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  • #118,941
  • Nov 17, 2020 3:58am Nov 17, 2020 3:58am
I now have M1 confirmed down, so will begin looking for up moves as rallies to be sold while monitoring the rallies for going too far and into a reversal.
To free Gazans of Hamas, use whatever it takes.
  • #118,942
  • Nov 17, 2020 4:01am Nov 17, 2020 4:01am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} I have to stick to trading the cypher pattern.. That's the way *I am noticing bear pressure coming in early starting from 1.1881.. Stay Green
Yeah. Bears started to move but this one is fake, unless we see a 1hr candle closes below 1.1869.
For me prices above 1.1903 good to start sell
  • #118,943
  • Nov 17, 2020 4:03am Nov 17, 2020 4:03am
M15 Quick Outlook

MACD shows slow progress of bars shrinking.. My pitchfork-ish channel here has just broken.. Maybe some sideways pa first but I think these could be the early signs of bear power.. Time will tell..

Stay Green
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-M15-Status-Update.png Size: 28 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #118,944
  • Nov 17, 2020 4:06am Nov 17, 2020 4:06am
Quoting Vincent1
Bears waiting in area 1.1878/1.1885
Done....this one was easy to spot
  • #118,945
  • Nov 17, 2020 4:13am Nov 17, 2020 4:13am
Spike ups to kill SL's to around 1.18962 are possible..... lets see ....
  • #118,946
  • Nov 17, 2020 4:16am Nov 17, 2020 4:16am
Quoting klm1011
Spike ups to kill SL's to around 1.18962 are possible..... lets see ....
What if it isn't a spike up, but a real leg up?
I will tear the world apart for you.
  • #118,947
  • Nov 17, 2020 4:16am Nov 17, 2020 4:16am
Quoting DrDave
{quote} Yes, risky: Not even M1 has confirmed that it has gone into a down trend.
It happens to be 61.8 fib level from daily pivot point. I expect some retracement from that level hence the small albeit risky scalper sell order
  • #118,948
  • Nov 17, 2020 4:19am Nov 17, 2020 4:19am
Quoting nic9man
{quote} How do you come up with 91? The 92.25 comes from a long-term increasing trend line which has acted as support over the past weeks. In my view good US data is currently not so relevant because we see local shutdowns increasing and this in turn increases the speculation for need of fiscal stimulus which the FED will buy. Besides there is still the USD smile, i.e. extremely good or bad US data will push the USD higher, everything else will allow it to depreciate as usual in a post-recession regime.
Look, the prices have to fall below 92.20 and consecutive weekly should be below this. We are still in September prices. 91 is monthly support. It could sneak to 90.80. If we see this week closes above 92.64 and better 92.80, then i'm sure we will see 93 - 94 handle.
  • #118,949
  • Nov 17, 2020 4:28am Nov 17, 2020 4:28am
Quoting Barnell
{quote} What if it isn't a spike up, but a real leg up?
Then we are screwed ....
You have to believe in something , else will fall for anything...........

But seriously ..... just probabilities ,,, protected with SL's
You win some , you lose some.
  • #118,950
  • Nov 17, 2020 4:37am Nov 17, 2020 4:37am
Quoting klm1011
{quote} Then we are screwed .... You have to believe in something , else will fall for anything........... But seriously ..... just probabilities ,,, protected with SL's You win some , you lose some.
Lol.. "screwed" is a strong word.. Let's just say your SL gets hit.. That's all

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #118,951
  • Nov 17, 2020 4:47am Nov 17, 2020 4:47am
My sell limit didn't get triggered but I added one short order manually during the progress at 1.1880.. Moving SL to BE with hopes that 1.1855/65 support zone breaks..

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #118,952
  • Nov 17, 2020 4:48am Nov 17, 2020 4:48am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Lol.. "screwed" is a strong word.. Let's just say your SL gets hit.. That's all Stay Green
All in the name of Banter ...

Fine print in there is more soothing for the trembling hearts ......
  • #118,953
  • Nov 17, 2020 4:53am Nov 17, 2020 4:53am
This is my view for today - tomorrow
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EurUsd TW M15.png Size: 52 KB
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EurUsd H1.png Size: 70 KB
  • #118,954
  • Nov 17, 2020 4:57am Nov 17, 2020 4:57am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
My sell limit didn't get triggered but I added one short order manually during the progress at 1.1880.. Moving SL to BE with hopes that 1.1855/65 support zone breaks.. Stay Green
Manual order got stopped out at BE.. Still looking for sell opportunities until my sell limit gets triggered..

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #118,955
  • Nov 17, 2020 5:05am Nov 17, 2020 5:05am
Quoting Barnell
{quote} What if it isn't a spike up, but a real leg up?
Don't fight trend...buy dips, not sell rallies..
I will tear the world apart for you.
  • #118,956
  • Nov 17, 2020 5:06am Nov 17, 2020 5:06am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Manual order got stopped out at BE.. Still looking for sell opportunities until my sell limit gets triggered.. Stay Green
Same here, hoping the upcoming news could give a clarity because, the bears and bulls seems to be negotiating who should go first
  • #118,957
  • Nov 17, 2020 5:07am Nov 17, 2020 5:07am
Quoting Barnell
{quote} Don't fight trend...buy dips, not sell rallies..
True for trend followers.. but totally wrong for pattern traders.. Just as in life: everything is "relative"...

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #118,958
  • Nov 17, 2020 5:13am Nov 17, 2020 5:13am
Meanwhile it will be good to remember the weekly S/R levels..

  1. 1.1918 seems to be nearest weekly resistance.. Next would be 1.1976 area...
  2. Bears have to force price towards 1.1865 and below as their first mission..

Stay Green

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-W-Status-Update.png Size: 27 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #118,959
  • Nov 17, 2020 5:19am Nov 17, 2020 5:19am
Manually opened sell order at 1.1885.. Removing sell limit order at 1.1888.. Let's see.. Good luck to all intraday bears like me..

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #118,960
  • Nov 17, 2020 5:22am Nov 17, 2020 5:22am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Meanwhile it will be good to remember the weekly S/R levels.. 1.1918 seems to be nearest weekly resistance.. Next would be 1.1976 area... Bears have to force price towards 1.1865 and below as their first mission.. Stay Green {image}
Ouch! Thought we've seen bears fall to 1.1865 already...the market is funny
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