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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #9,961
  • Dec 9, 2020 5:41am Dec 9, 2020 5:41am
Quoting shahab8b
Up or down? Let's hear your forecasts. {image}
This has certainly tested the patience in the run up to ECB. I think we get another run below 1.21 and then the big final push into 1.22.

It's possible the turn is already in and my obsession over 1.22 needs to be put to rest.
  • #9,962
  • Edited 6:02am Dec 9, 2020 5:48am | Edited 6:02am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} I like that H1 Candle. Let's see how it closes. {image}
Let's go for it.

NU short on the Christmas shopping list as well. Both may poss go a bit higher and I'm ready for that scenario.
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  • #9,963
  • Dec 9, 2020 5:53am Dec 9, 2020 5:53am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #9,964
  • Dec 9, 2020 6:26am Dec 9, 2020 6:26am
Quoting shahab8b
Up or down? Let's hear your forecasts. {image}
it's time for the bears holding shorts from 1.2 to get a chance to get out of this trade.
dont you think?
i think there is a lot of them!
  • #9,965
  • Dec 9, 2020 6:34am Dec 9, 2020 6:34am
Quoting gatenio
{quote} it's time for the bears holding shorts from 1.2 to get a chance to get out of this trade. dont you think? i think there is a lot of them!
hi G.. patient please.. Mr @Shahab in busy time.. he will reply as soon as possible.. lol..
  • #9,966
  • Dec 9, 2020 6:37am Dec 9, 2020 6:37am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} I like that H1 Candle. Let's see how it closes. {image}
AUDUSD, short trade. Thanks to @gatenio. I've realized it feels nice when other people do the homework and you just click buy or sell.

Possible long setup @ 0.7450
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #9,967
  • Dec 9, 2020 6:41am Dec 9, 2020 6:41am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} AUDUSD, short trade. Thanks to @gatenio. I've realized it feels nice when other people do the homework and you just click buy or sell. Possible long setup @ 0.7450 {image}
why we have same trade price point sir.. oh.. i forgot.. I copy your idea..
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  • #9,968
  • Dec 9, 2020 6:41am Dec 9, 2020 6:41am
Quoting C-12
{quote} This has certainly tested the patience in the run up to ECB. I think we get another run below 1.21 and then the big final push into 1.22. It's possible the turn is already in and my obsession over 1.22 needs to be put to rest.
It's a really tricky chart. I will be watching 1.2080. It can bounce off that level and go to 1.22.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #9,969
  • Dec 9, 2020 6:44am Dec 9, 2020 6:44am
Quoting meugampong
{quote} why we have same trade price point sir.. oh.. i forgot.. I copy your idea.. {image}
haha, good catch! It was gatenio's setup. I've always said when like-minded traders start sharing their trade ideas, it will benefit us all.
  • #9,970
  • Dec 9, 2020 6:44am Dec 9, 2020 6:44am
GJ short @ 140
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  • #9,971
  • Dec 9, 2020 6:59am Dec 9, 2020 6:59am
Quoting meugampong
{quote} why we have same trade price point sir.. oh.. i forgot.. I copy your idea.. {image}
the SW zone on m30 reject the potential drop.
ok first test, second won't hold.
  • #9,972
  • Dec 9, 2020 7:00am Dec 9, 2020 7:00am
Quoting gatenio
{quote} it's time for the bears holding shorts from 1.2 to get a chance to get out of this trade. dont you think? i think there is a lot of them!
It's not clear, lots of S between here to 1.2 (1.21, 1.2080, and 1.2040/1.2050).

On a separate note, if someone shorted 1.20, they should have closed with 20-30 pips loss, imo. There is no need to go through +150 pips DD really. You can make up for 20-30 pips loss in one trade. But how many trades do you need to make up for 150 pips?
  • #9,973
  • Dec 9, 2020 7:03am Dec 9, 2020 7:03am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} AUDUSD, short trade. Thanks to @gatenio. I've realized it feels nice when other people do the homework and you just click buy or sell. Possible long setup @ 0.7450 {image}
Stopped out.
  • #9,974
  • Dec 9, 2020 7:04am Dec 9, 2020 7:04am
AUDUSD, possible short setup @ 0.75, long setups @ 0.7450 and 0.74
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #9,975
  • Dec 9, 2020 7:11am Dec 9, 2020 7:11am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} It's not clear, lots of S between here to 1.2 (1.21, 1.2080, and 1.2040/1.2050). On a separate note, if someone shorted 1.20, they should have closed with 20-30 pips loss, imo. There is no need to go through +150 pips DD really. You can make up for 20-30 pips loss in one trade. But how many trades do you need to make up for 150 pips?
i know a lot of bears holding 1.201 which was 1/9/20 high.
i shorted it too and close it after 50 pips.
  • #9,976
  • Dec 9, 2020 7:57am Dec 9, 2020 7:57am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} It's not clear, lots of S between here to 1.2 (1.21, 1.2080, and 1.2040/1.2050). On a separate note, if someone shorted 1.20, they should have closed with 20-30 pips loss, imo. There is no need to go through +150 pips DD really. You can make up for 20-30 pips loss in one trade. But how many trades do you need to make up for 150 pips?
It is defo best to have a no nonsense approach to DD and keep things tight.

Yes, it means occasionally (perhaps regular) small losers, but holding onto a turd for days or weeks is a very miserable experience indeed.

I know that horrible feeling and the impulse to add to the loser becomes strong. Eventually we know how that ends.
  • #9,977
  • Dec 9, 2020 7:59am Dec 9, 2020 7:59am
Going a bit off topic... enjoy this "master" .

Inserted Video
  • #9,978
  • Dec 9, 2020 8:09am Dec 9, 2020 8:09am
I think cable has just hit an iceberg at 1.34750.

EN looks good, break even set.

EA hanging on by a thread but still in play.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #9,979
  • Dec 9, 2020 8:18am Dec 9, 2020 8:18am
Quoting C-12
I think cable has just hit an iceberg at 1.34750. EN looks good, break even set. EA hanging on by a thread but still in play. {image}
It seems that way, AB=CD ??

Quoting shahab8b
{quote} GU, long trade update. It might be forming an AB=CD pattern. Possible short setup @ 1.34, 1.3470, and 1.35. Long setups @ 1.33 and 1.32. {image}
GBPUSD short trade.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #9,980
  • Dec 9, 2020 8:20am Dec 9, 2020 8:20am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} It seems that way, AB=CD ?? {quote} GBPUSD short trade. {image}
Can't argue with that. You pretty much called it to the pip. GCAD also starting to cook as well.
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