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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #10,341
  • Dec 15, 2020 10:12am Dec 15, 2020 10:12am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Or maybe not, haha.
Ooops, seems they wanted to run the tops at 1.3450 instead. took a hit on that one.
  • #10,342
  • Dec 15, 2020 10:16am Dec 15, 2020 10:16am
Quoting C-12
{quote} Ooops, seems they wanted to run the tops at 1.3450 instead. took a hit on that one.
usdx still wanting to 90 sir.. i think Gu to 135, EU 122. ucad 1.27, AU 76 NU, 71.5 Uchf 0.88

wow.. i have a crystal Ball.. lol
  • #10,343
  • Dec 15, 2020 10:16am Dec 15, 2020 10:16am
Quoting C-12
{quote} Ooops, seems they wanted to run the tops at 1.3450 instead. took a hit on that one.
I was really skeptical. Glad didn't pull the trigger. I think it wants a new high.
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  • #10,344
  • Dec 15, 2020 10:21am Dec 15, 2020 10:21am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} I was really skeptical. Glad didn't pull the trigger. I think it wants a new high. {image}
Yes perhaps it does. I guess the unfilled gap will leave unanswered questions. I am still not sure this is a fully legit move from here.
  • #10,345
  • Dec 15, 2020 10:24am Dec 15, 2020 10:24am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} I think it may have more room to the upside. {image}
I think wave count might work.
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  • #10,346
  • Edited 11:02am Dec 15, 2020 10:28am | Edited 11:02am
Quoting C-12
{quote} Yes perhaps it does. I guess the unfilled gap will leave unanswered questions. I am still not sure this is a fully legit move from here.
Well, the gap doesn't need to get filled immediately. It can come back to it later.
  • #10,347
  • Dec 15, 2020 10:31am Dec 15, 2020 10:31am
Quoting C-12
{quote} Yes perhaps it does. I guess the unfilled gap will leave unanswered questions. I am still not sure this is a fully legit move from here.
Did you take a short from 1.3450? it will be funny if it reverses the whole thing.
  • #10,348
  • Dec 15, 2020 10:33am Dec 15, 2020 10:33am
Yes I took a bite at it since I prematurely took out my last buy at 1.34.

Might be just a scalp but something feels a bit off (possible stop clearance).

Also sold GBPNZD 1.90

Of course gap doesn't need to close anytime soon, but they usually do unless it's a clean breakaway right at the start of the trend change.
  • #10,349
  • Dec 15, 2020 11:30am Dec 15, 2020 11:30am
GBPJPY
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  • #10,350
  • Dec 15, 2020 12:00pm Dec 15, 2020 12:00pm
This was a passive setup I found on US30, didn't have time to post it as was a swift one. Really clean retracement move into 29,900.

RN 29,900 and fib (61.8 - 76.4)

These setups absolutely work on all instruments and all timeframes. I don't trade these as often these days, but this was a no brainer.
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  • #10,351
  • Dec 15, 2020 12:23pm Dec 15, 2020 12:23pm
Ok, back to FX.. USDCAD arrived on 1.27, nicely placed RN.
  • #10,352
  • Dec 15, 2020 12:24pm Dec 15, 2020 12:24pm
Quoting shahab8b
EU, if it breaks above that pattern, it will be very bullish. {image}
EU
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  • #10,353
  • Edited 12:59pm Dec 15, 2020 12:30pm | Edited 12:59pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} EU {image}
AU and NU shorts? Seems they are back up the boxes and never hit any decent levels earlier.

Added on GCAD. If USDCAD bounces well off 1.27 this one likely to BE.
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  • #10,354
  • Dec 15, 2020 2:12pm Dec 15, 2020 2:12pm
Seems USD is continuing on it's slow and miserable decline. No signs of life on USDCAD at 1.27.

Think today is done. Let's see if FOMC offers anything tomorrow.
  • #10,355
  • Dec 16, 2020 2:36am Dec 16, 2020 2:36am
Quoting meugampong
{quote} usdx still wanting to 90 sir.. i think Gu to 135, EU 122. ucad 1.27, AU 76 NU, 71.5 Uchf 0.88 wow.. i have a crystal Ball.. lol
i miss eu
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  • #10,356
  • Dec 16, 2020 2:37am Dec 16, 2020 2:37am
GBPUSD, long trade update.
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  • #10,357
  • Dec 16, 2020 2:39am Dec 16, 2020 2:39am
Quoting shahab8b
EU, if it breaks above that pattern, it will be very bullish. {image}
EURUSD, long trade update. let's see the reaction @ 1.22
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  • #10,358
  • Dec 16, 2020 2:43am Dec 16, 2020 2:43am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} EURUSD, long trade update. let's see the reaction @ 1.22 {image}
i think eu 22.5 sir... what a nice trade u take..
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  • #10,359
  • Dec 16, 2020 2:49am Dec 16, 2020 2:49am
AUDUSD
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  • #10,360
  • Dec 16, 2020 2:54am Dec 16, 2020 2:54am
risking 5 pips.. EU

R:R 1:10 if hit TP..
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