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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #10,361
  • Dec 16, 2020 2:57am Dec 16, 2020 2:57am
USDCHF
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  • #10,362
  • Dec 16, 2020 3:01am Dec 16, 2020 3:01am
Quoting gatenio
{quote} lazy bulls today, they tempting sellers. 1.2163 break and the money is in our pocket. a lot of thing pointing on 1.26 area {image}
finally 1.22

im off this turtle pair for long time.
  • #10,363
  • Dec 16, 2020 3:01am Dec 16, 2020 3:01am
USDJPY, short trade update.
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  • #10,364
  • Dec 16, 2020 3:05am Dec 16, 2020 3:05am
NZDUSD
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  • #10,365
  • Dec 16, 2020 3:07am Dec 16, 2020 3:07am
Quoting gatenio
{quote} finally 1.22 im off this turtle pair for long time.
  • #10,366
  • Dec 16, 2020 3:47am Dec 16, 2020 3:47am
Quoting shahab8b
GBPUSD, long trade update. {image}
GU, I'm watching the pa around 1.35/1.3520
  • #10,367
  • Dec 16, 2020 4:04am Dec 16, 2020 4:04am
EURGBP
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  • #10,368
  • Dec 16, 2020 4:13am Dec 16, 2020 4:13am
DXY 90, EURUSD 1.22, USDCAD 1.27, GBPUSD 1.35/50, USDJPY 103, AUDUSD 0.76

Would be unusual if these numbers don't offer at least a short term USD bounce.

FOMC up later. Good timing.
  • #10,369
  • Dec 16, 2020 4:28am Dec 16, 2020 4:28am
Quoting C-12
DXY 90, EURUSD 1.22, USDCAD 1.27, GBPUSD 1.35/50, USDJPY 103, AUDUSD 0.76 Would be unusual if these numbers don't offer at least a short term USD bounce. FOMC up later. Good timing.
I agree. USDCAD 1.27 provided a decent trade.
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  • #10,370
  • Dec 16, 2020 4:31am Dec 16, 2020 4:31am
Quoting shahab8b
USDJPY, short trade update. {image}
Interesting level on USDJPY. Right at the base of that vertical 200 pip D1 candle. 103 just below it.
  • #10,371
  • Dec 16, 2020 4:35am Dec 16, 2020 4:35am
Quoting C-12
DXY 90, EURUSD 1.22, USDCAD 1.27, GBPUSD 1.35/50, USDJPY 103, AUDUSD 0.76 Would be unusual if these numbers don't offer at least a short term USD bounce. FOMC up later. Good timing.
yeah, took it early with small position, feel GU want a break or a long vacation.
if it get to 1.355 i will add double size.
h1 divergence
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  • #10,372
  • Dec 16, 2020 4:41am Dec 16, 2020 4:41am
Quoting gatenio
{quote} yeah, took it early with small position, feel GU want a break or a long vacation. if it get to 1.355 i will add double size. h1 divergence {image}
Those extensions on GBPUSD did a good job on the target. I should use these more before exits / switching to counter trades.

100% on board with 1.3550 if it gets there later.

On topic of divergence, USDCAD.
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  • #10,373
  • Dec 16, 2020 4:48am Dec 16, 2020 4:48am
USDCAD long 1.27 is looking better now. Levels to watch.
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  • #10,374
  • Dec 16, 2020 5:18am Dec 16, 2020 5:18am
Quoting shahab8b
GBPUSD, long trade update. {image}
Late entry but the volume rejection and SW still made the bulls valid
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Le$$ I$ More
  • #10,375
  • Dec 16, 2020 5:48am Dec 16, 2020 5:48am
GU sell zone @ 1.410 (Long-term)
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Le$$ I$ More
  • #10,376
  • Dec 16, 2020 6:12am Dec 16, 2020 6:12am
USDCHF, RSI divergence on H4.
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  • #10,377
  • Dec 16, 2020 6:47am Dec 16, 2020 6:47am
Easy trades that we missed because we were not looking at the bigger picture.
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  • #10,378
  • Dec 16, 2020 6:57am Dec 16, 2020 6:57am
Quoting shahab8b
Easy trades that we missed because we were not looking at the bigger picture. {image} {image}
I was thinking just that last night. I was way too focussed on the bear side on GBP pairs especially.

I did very well earlier in the week on those shorts but should have done much better on the longs.

Anyway. GBPUSD 1.3550 arrival here, good level.
  • #10,379
  • Dec 16, 2020 7:00am Dec 16, 2020 7:00am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} I think it may have more room to the upside. {image}
GU 12345
Quoting C-12
{quote} I was thinking just that last night. I was way too focussed on the bear side on GBP pairs especially. I did very well earlier in the week on those shorts but should have done much better on the longs. Anyway. GBPUSD 1.3550 arrival here, good level.
I posted this showing my long bias on GU. But having a bias is a tricky thing when it comes to trading.
  • #10,380
  • Dec 16, 2020 7:08am Dec 16, 2020 7:08am
Quoting shahab8b
EU, if it breaks above that pattern, it will be very bullish. {image}
EU delivered the min expectation of that bullish pattern. I'm thinking this about possible scenarios. The bullish scenario is simple, a retest and continuation. The bearish scenario is the one I like. If it doesn't bounce off on a retest and slices through that TL, it will be a good short trade.

The same applies to UCHF.
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