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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #8,841
  • Nov 3, 2020 3:09am Nov 3, 2020 3:09am
Quoting C-12
{quote} Yes, I think this USD move is a corrective retrace on DXY also. I can also see it may have some more room to go lower. NZDUSD might be still be a sell, it's in D1 supply and the stops have been swept. If I get the PA config I will take another attempt at this sell again. GBPUSD at 1.30 still of interest. {image}
I don't like that GU broke above that TL. I'm gonna wait and see how it reacts before pulling the trigger.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #8,842
  • Nov 3, 2020 3:11am Nov 3, 2020 3:11am
Quoting Roszey
GBPUSD moving up but i can see more sell pressure at this zone according to my HVC {image}
Very good long trade on GU Roszey!
  • #8,843
  • Nov 3, 2020 3:51am Nov 3, 2020 3:51am
EURUSD, I like to go short again but USD is very weak across the board atm. Lets see how it develops.
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  • #8,844
  • Nov 3, 2020 3:56am Nov 3, 2020 3:56am
I am not overly convinced by this move up either in terms of trend, but don't have any sell setup either. Seems now it's a good idea to be on the side lines until dust settles on the election.

H4 supply level at 50% and retest of TL break very interest area.
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  • #8,845
  • Nov 3, 2020 4:33am Nov 3, 2020 4:33am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Very good long trade on GU Roszey!
Thanks Sha..
It's an honor to be in your mist.
Le$$ I$ More
  • #8,846
  • Nov 3, 2020 7:35am Nov 3, 2020 7:35am
GBPUSD, looking bullish after getting S @ 1.287-1.29 and breaking above 1.30. let's see how it reacts at fib 0.61 (1.3050) and R @ 1.3080
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #8,847
  • Nov 3, 2020 7:39am Nov 3, 2020 7:39am
my technical analisys and asumption for usdidx.
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  • #8,848
  • Nov 3, 2020 7:42am Nov 3, 2020 7:42am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} USDCHF, short trade {image}
USDCHF, holding the short trade for now. Looking to see the reaction @ fib 0.50 and confluence of fib 0.61 and round number @ 0.90 for a possible long setup
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #8,849
  • Nov 3, 2020 7:48am Nov 3, 2020 7:48am
NC have found support on these level i think that these pair can offer good RR trade
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  • #8,850
  • Nov 3, 2020 7:49am Nov 3, 2020 7:49am
Still on USDCHF and kept one going on on GBPUSD. did not expect this type of move when I took this.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #8,851
  • Nov 3, 2020 7:54am Nov 3, 2020 7:54am
Quoting shahab8b
GBPUSD, looking bullish after getting S @ 1.287-1.29 and breaking above 1.30. let's see how it reacts at fib 0.61 (1.3050) and R @ 1.3080 {image} {image}
I'm with you sir !!!
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  • #8,852
  • Nov 3, 2020 7:54am Nov 3, 2020 7:54am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Looking to see the reaction
Hello shahab8b, when you say that, are you looking at lower TF for candlestick formation like Pinbar, engulfing etc... at the exact level ? thank you
  • #8,853
  • Nov 3, 2020 7:56am Nov 3, 2020 7:56am
Quoting C-12
Still on USDCHF and kept one going on on GBPUSD. did not expect this type of move when I took this. {image}
Monday is exellent start to find good trades were certain pairs revers very deep up to trend change!
  • #8,854
  • Nov 3, 2020 8:03am Nov 3, 2020 8:03am
Quoting Tragruel
{quote} Hello shahab8b, when you say that, are you looking at lower TF for candlestick formation like Pinbar, engulfing etc... at the exact level ? thank you
Yes, I'm looking at the price action on lower TF at the levels I highlight. So it's a targeted approach. You know your level before hand and then you have to identify the favorable price action. The second part requires some screen time in order to develop that skill.
  • #8,855
  • Nov 3, 2020 8:09am Nov 3, 2020 8:09am
Quoting Tragruel
{quote} Hello shahab8b, when you say that, are you looking at lower TF for candlestick formation like Pinbar, engulfing etc... at the exact level ? thank you
This is an example of the yesterday USDCHF short setup @ 0.92. You see favorable bearish candlestick formation on M15 (or even smaller TF that you are comfortable with) at the level you have highlighted before. Then you pull the trigger. If it just breezed through your level. you know that level is busted.
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  • #8,856
  • Nov 3, 2020 8:11am Nov 3, 2020 8:11am
Look's like i e'm obsesed with some cad croses but they offer very good trades in my point of wiev AUD/CAD
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  • #8,857
  • Nov 3, 2020 8:11am Nov 3, 2020 8:11am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} This is an example of the yesterday USDCHF short setup @ 0.92. You see favorable bearish candlestick formation on M15 (or even smaller TF that you are comfortable with) at the level you have highlighted before. Then you pull the trigger. {image}
Classic !!!
  • #8,858
  • Nov 3, 2020 8:14am Nov 3, 2020 8:14am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Yes, I'm looking at the price action on lower TF at the levels I highlight. So it's a targeted approach. You know your level before hand and then you have to identify the favorable price action. The second part requires some screen time in order to develop that skill.
Gotcha, This is USDCHF M1 price action on the level you identified. So there is a reaction, a bounce, even an engulfing, so the question is : is it a bounce strong enough to reverse the immediate downtrend ?
Attached Image
  • #8,859
  • Nov 3, 2020 8:16am Nov 3, 2020 8:16am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} This is an example of the yesterday USDCHF short setup @ 0.92. You see favorable bearish candlestick formation on M15 (or even smaller TF that you are comfortable with) at the level you have highlighted before. Then you pull the trigger. If it just breezed through your level. you know that level is busted. {image}
ho I see ! beautiful !
  • #8,860
  • Nov 3, 2020 8:27am Nov 3, 2020 8:27am
Quoting meugampong
UJ on my radar.. {image}
Long for UJ.
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