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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #8,401
  • Oct 15, 2020 3:19am Oct 15, 2020 3:19am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} GBPJPY, watching these levels for a possible short setup {image}
GBPJPY, short trade update
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPJPYH1 1015.png Size: 36 KB
  • #8,402
  • Oct 15, 2020 3:24am Oct 15, 2020 3:24am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} EURUSD, long trade {image}
EURUSD, out of the long trade. It is looking more bearish now. My gut feeling was to switch to short but I ignored it. I would like to see a break of 1.17. My plan is to sell the rallies.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH4 1015.png Size: 33 KB
  • #8,403
  • Oct 15, 2020 3:28am Oct 15, 2020 3:28am
Quoting shahab8b
SPXUSD, one might say it is a bullish flag. But I don't think so. I think it wants to break lower. {image}
SPXUSD, updating my short call on that fake bullish flag.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: SPXUSd 1015.PNG Size: 64 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: SPX 1014.PNG Size: 64 KB
  • #8,404
  • Oct 15, 2020 4:26am Oct 15, 2020 4:26am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} GU, switched to short and going with this wave count for now. If it breaks above the high, this will be invalid. {image}
GBPUSD, the daily chart did not respect a HH and HL pattern. It will be bearish if it closes below yesterday low.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDDaily 1015j.png Size: 37 KB
  • #8,405
  • Oct 15, 2020 5:14am Oct 15, 2020 5:14am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} GBPJPY, watching these levels for a possible short setup {image}
GBPJPY, short trade update, tp @ 133
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPJPYH4 10154.png Size: 36 KB
  • #8,406
  • Oct 15, 2020 5:17am Oct 15, 2020 5:17am
Quoting shahab8b
NZDUSD, this might also break lower. I prefer AU short. But this might get going as well. Watch S @ 0.6630 {image}
NZDUSD, short trade, tp @ 0.64
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDUSDDaily 1015.png Size: 34 KB
  • #8,407
  • Oct 15, 2020 5:22am Oct 15, 2020 5:22am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} EURUSD, out of the long trade. It is looking more bearish now. My gut feeling was to switch to short but I ignored it. I would like to see a break of 1.17. My plan is to sell the rallies. {image}
EURUSD, short trade. Let's see the reaction of 1.17.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH4 10152.png Size: 36 KB
  • #8,408
  • Oct 15, 2020 6:11am Oct 15, 2020 6:11am
EURUSD, it looks like the old scenario of the H&S neckline rejection is playing out
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDDaily 1015.png Size: 36 KB
  • #8,409
  • Oct 15, 2020 6:19am Oct 15, 2020 6:19am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} GU, switched to short and going with this wave count for now. If it breaks above the high, this will be invalid. {image}
GU, this has worked out well so far. Let's see if it can break below 1.287
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDH1 10142.png Size: 50 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDH1 1014e.png Size: 46 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDH1 1015 ew.png Size: 49 KB
  • #8,410
  • Oct 15, 2020 6:34am Oct 15, 2020 6:34am
Quoting shahab8b
USDCAD, possible saucer pattern on H1 {image}
USDCAD, long trade update. it is reaching 1.3250 confluence of former S/R and fib 0.50. It may or may not get rejected here. A good place for a partial tp.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCADDaily 1015.png Size: 31 KB
  • #8,411
  • Oct 15, 2020 6:49am Oct 15, 2020 6:49am
Quoting shahab8b
EURJPY, retesting the H&Sh neckline. {image}
EURJPY, short trade update, sl to +100
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURJPYDaily 1015 ej.png Size: 38 KB
  • #8,412
  • Oct 15, 2020 6:56am Oct 15, 2020 6:56am
Took Eur/Aud i will adjust my sl soon
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 80F6C224-D672-4010-B83F-EC2D665CE74B.png Size: 163 KB
Stay low, Go fast - No luck, All skill
  • #8,413
  • Oct 15, 2020 7:24am Oct 15, 2020 7:24am
GU, For now I'm going with a bearish count, but there is an alternative scenario as well (in red). I think if we get daily close (today or tomorrow) below 1.2870 it will become clear.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDH1 10156.png Size: 49 KB
  • #8,414
  • Oct 15, 2020 7:53am Oct 15, 2020 7:53am
Quoting tehtawar
Took Eur/Aud i will adjust my sl soon {image}
I don't trade that pair. But I see a bullish pa on daily chart. It can get rejected at the top around 1.66, so your SL is located at the right place for your short trade
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURAUDDaily 1015.png Size: 29 KB
  • #8,415
  • Oct 15, 2020 8:43am Oct 15, 2020 8:43am
EURUSD, possible short setup

Also, it's sitting on the S level @ 1.17, one can scalp long from here as well
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH1 1015.png Size: 39 KB
  • #8,416
  • Oct 15, 2020 9:02am Oct 15, 2020 9:02am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} I don't trade that pair. But I see a bullish pa on daily chart. It can get rejected at the top around 1.66, so your SL is located at the right place for your short trade {image}
Thanks Shahab, SL +1 ady
Stay low, Go fast - No luck, All skill
  • #8,417
  • Oct 15, 2020 9:48am Oct 15, 2020 9:48am
EG, Flag Pattern.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_87.png Size: 34 KB
  • #8,418
  • Oct 15, 2020 11:36am Oct 15, 2020 11:36am
AUDUSD, possible short setups
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDM15 1015.png Size: 40 KB
  • #8,419
  • Oct 15, 2020 11:39am Oct 15, 2020 11:39am
EURGBP, possible short setup
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURGBPH1 13.png Size: 46 KB
  • #8,420
  • Edited 12:50pm Oct 15, 2020 12:33pm | Edited 12:50pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} GU, this has worked out well so far. Let's see if it can break below 1.287 {image} {image} {image}
Hi my friend
can it be wave 1 and 2 with 50% retrace ? or abc- going much lower
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 14 GBPUSD-Daily.png Size: 102 KB
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