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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #9,601
  • Nov 30, 2020 2:50pm Nov 30, 2020 2:50pm
Quoting shahab8b
USDCHF, possible short setup @ .91 and long setup @ .90 {image}
USDCHF long trade. There are a lot of overhead R.
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  • #9,602
  • Nov 30, 2020 2:54pm Nov 30, 2020 2:54pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} NZDUSD, short trade. {image}
NZDUSD, short trade update, sl moved to b/e. Daily close looks good for a short trade.
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  • #9,603
  • Nov 30, 2020 2:58pm Nov 30, 2020 2:58pm
Quoting shahab8b
EURGBP, possible short setup @ 0.90 {image}
EURGBP, short trade update, sl moved to b/e.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #9,604
  • Nov 30, 2020 6:04pm Nov 30, 2020 6:04pm
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  • #9,605
  • Nov 30, 2020 6:55pm Nov 30, 2020 6:55pm
Quoting Inthebox
{quote} nice resistance zone. {image}
support with trend line

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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #9,606
  • Dec 1, 2020 1:51am Dec 1, 2020 1:51am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} GBPUSD, long trade. Possible short setup @ 1.34. Be careful of a possible breakout above 1.34. {image}
GBPUSD short trade. Possible long setup @ 1.33
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  • #9,607
  • Dec 1, 2020 1:53am Dec 1, 2020 1:53am
EURUSD, got S @ Fib 38 and former R turned S. Possible short setup @ 1.20. USD looks weak. Be careful with the short setup as EU may break above 1.20 this time.
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  • #9,608
  • Dec 1, 2020 1:58am Dec 1, 2020 1:58am
GOLD possible short.
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  • #9,609
  • Dec 1, 2020 2:20am Dec 1, 2020 2:20am
USD Index about to resolve a Daily wedge up or down. It looks like a possible bounce. We´ll see...
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Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #9,610
  • Dec 1, 2020 2:25am Dec 1, 2020 2:25am
EURUSD, might be doing an abc correction. Let's see how it plays out.
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  • #9,611
  • Dec 1, 2020 2:57am Dec 1, 2020 2:57am
AUDUSD, an example of how you can use confluence of S/R and Fibs for intraday trades.
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  • #9,612
  • Dec 1, 2020 3:11am Dec 1, 2020 3:11am
Quoting shahab8b
AUDUSD, an example of how you can use confluence of S/R and Fibs for intraday trades. {image}
Pullback trading,
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  • #9,613
  • Dec 1, 2020 3:25am Dec 1, 2020 3:25am
104.5 strong resistance for UJ, if break perhaps touching 105
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  • #9,614
  • Edited 5:02am Dec 1, 2020 4:15am | Edited 5:02am
Quoting gatenio
GOLD possible short. {image}
didn't enter it yet cause the 1h was too strong when it go to the sw zone, waiting for current hour to close bearish, and i will sell the next hour with the hope it will test the high again

edit: in
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  • #9,615
  • Dec 1, 2020 5:38am Dec 1, 2020 5:38am
Quoting gatenio
{quote} didn't enter it yet cause the 1h was too strong when it go to the sw zone, waiting for current hour to close bearish, and i will sell the next hour with the hope it will test the high again edit: in {image} {image}
That can be a "diving board" pattern
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Attached Image
  • #9,616
  • Edited 6:05am Dec 1, 2020 5:40am | Edited 6:05am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} That can be a "diving board" pattern {image} {image}
yeah.. i'll drop it soon, don't like it.
gold dont respect my intraday levels.

@shahab8b thank for the tip, you saved me 40 pips.
  • #9,617
  • Dec 1, 2020 5:51am Dec 1, 2020 5:51am
Thanks a lot to Shahab and others for all nice posts in this thread

My view on Gold, based on Daily chart, seems like we are going to make the main rertacement for the down leg

I think we can see some good opportunty to buy the corrections and targeting 1850 and 1920 areas, and to short just from there
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  • #9,618
  • Dec 1, 2020 6:05am Dec 1, 2020 6:05am
Quoting shahab8b
USDCHF, possible short setup @ .91 and long setup @ .90 {image}
USDCHF, the short setup @ 0.91 was missed as USDCHF turned south after a retracement to Fib 32.8. Possible long setup @ 0.90
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  • #9,619
  • Dec 1, 2020 6:39am Dec 1, 2020 6:39am
I posted this on GBPUSD thread earlier.

Sometimes you can seize the opportunity and just trade the range without having a strong directional bias.

The key is to avoid trading in the middle of the range. Just trade the upper and lower borders with tight SL as long as it lasts.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #9,620
  • Dec 1, 2020 6:59am Dec 1, 2020 6:59am
NZDUSD, got stopped out of the short trade. It seems the wedge pattern might resolve to the upside (unless we see a complete reversal today). It's not a vey common pattern but it happens sometimes when the trend is very strong. Possible short setup @ 0.71
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