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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #9,381
  • Nov 25, 2020 4:20am Nov 25, 2020 4:20am
CHFJPY - Feel this move has more gas left in the tank. 50%
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  • #9,382
  • Nov 25, 2020 4:21am Nov 25, 2020 4:21am
certainly an established downtrend, you're calling the bottom @ US1800, everyone is. I'll stay short, that 1800 number means zip all, fodder for shorter's, yet this market has yet to enter an 'official' Bear market, like 20% fall, I think it will happen, as 'unpredictable and almost certainly impossible', as it might seem : )
"Don't Shoot Me I'm Only the Piano Player"
  • #9,383
  • Nov 25, 2020 4:25am Nov 25, 2020 4:25am
Quoting yani38
certainly an established downtrend, you're calling the bottom @ US1800, everyone is. I'll stay short, that 1800 number means zip all, fodder for shorter's, yet this market has yet to enter an 'official' Bear market, like 20% fall, I think it will happen, as 'unpredictable and almost certainly impossible', as it might seem : )
I not sure anyone here is calling bottom. We're just taking some low risk high RR entries for bounce, lock it up and see where we go.

I always find these kinds of responses to be quite interesting.

That gritted determination to be proven "right" publicly on their directional call is something you see often in threads like GBPUSD Update.
  • #9,384
  • Nov 25, 2020 4:31am Nov 25, 2020 4:31am
AUDUSD, long (.72 and .7150) and short (.74) setups.

I think most of the setups we posted yesterday are still valid since there hasn't been any major movement.
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  • #9,385
  • Nov 25, 2020 4:39am Nov 25, 2020 4:39am
Quoting C-12
{quote} I not sure anyone here is calling bottom. We're just taking some low risk high RR entries for bounce, lock it up and see where we go. I always find these kinds of responses to be quite interesting. That gritted determination to be proven "right" publicly on their directional call is something you see often in threads like GBPUSD Update.
It reminded me why I had restriction setting on this thread. Turned it on again.
  • #9,386
  • Nov 25, 2020 4:48am Nov 25, 2020 4:48am
Quoting shahab8b
AUDUSD, long (.72 and .7150) and short (.74) setups. I think most of the setups we posted yesterday are still valid since there hasn't been any major movement. {image}
Yes we're now at a deadlock here that needs to be cracked open, perhaps the FOMC minutes later can assist.

Quite tempting to take a bite on AUDUSD now we've hit the daily zone, but it makes sense to wait for 0.74.
  • #9,387
  • Nov 25, 2020 4:54am Nov 25, 2020 4:54am
reentry, yesterday entry HIT BEP. EA..
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  • #9,388
  • Nov 25, 2020 4:59am Nov 25, 2020 4:59am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Gold {image}
For anyone reading this. This approach, is not about the bias. We already know gold is in a short/medium term downtrend. This approach is about taking trades with high precision, small SL and possibly min DD. Whoever bought gold close to 1800 yesterday had min DD. Then you move your SL to b/e and let it play out.
  • #9,389
  • Nov 25, 2020 5:03am Nov 25, 2020 5:03am
USDCAD, long trade @ 1.3
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  • #9,390
  • Nov 25, 2020 5:10am Nov 25, 2020 5:10am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} EURGBP, short trade update, reaching the S zone. Possible long setup {image}
EURGBP, long trade update
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  • #9,391
  • Nov 25, 2020 5:23am Nov 25, 2020 5:23am
Quoting shahab8b
USDCAD, long trade @ 1.3 {image}
I'll take you up on that. Some overhead around 1.3050
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  • #9,392
  • Nov 25, 2020 5:32am Nov 25, 2020 5:32am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} EURGBP, long trade update {image}
WHAT A MASTERCLASS ENTRY..

me, my self can't entry like you sir .. very much i try will be more hard to me, than my emotional playing under control... salute for you sir..
all i can do only pullback mode..
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  • #9,393
  • Nov 25, 2020 5:36am Nov 25, 2020 5:36am
Quoting C-12
{quote} I have an alert sat on that level. 1.90 attractive price. EURUSD - Just sold this breakout into supply. Was looking for 1.1950 but this might have taken the hit already. Prepared to cut and reload higher if needed. USDCAD - Hit 1.30 USDCHF - Final retest of 0.91, looks ready to go.
Like you I was waiting for 1.1950 on EU. I went short after I saw it wasn't going to make it. I still prefer to see 1.1950. The upswing looks incomplete.

Quoting shahab8b
{quote} I agree. 1.18 on EURUSD was a very good long setup. Possible short setup @ 1.19 and 1.1950, long setup@ 1.18 {image}
...
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  • #9,394
  • Nov 25, 2020 5:42am Nov 25, 2020 5:42am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Like you I was waiting for 1.1950 on EU. I went short after I saw it wasn't going to make it. I still prefer to see 1.1950. The upswing looks incomplete. {quote} ... {image}
I am in this too, but something feels off about PA. But I still think entry is worth holding onto as could be a bit of a silent top.

Also USJPY - I took a long, although I am aware all my long attempts on UJ of late have been on the counter side.

EURNZD - took 50% off when saw rejection off 1.71. This one not looking as good atm but I will hold on regardless.
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  • #9,395
  • Nov 25, 2020 5:45am Nov 25, 2020 5:45am
Quoting C-12
{quote} I'll take you up on that. Some overhead around 1.3050 {image}
I agree. There are a lot of overhead R. They can provide short setup.
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  • #9,396
  • Nov 25, 2020 5:50am Nov 25, 2020 5:50am
Quoting meugampong
{quote} WHAT A MASTERCLASS ENTRY.. me, my self can't entry like you sir .. very much i try will be more hard to me, than my emotional playing under control... salute for you sir.. all i can do only pullback mode.. {image}
Don't worry. It will come with repetition. You are a very good trade and you are on the right path.
  • #9,397
  • Nov 25, 2020 6:01am Nov 25, 2020 6:01am
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  • #9,398
  • Nov 25, 2020 6:07am Nov 25, 2020 6:07am
waiting rejection or signal to long entries (uptrend channel) at possible pullback area.

EUR/NZD
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  • #9,399
  • Nov 25, 2020 6:07am Nov 25, 2020 6:07am
Quoting meugampong
{quote} WHAT A MASTERCLASS ENTRY.. me, my self can't entry like you sir .. very much i try will be more hard to me, than my emotional playing under control... salute for you sir.. all i can do only pullback mode.. {image}
I like this entry.

I didn't like my 0.91 being hit for BE. I should just leave SL behind the RN.
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  • #9,400
  • Nov 25, 2020 6:15am Nov 25, 2020 6:15am
Gold - Another BE hit overnight, but one survivor made it. TP overly optimistic perhaps?
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