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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #10,161
  • Dec 11, 2020 5:28am Dec 11, 2020 5:28am
Quoting C-12
{quote} I am wondering if the USD put in a silent low overnight. Of course GU topped out last week, dominoes are starting to topple over. Perhaps we need to hold onto this EU sell. Of course AU and NU sells absolute no brainer.
EG 0.92 looks good as well.
  • #10,162
  • Dec 11, 2020 5:34am Dec 11, 2020 5:34am
@bigiivan, I removed you from the ignore list. But don't make me do it again, OK?
  • #10,163
  • Edited 6:11am Dec 11, 2020 5:54am | Edited 6:11am
GU cleared 1.32. The next confluence level is 1.31.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDDaily 12 1345.png Size: 51 KB
  • #10,164
  • Dec 11, 2020 6:25am Dec 11, 2020 6:25am
Quoting shahab8b
@bigiivan, I removed you from the ignore list. But don't make me do it again, OK?
  • #10,165
  • Dec 11, 2020 7:14am Dec 11, 2020 7:14am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} GBPJPY short trade update. Possible long setups. {image}
GBPJPY, short trade update. Under normal circumstances I would consider buying around 136.50. But not today.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPJPYDaily 12 11 rt.png Size: 36 KB
  • #10,166
  • Dec 11, 2020 7:46am Dec 11, 2020 7:46am
EG short looks interesting just above 0.92. Also short UCAD 1.2775
  • #10,167
  • Dec 11, 2020 7:53am Dec 11, 2020 7:53am
GU H1
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU H1 1211.GIF Size: 50 KB
  • #10,168
  • Dec 11, 2020 7:58am Dec 11, 2020 7:58am
Quoting shahab8b
EG short looks interesting just above 0.92. Also short UCAD 1.2775
EURGBP short trade
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURGBPH1 12 111.png Size: 27 KB
  • #10,169
  • Dec 11, 2020 7:59am Dec 11, 2020 7:59am
Quoting shahab8b
EG short looks interesting just above 0.92. Also short UCAD 1.2775
Yes, GBP looks ripe for a small bounce. EG at 0.92 very attractive.

Maybe AU and NU can finally do something.
  • #10,170
  • Dec 11, 2020 8:13am Dec 11, 2020 8:13am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} GBPJPY, short trade update. Under normal circumstances I would consider buying around 136.50. But not today. {image}
This might be good bounce level off 137, maybe a swift 100 pips into 138. Extremely counter though. Shorts absolutely preferred.

Is the USD rolling over again... seriously.
  • #10,171
  • Dec 11, 2020 8:29am Dec 11, 2020 8:29am
Quoting shahab8b
GU H1 {image}
GBPUSD, long trade. The trend is still bearish below 1.33. Possible short setups on the chart.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDH1 12 345.png Size: 36 KB
  • #10,172
  • Dec 11, 2020 8:34am Dec 11, 2020 8:34am
Inserted Video
  • #10,173
  • Dec 11, 2020 8:34am Dec 11, 2020 8:34am
Quoting C-12
{quote} This might be good bounce level off 137, maybe a swift 100 pips into 138. Extremely counter though. Shorts absolutely preferred. Is the USD rolling over again... seriously.
I think we should reload short GBP positions. Just let it go a bit higher
  • #10,174
  • Dec 11, 2020 8:38am Dec 11, 2020 8:38am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} I think we should reload short GBP positions. Just let it go a bit higher
100% agree. Plus seems GBPUSD and GBP crosses are the only game in town right now. Everything looks liable to grind up account.

1.3250 looks a good spot on GU.
  • #10,175
  • Dec 11, 2020 8:42am Dec 11, 2020 8:42am
Quoting C-12
{quote} 100% agree. Plus seems GBPUSD and GBP crosses are the only game in town right now. Everything looks liable to grind up account. 1.3250 looks a good spot on GU.
I also reloaded short EU.
  • #10,176
  • Dec 11, 2020 8:52am Dec 11, 2020 8:52am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} I also reloaded short EU.
EU D1, possible double top? The neckline is 1.2060/70, so let's not get ahead of ourselves.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU 12 11 uy.GIF Size: 53 KB
  • #10,177
  • Dec 11, 2020 8:55am Dec 11, 2020 8:55am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} EU D1, possible double top? The neckline is 1.2060/70, so let's not get ahead of ourselves. {image}
Well, I think we've all been given the run around this week on EURUSD. I am sure I am not the only one thinking the same.
  • #10,178
  • Dec 11, 2020 9:01am Dec 11, 2020 9:01am
Quoting C-12
{quote} Well, I think we've all been given the run around this week on EURUSD. I am sure I am not the only one thinking the same.
Check out the CADJPY chart, it had a clean setup @ 82
  • #10,179
  • Dec 11, 2020 9:04am Dec 11, 2020 9:04am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Check out the CADJPY chart, it had a clean setup @ 82
Oh dear yes. All of this intensive focus and attention on pairs that are stuck in the grinder and we miss such quality setup..

I feel something needs to change next week. These cross pairs are delivering on a regular basis.
  • #10,180
  • Dec 11, 2020 9:14am Dec 11, 2020 9:14am
Strong support on EURUSD at 1.2108.
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