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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #10,321
  • Dec 15, 2020 6:58am Dec 15, 2020 6:58am
Quoting meugampong
{quote} what a nice trade sir.. bank +166 pips GJ and GU..
Looks like the short ahead of 1.34 was good too. Perhaps a coast to coast round trip?
  • #10,322
  • Dec 15, 2020 6:59am Dec 15, 2020 6:59am
Quoting meugampong
{quote} what a nice trade sir.. bank +166 pips GJ and GU..
Nice going M! You've been doing very well recently.
  • #10,323
  • Dec 15, 2020 7:17am Dec 15, 2020 7:17am
Quoting C-12
Thoughts on USDJPY at 103.750? Or does this need a better level on D1, perhaps 103? {image}
I'm scalping short UJ. You know that I'm biased.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYM5 12 345.png Size: 52 KB
  • #10,324
  • Dec 15, 2020 7:26am Dec 15, 2020 7:26am
USDCHF, long trade 0.8850. It seems UCHF is trapped between 0.8850 and 0.89. So playing the range till it gets resolved.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCHFH4 12 15 87.png Size: 28 KB
  • #10,325
  • Dec 15, 2020 7:32am Dec 15, 2020 7:32am
Quoting shahab8b
USDCHF, long trade 0.8850. It seems UCHF is trapped between 0.8850 and 0.89. So playing the range till it gets resolved. {image}
Nice catch! I have no clue what this pair is doing and you see EURUSD off 1.2125 again?
  • #10,326
  • Dec 15, 2020 7:49am Dec 15, 2020 7:49am
Quoting C-12
{quote} Nice catch! I have no clue what this pair is doing and you see EURUSD off 1.2125 again?
what i see sir, Eu breaking TL and this time closing out TL.. i catch short setup @1.215
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_579.png Size: 37 KB
  • #10,327
  • Dec 15, 2020 7:52am Dec 15, 2020 7:52am
Quoting meugampong
{quote} what i see sir, Eu breaking TL and this time closing out TL.. i catch short setup @1.215 {image}
Nice!

Seems we really do need to use our RN's, 0.5RN and quarters on EURUSD right now.

Anything outside of our levels is going to result in being caught up in chop.
  • #10,328
  • Dec 15, 2020 7:59am Dec 15, 2020 7:59am
Quoting meugampong
{quote} what i see sir, Eu breaking TL and this time closing out TL.. i catch short setup @1.215 {image}
Nice going M! The same here (confluence setup 0.5 RN Fib 50). But be careful. EU can go up again.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM1 12 45.png Size: 32 KB
  • #10,329
  • Dec 15, 2020 8:04am Dec 15, 2020 8:04am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Nice going M! The same here (confluence setup 0.5 RN, Fib 50, S/R). But be careful. EU can go up again. {image}
I am still long from 1.2125... I am too slow (and too old) to catch 1.2150.

Absolutely no idea which way this is going from here.. It can go to 1.21 or 1.22

This is pure level play in the world's tightest range.
  • #10,330
  • Dec 15, 2020 8:08am Dec 15, 2020 8:08am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Nice going M! The same here (confluence setup 0.5 RN Fib 50). But be careful. EU can go up again. {image}

copy that Capt..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_580.png Size: 41 KB
  • #10,331
  • Dec 15, 2020 8:09am Dec 15, 2020 8:09am
Quoting C-12
{quote} I am still long from 1.2125... I am too slow (and too old) to catch 1.2150. Absolutely no idea which way this is going from here.. It can go to 1.21 or 1.22
I think your long from 1.2125 is a better play. It's going up again
  • #10,332
  • Dec 15, 2020 8:10am Dec 15, 2020 8:10am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} I think your long from 1.2125 is a better play. It's going up again
You know it's that bias again.. How long I have stubbornly had my eye on 1.22 over the last month.

I can still see this make a quick run down for 1.21. This long is not out of the woods yet.
  • #10,333
  • Dec 15, 2020 8:14am Dec 15, 2020 8:14am
Quoting C-12
{quote} You know it's that bias again.. How long I have stubbornly had my eye on 1.22 over the last month. I can still see this easily make a quick run down for 1.21. This long is not out of the woods yet.
Yes, having a bias acts like a double-edged sword.
  • #10,334
  • Dec 15, 2020 8:33am Dec 15, 2020 8:33am
EU, if it breaks above that pattern, it will be very bullish.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU flgdotp.GIF Size: 77 KB
  • #10,335
  • Dec 15, 2020 9:17am Dec 15, 2020 9:17am
USDJPY, short trade. Possible setups.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYDaily 2345.png Size: 31 KB
  • #10,336
  • Dec 15, 2020 9:53am Dec 15, 2020 9:53am
Quoting shahab8b
EU, if it breaks above that pattern, it will be very bullish. {image}
EU, possible scenarios.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM30 12 156.png Size: 36 KB
  • #10,337
  • Dec 15, 2020 9:54am Dec 15, 2020 9:54am
GU 1.34?

I like keeping the long trade. But let's see the reaction.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDH1 12 15 6 .png Size: 29 KB
  • #10,338
  • Dec 15, 2020 10:03am Dec 15, 2020 10:03am
Quoting shahab8b
GU 1.34? I like keeping the long trade. But let's see the reaction. {image}
Feels like volume starting to dry up a bit ahead of holidays here.

I think 1.34 looks a worthy RN setup here. Still got a large open gap to fill. Would be surprised to see GU take off without closing it.
  • #10,339
  • Dec 15, 2020 10:09am Dec 15, 2020 10:09am
Quoting C-12
{quote} Feels like volume starting to dry up a bit ahead of holidays here. I think 1.34 looks a worthy RN setup here. Still got a large open gap to fill. Would be surprised to see GU take off without closing it.
Or maybe not, haha.
  • #10,340
  • Dec 15, 2020 10:10am Dec 15, 2020 10:10am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Or maybe not, haha.
hahaha
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