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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #8,641
  • Oct 28, 2020 4:59am Oct 28, 2020 4:59am
Boc in few hours
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Stay low, Go fast - No luck, All skill
  • #8,642
  • Oct 28, 2020 5:03am Oct 28, 2020 5:03am
Quoting meugampong
GJ Update.. TP Big RN. 1.35 {image}
Very good trade! Do partial tp, let it run further on the rest

That's a classic abc, min target is 133
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  • #8,643
  • Oct 28, 2020 5:10am Oct 28, 2020 5:10am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Very good trade! Do partial tp, let it run further on the rest That's a classic abc, min target is 133 {image}
shahab8bs sir, i'm so curious about abc pattern confluence with fibo to projecting wave.. if u don't mind.. i want to learn , may you reffer where i can get an article or pdf to read. its really good analysis as u show.
thanks sir..
  • #8,644
  • Oct 28, 2020 5:21am Oct 28, 2020 5:21am
Quoting meugampong
{quote} shahab8bs sir, i'm so curious about abc pattern confluence with fibo to projecting wave.. if u don't mind.. i want to learn , may you reffer where i can get an article or pdf to read. its really good analysis as u show. thanks sir..
I have posted an EW pdf file here. also google abcd harmonic pattern (the labeling is different here but the concept is the same)
  • #8,645
  • Oct 28, 2020 5:29am Oct 28, 2020 5:29am
Quoting shahab8b
EURAUD, possible long setups {image}
EURAUD, long trade
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  • #8,646
  • Oct 28, 2020 5:40am Oct 28, 2020 5:40am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} I have posted an EW pdf file here. also google abcd harmonic pattern (the labeling is different here but the concept is the same)
ahhh.. got it.. thanks sir..
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  • #8,647
  • Oct 28, 2020 6:12am Oct 28, 2020 6:12am
AU put some in the bag here and will let the rest go with the D1.

ATR is doubled and now retraced 61.8 of the move up.

Splitting the positions up or taking partials can give some flexibility. A few lessons this week received on giving pips back to BE.
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  • #8,648
  • Oct 28, 2020 6:42am Oct 28, 2020 6:42am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} EURAUD, long trade {image}
shahab8b sir.. i try and learn to using ABCD pattern to EUR/AUD to projecting D Wave..

correct me sir, maybe i could wrong..
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  • #8,649
  • Oct 28, 2020 6:54am Oct 28, 2020 6:54am
Quoting shahab8b
AUDUSD, short trade, stay bearish below 0.716 {image}
AUDUSD, possible short setups to add
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  • #8,650
  • Oct 28, 2020 6:56am Oct 28, 2020 6:56am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} USDCAD, long trade update, tp 1 1.3250, tp 2 open {image}
USDCAD long trade, tp1 reached (+100)
  • #8,651
  • Oct 28, 2020 7:09am Oct 28, 2020 7:09am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} We might see 1.22-1.23 with 100% fib ext of wave a or 1. If we see a wave 3, it will go much lower than this {image}
GBPUSD, time to revisit this old wave count. a possible short setup is sell @ 1.30 if we get a retracement.
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  • #8,652
  • Oct 28, 2020 7:15am Oct 28, 2020 7:15am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} USDCAD long trade, tp1 reached (+100)
Same. UJ now fresh out of the oven. 104 preferred but there's decent PA off this zone.
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  • #8,653
  • Oct 28, 2020 7:26am Oct 28, 2020 7:26am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} EURUSD, short trade update. and levels to watch. plan is to sell the rallies if we get any. {image}
EURUSD, short trade update. vertical move without retracement, possible short setups @ 1.1770 and 1.18 if we get a retracement. possible long comes at 1.17
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  • #8,654
  • Oct 28, 2020 7:29am Oct 28, 2020 7:29am
Bah, in middle of all this action I missed the obvious setup on gold. Oh well, was almost at my margin limits anyway.
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  • #8,655
  • Oct 28, 2020 7:30am Oct 28, 2020 7:30am
Quoting C-12
{quote} Same. UJ now fresh out of the oven. 104 preferred but there's decent PA off this zone. {image}
Good trade, but there are plenty better shorts against USD than JPY atm.
  • #8,656
  • Oct 28, 2020 7:32am Oct 28, 2020 7:32am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Good trade, but there are plenty better shorts against USD than JPY atm.
I was debating whether to take it as already loaded up on other locked in running USD positions. Had some spare capacity so decided to take it.

Got over quite a lot of running USD pair positive trades atm so I do need to be managing this barrage and not take too much on.
  • #8,657
  • Oct 28, 2020 7:33am Oct 28, 2020 7:33am
Quoting C-12
{quote} I was debating whether to take it as already loaded up on other locked in running USD positions. Had some spare capacity so decided to take it.
yea, it's good if you have margin left, haha.
  • #8,658
  • Oct 28, 2020 7:38am Oct 28, 2020 7:38am
I hope we get a retracement in NY session. can't sell more with this pa
  • #8,659
  • Oct 28, 2020 7:43am Oct 28, 2020 7:43am
NZDUSD, short setups if we get a retracement by any chance.
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  • #8,660
  • Oct 28, 2020 7:46am Oct 28, 2020 7:46am
Quoting shahab8b
SPX, weekly chart, not the perfect double top you would like to see, but it's pretty close. {image}
SPX, with this kind of drop, I won't be surprised if this pattern becomes complete sooner than expected.
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