot is known and in fact jokingly named by me as The NOT The Billy Bar.
Thats where i got to know it :-) I don´t like to blindly follow someone else's work, thats why i looked back on it and collected some own statistics. Is there a reason why this one is less discussed / traded here if the stats seems to be even better?
  • #54,989
  • Dec 20, 2020 6:33am Dec 20, 2020 6:33am
Quoting Skyhawks
{quote} Yup totally, been using the billy bar with success. Just randomly looking for other triggers to see if any others ones are good for fixing or as second trades
Yes same here
  • #54,990
  • Dec 20, 2020 9:01am Dec 20, 2020 9:01am
Quoting claudia1
{quote} Wasn't going to get involved in this this but here we go. The Billy bar works on the 8.00 - 8.15 GMT as this is the when pre-market orders are getting filled - it's as simple as that. Big orders are generally placed in the 15 minutes prior to London open. This being the 'not the Billy bar' as Lem would call it. Same can be applied to NY open/pre-open.
So what does this mean? Getting trades placed at the open of a trading session is of higher success because there is more volume/movement? The movement can still happen to play against you right?
  • #54,991
  • Dec 20, 2020 9:25am Dec 20, 2020 9:25am
Quoting lemercenaire
{quote} I personally don't usually trade the Monday set up, as the US hasn't begun the week yet. Don't know about any of the other days. Billy's stats will reveal details.
I will get some stats to you tomorrow, Monday.
SEE LINE,TRADE LINE..PRICE HAS TO GO SOMEWHERE,,, PRICE WILL GO SOMEWHERE.
  • #54,992
  • Dec 20, 2020 9:27am Dec 20, 2020 9:27am
Quoting claudia1
{quote} Wasn't going to get involved in this this but here we go. The Billy bar works on the 8.00 - 8.15 GMT as this is the when pre-market orders are getting filled - it's as simple as that. Big orders are generally placed in the 15 minutes prior to London open. This being the 'not the Billy bar' as Lem would call it. Same can be applied to NY open/pre-open.
Definately agreed with.

For some reason i cannot l (like) the post. Y'know bottom right of page, Thumbs up.
SEE LINE,TRADE LINE..PRICE HAS TO GO SOMEWHERE,,, PRICE WILL GO SOMEWHERE.
  • #54,993
  • Dec 20, 2020 9:32am Dec 20, 2020 9:32am
Quoting Avery
{quote} Thats where i got to know it :-) I don´t like to blindly follow someone else's work, thats why i looked back on it and collected some own statistics. Is there a reason why this one is less discussed / traded here if the stats seems to be even better?
08-00 15 break has better stats especially if you then fix a fail
DON'T KEEP POSTING ABOUT NEGATIVITY ...
it'll always be in yor subconscious.
SEE LINE,TRADE LINE..PRICE HAS TO GO SOMEWHERE,,, PRICE WILL GO SOMEWHERE.
  • #54,994
  • Edited 10:23am Dec 20, 2020 9:56am | Edited 10:23am
Quoting billytt
{quote} 08-00 15 break has better stats especially if you then fix a fail DON'T KEEP POSTING ABOUT NEGATIVITY ... it'll always be in yor subconscious.
Did you look at statistics for the current year? What are your statistics based on,
a win = TP 10 or 5 Points at the high/low of the bar?

I didn’t look at this huge amount of past data yet just for some months at least of 2020 07:45 - 08:00 to hit +5 Points (sl/counter opposite end) outperformed the 08-15 bar.

What is kind a interesting is that the third opposite break or the bar rarely fails to
go for +5 if the first two breaks didn’t reached +5.

But it did so just a few days ago where I wrote to had a fail, so doubling up there with each touch of the trigger lines high/low of the 08-15 range until you finally got back what you locked in with any counters until there, however if you trade 10 lots at your initial trigger this might require a huge amount of capital to double up every
time until you got it „fixed“.
  • #54,995
  • Dec 20, 2020 9:56am Dec 20, 2020 9:56am
Quoting claudia1
This is different https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iPRXymi6cV4
Electric folk-funk!

Haven't heard of her/them/this...really like it. Nice slide work.

One to spend the day searching out, thanks. Nice find.
  • #54,996
  • Dec 20, 2020 9:58am Dec 20, 2020 9:58am
Quoting Avery
{quote} Thats where i got to know it :-) I don´t like to blindly follow someone else's work, thats why i looked back on it and collected some own statistics. Is there a reason why this one is less discussed / traded here if the stats seems to be even better?
Nope.

The stats aren't better.
  • #54,997
  • Dec 20, 2020 10:01am Dec 20, 2020 10:01am
Quoting billytt
{quote} Definately agreed with. For some reason i cannot l (like) the post. Y'know bottom right of page, Thumbs up.
Me too. Seems it does actually 'like' it, as it shows up if you hover over the thumb and will show properly if you go away and come back again.

Just doesn't look like it has worked as it doesn't immediately go green.
  • #54,998
  • Dec 20, 2020 11:06am Dec 20, 2020 11:06am
Quoting lemercenaire
{quote} Me too. Seems it does actually 'like' it, as it shows up if you hover over the thumb and will show properly if you go away and come back again. Just doesn't look like it has worked as it doesn't immediately go green.

CORRECT,, you must be as bored as i am.lol
it didnt show but the thumbs up did.
SEE LINE,TRADE LINE..PRICE HAS TO GO SOMEWHERE,,, PRICE WILL GO SOMEWHERE.
  • #54,999
  • Dec 20, 2020 11:13am Dec 20, 2020 11:13am
Quoting Avery
{quote} Did you look at statistics for the current year? What are your statistics based on, a win = TP 10 or 5 Points at the high/low of the bar? I didn’t look at this huge amount of past data yet just for some months at least of 2020 07:45 - 08:00 to hit +5 Points (sl/counter opposite end) outperformed the 08-15 bar. What is kind a interesting is that the third opposite break or the bar rarely fails to go for +5 if the first two breaks didn’t reached +5. But it did so just a few days ago where I wrote to had a fail, so doubling up there with each...

I have at least 20 years stats...
In fact i don't need 20 years stats.
This is a fact.
below.
If you say my 5 point trade doesn't work, this means your stats do.

I have posted this comment many times. The comment is. Some advertisers post a method for sale ,where it is based on money management where the ratio is 1/3 0r 1/4 or 1/5 ...

so in the latter case you may be hundreds of pips negative and on the 5th trade you recoup the loss plus profit.
The FD Stats will always tell you to trade the losers , it is that easy
SEE LINE,TRADE LINE..PRICE HAS TO GO SOMEWHERE,,, PRICE WILL GO SOMEWHERE.
  • #55,000
  • Dec 20, 2020 11:25am Dec 20, 2020 11:25am
i have found out earlier that my friend may have covid.
She is a very dear friend to me, i actually dated her a couple of times a long time ago but it didnt work out.
Main reason being, she thinks i am a predator on females.lol.
Which i am not. she honestly thinks i want a woman with her own house and drives, lol again.
She doesnt know what i have????

Now the main reason for this post. she is my friend and i told her i am going to visit to look after her and tend to the dogs and pups,
I think that is a nice friend to have.(and yes stupid).
SEE LINE,TRADE LINE..PRICE HAS TO GO SOMEWHERE,,, PRICE WILL GO SOMEWHERE.
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