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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #8,461
  • Edited 10:29am Oct 19, 2020 9:51am | Edited 10:29am
Quoting shahab8b
SPX, my bias is bearish below that TL. Let's see how it develops {image}
SPX, follow-up
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: SPX 1019 rt.PNG Size: 50 KB
  • #8,462
  • Oct 19, 2020 1:23pm Oct 19, 2020 1:23pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} SPX, follow-up {image}
i like this mate
  • #8,463
  • Edited 3:27pm Oct 19, 2020 2:25pm | Edited 3:27pm
Anyone hop onto this kiwi setup? Been looking at this for a few weeks and PA looks pretty good.

Cable as well, a bit of late session PA off 1.30. EU surprisingly showing some strength in the face of it.

UCAD PA looks decent as well, so took a slice at it.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NU.PNG Size: 44 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GU.PNG Size: 41 KB
  • #8,464
  • Oct 19, 2020 3:09pm Oct 19, 2020 3:09pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} EURAUD, I like the bullish structure on this chart. I went long for a second time. {image}
Hi dear shahab , See you with EURAUD I have traded EURAUD & EURNZD & GBPAUD & GBPNZD Between 2010 and 2012 but not in these years. of curse these information are very important for trade with these pairs
1- when indies future are falling , DXY is ralling and vice versa
2-when indies future are falling , time is very good for long EURAUD & EURNZD & GBPAUD & GBPNZD and vice versa
3- rise or fall(DXY) has a greater effect on AUD & NZD then EUR & NZD . for this reason 1+ pip for DXY = 1- pip for EUR and 1- pip for AUD ...... but this is interesting with 1+ pip for DXY we can see 2+pip for EURAUD and with 1- pip for DXY we can see 2- pip for EURAUD .
The main role is played by AUD
maybe these information
Maybe this information is useful for someone
  • #8,465
  • Oct 19, 2020 3:14pm Oct 19, 2020 3:14pm
In those years , carry trade was done by AUD and NZD
  • #8,466
  • Oct 19, 2020 3:33pm Oct 19, 2020 3:33pm
UCAD long, solid breakout, slow grinding retrace back to demand and 61.8. Risk across multi USD cross pair trades in check.

One thing for sure. These setups are like busses. You wait all day for one to show up and then 6 arrive at the same time...

The DXY isn't backing up these moves atm. Of course mostly via EURUSD.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: UCAD.png Size: 36 KB
  • #8,467
  • Oct 19, 2020 3:58pm Oct 19, 2020 3:58pm
Quoting C-12
Anyone hop onto this kiwi setup? Been looking at this for a few weeks and PA looks pretty good. Cable as well, a bit of late session PA off 1.30. EU surprisingly showing some strength in the face of it. UCAD PA looks decent as well, so took a slice at it. {image} {image}
I was actually going to post that NU short setup this morning, then something came up and I forgot.

I didn't catch the GU short. But I went short EU.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDUSDH1 1019.png Size: 36 KB
  • #8,468
  • Oct 19, 2020 4:04pm Oct 19, 2020 4:04pm
Quoting shahab8b
EURUSD, no directional bias atm. I'm looking at these levels for a possible short setup {image}
EURUSD, short trade
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM30 1017.png Size: 37 KB
  • #8,469
  • Oct 19, 2020 4:09pm Oct 19, 2020 4:09pm
Quoting hussin naiji
{quote} Hi dear shahab , See you with EURAUD I have traded EURAUD & EURNZD & GBPAUD & GBPNZD Between 2010 and 2012 but not in these years. of curse these information are very important for trade with these pairs 1- when indies future are falling , DXY is ralling and vice versa 2-when indies future are falling , time is very good for long EURAUD & EURNZD & GBPAUD & GBPNZD and vice versa 3- rise or fall(DXY) has a greater effect on AUD & NZD then EUR & NZD . for this reason 1+ pip for DXY = 1- pip for EUR and 1- pip for AUD ...... but this is interesting...
Hi Hussin, thanks for the detailed explanation. I don't usually trade those crosses. I got involved with EURAUD after a quick analysis I did last week. The EURAUD chart looks good for a long term buy.
  • #8,470
  • Oct 19, 2020 8:46pm Oct 19, 2020 8:46pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} AUDUSD, short trade {image}
AUDUSD, short trade update, added more on the retracement
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDH4 10192.png Size: 38 KB
  • #8,471
  • Oct 19, 2020 11:44pm Oct 19, 2020 11:44pm
Got on this as well. Yes D1 demand zone approaching but overall extremely bearish PA. If it takes out this zone should open up a bigger move south.

As for EU, 1.18 might be a decent shout but it doesn't look quite out of the oven just yet. Also the strongest of the USD crosses atm.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AU.png Size: 47 KB
  • #8,472
  • Oct 20, 2020 2:02pm Oct 20, 2020 2:02pm
Hi i think now is good time for shorting EU..!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 22.png Size: 52 KB
  • #8,473
  • Oct 21, 2020 7:44am Oct 21, 2020 7:44am
GBPUSD, long trade. Possible short (1.3180) and long (1.30) setups
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDH4 1021.png Size: 41 KB
  • #8,474
  • Oct 21, 2020 7:50am Oct 21, 2020 7:50am
Quoting shahab8b
USDCHF, short setup {image}
USDCHF, short trade update, possible long setup @ 0.90
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCHFH4 1021.png Size: 36 KB
  • #8,475
  • Oct 21, 2020 7:57am Oct 21, 2020 7:57am
Quoting shahab8b
USDJPY, the abc correction probably completed at 106, going to 104 {image}
USDJPY, short trade (2nd attempt).
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYH4 1021.png Size: 39 KB
  • #8,476
  • Oct 21, 2020 8:02am Oct 21, 2020 8:02am
EURUSD, possible short setup @ 1.19
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH4 1021.png Size: 31 KB
  • #8,477
  • Oct 21, 2020 2:30pm Oct 21, 2020 2:30pm
Quoting shahab8b
Overall, the markets are ranging across the board (H4 and daily charts). For this kind of market condition, the best approach is buying/selling S/Rs. USDCAD, possible long setup @ 1.31 {image}
USDCAD, long trade.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCADH1 1021.png Size: 43 KB
  • #8,478
  • Oct 21, 2020 2:46pm Oct 21, 2020 2:46pm
AUDUSD, possible short setup
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDH4 1021.png Size: 32 KB
  • #8,479
  • Edited 6:21pm Oct 21, 2020 2:57pm | Edited 6:21pm
USDJPY, short trade update & possible levels to add to the position in case of a rally
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYH4 10y21.png Size: 40 KB
  • #8,480
  • Oct 21, 2020 6:34pm Oct 21, 2020 6:34pm
USDCAD, a little bit skeptical about long USD atm. possible short setup
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCADM15 10 21.png Size: 42 KB
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