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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #9,561
  • Nov 27, 2020 12:52pm Nov 27, 2020 12:52pm
Quoting shahab8b
I sold the kiwi again based on the exact setup I did in the morning. This time on H1 instead of H4. Let's see how it plays out this time. {image}
Interesting location at weekly resistance
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  • #9,562
  • Nov 27, 2020 12:55pm Nov 27, 2020 12:55pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Do you still have that EURNZD long trade?
I couldn't bare to look at this one any longer. Took the 1st and 2nd touches and that was enough for me.

I can see now we're possibly building a base off 1.70. That long TL of 1.80 might get cracked next week.

If we get a solid break I'll look to take the first retest on it with confluence. I should have done rather than try and pick the low.

I would like to trade these crosses more efficiently than trying to catch the tops/ bottoms. setups like this GA 1.83 61.8 300 pip+ move almost zero DD
Attached Image
  • #9,563
  • Nov 27, 2020 1:05pm Nov 27, 2020 1:05pm
In terms of that GBPAUD setup... Guess who didn't take it?

Quoting C-12
{quote}GBPAUD - 61.8 retracement of move down at 1.83. {image}
  • #9,564
  • Edited Nov 28, 2020 10:25am Nov 27, 2020 1:21pm | Edited Nov 28, 2020 10:25am
USDCHF - another confluence setup composed of zone and fib missed.

I do think these retracements are possibly better (perhaps safer) than the PA reversal plays for most users, unless it's a clean first touch RN.

What I like with these is the very clear directional move and pullback, with defined RR. A nice 3R here.

Lot's of these up for grabs last week.
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  • #9,565
  • Nov 27, 2020 1:24pm Nov 27, 2020 1:24pm
Quoting Merka
{quote} Interesting location at weekly resistance {image}
That is not a weekly resistance. This is weekly supply zone.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #9,566
  • Edited 3:14pm Nov 27, 2020 2:09pm | Edited 3:14pm
Gold - Possible short setup off $1,800 @ 61.8

Earlier long off $1,800 hit for BE. W1 demand @ 50% sits around $1,740. Looks a good target.
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  • #9,567
  • Edited 11:21pm Nov 27, 2020 4:14pm | Edited 11:21pm
Quoting C-12
There are some odd balls in this world. A solid reminder why I came off public forums. I am not difficult to find. {image}
HAHA...who is this?
  • #9,568
  • Nov 28, 2020 6:01am Nov 28, 2020 6:01am
weekend all!
GU daily in classic mode
bullish AB=CD or bearish Gartley?

Monday is the end of the month, so it going to be very interesting.
usually who saw my charts most of the time know that im an Ichimoku fan.
basically Ichimoku have wave theory that similar to the traditional wave theory but Ichimoku have very specific timeline. 9/26/52
so now as you see on the chart price made 56 days AB (my broker count Sundays) so i clean it we almost 52 and retrace to 61.8% fib
the C till today is again 56 (52) and it retrace 88.6% fib of BC wave

so based on the time and the fib i cant see the price rising in such a small time frame like a rocket.. so IMO we going to enter a real down move on daily to 1.25 area.
but if the recent high of B will break.. you know the drill, keep buying GU long term.
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  • #9,569
  • Nov 28, 2020 7:05am Nov 28, 2020 7:05am
Quoting Techanalyst
{quote} That is not a weekly resistance. This is weekly supply zone. {image}
Different school of thought
  • #9,570
  • Edited 9:04am Nov 28, 2020 8:32am | Edited 9:04am
Quoting Merka
{quote} Different school of thought
Like this...
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  • #9,571
  • Nov 28, 2020 8:52am Nov 28, 2020 8:52am
ECAD, possible long setup.
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  • #9,572
  • Nov 28, 2020 4:25pm Nov 28, 2020 4:25pm
Quoting Merka
{quote} Interesting location at weekly resistance {image}
nice resistance zone.
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #9,573
  • Edited 7:55am Nov 29, 2020 7:40am | Edited 7:55am
Looking at GBPCHF monthly, once economy gets better, this has a big possibility to go up and it will be a good long term buy investment.

If the price passes 1.3340, I will be convinced that this is turning bullish and will buy and hold. But before it breaks 1.3340, I will not invest and hold, I will trade the pair, but not for buy and hold. Trade safe.
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  • #9,574
  • Nov 30, 2020 5:24am Nov 30, 2020 5:24am
EURUSD, possible long setup @ 1.19 and short setup @ 1.20
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  • #9,575
  • Nov 30, 2020 5:29am Nov 30, 2020 5:29am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} GBPUSD, short trade. Possible long setup @ 1.33 {image} {image}
GBPUSD, long trade. Possible short setup @ 1.34. Be careful of a possible breakout above 1.34.
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  • #9,576
  • Nov 30, 2020 5:33am Nov 30, 2020 5:33am
Quoting shahab8b
I sold the kiwi again based on the exact setup I did in the morning. This time on H1 instead of H4. Let's see how it plays out this time. {image}
NZDUSD, stopped out of the short trade. The wedge formation is still in play. Let's see if it resolves to the downside. Possible short setup @ 0.71
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  • #9,577
  • Nov 30, 2020 5:42am Nov 30, 2020 5:42am
Quoting shahab8b
EURGBP, possible short setup @ 0.90 {image}
EURGBP, short trade.
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  • #9,578
  • Nov 30, 2020 5:46am Nov 30, 2020 5:46am
I would like to post a message instead of yani38 because he can't:

"Could you re-post this one for me, seems I'm out of that thread, those guys can get vicious when they miss-call it :
certainly an established downtrend, you're calling the bottom @ US1800, everyone is. I'll stay short, that 1800 number means zip all, fodder for shorter's, yet this market has yet to enter an 'official' Bear market, like 20% fall, I think it will happen, as 'unpredictable and almost certainly impossible', as it might seem : )
Thanks, Jon"
  • #9,579
  • Nov 30, 2020 5:46am Nov 30, 2020 5:46am
USDCAD, the trend is down. Possible counter trend long setups on the chart.
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  • #9,580
  • Nov 30, 2020 5:49am Nov 30, 2020 5:49am
@bigiivan. Let's keep that your first and last post on my thread.
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