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  • Post #17,801
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  • Sep 15, 2020 10:24pm Sep 15, 2020 10:24pm
  •  The Fool
  • Joined Apr 2009 | Status: No fool like an old fool | 20,323 Posts | Online Now
Quoting The Fool
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{quote} I went Sep25 $349c for 95c, let's see if I got headfaked. Will look to diagonal for a safe profit.... ...loading Sep23 $350 short calls for $1.25......we'll see
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no dice & I decided to wait for jpow....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
 
 
  • Post #17,802
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  • Edited at 4:20pm Sep 18, 2020 2:02pm | Edited at 4:20pm
  •  Toto69
  • | Joined May 2020 | Status: Member | 148 Posts
Will AAPL trade above 116 by OCT 30 2020?
it does not cost me anything to share my knowledges
 
 
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  • Sep 18, 2020 4:19pm Sep 18, 2020 4:19pm
  •  The Fool
  • Joined Apr 2009 | Status: No fool like an old fool | 20,323 Posts | Online Now
Quoting Toto69
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Will AAPL trade above 116 by OCT 30 2020?
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IF Anything is going up, AAPL likely will be it, but no, I think there will be a rush to cash in the weeks b4 the election, and AAPL will be trading @ <$100 by 10/30....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
 
 
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  • Sep 20, 2020 11:55am Sep 20, 2020 11:55am
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https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/g...120000338.html

"This is how Goldman suggests investors brace for the turmoil:

Sell VIX Oct. $27 puts and buy Nov. $27 puts for $1.05 per contract versus reference prices of the Oct. future of $30.40 and the Nov. future of $30.80For investors wanting to hedge, they recommend selling VIX Oct. $35 calls and buying Nov. $35 calls for $1.25 per contract"
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
 
 
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  • Sep 21, 2020 4:10am Sep 21, 2020 4:10am
  •  The Fool
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PULL IN THE SHORT LEG AS IV RISES TO LOWER THE DEBIT
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
 
 
  • Post #17,806
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  • Sep 21, 2020 6:41pm Sep 21, 2020 6:41pm
  •  The Fool
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PULL IN THE SHORT LEG AS IV RISES TO LOWER THE DEBIT
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bot the Oct30 VXX vert calls, $45/$55 for $0.36
bot Nov20 VXX vert calls, $50/70, for $0.60
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
 
 
  • Post #17,807
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  • Sep 22, 2020 7:27am Sep 22, 2020 7:27am
  •  Toto69
  • | Joined May 2020 | Status: Member | 148 Posts
Quoting Toto69
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Will AAPL trade above 116 by OCT 30 2020?
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My chart printed a buy alert for AAPL .
My long AAPL 109 oct 30 2020 call option is in the money now
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it does not cost me anything to share my knowledges
 
 
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  • Sep 22, 2020 8:38am Sep 22, 2020 8:38am
  •  The Fool
  • Joined Apr 2009 | Status: No fool like an old fool | 20,323 Posts | Online Now
I think index highs are in for 2020. I want to see spoos grind up yo 3400 +/-, I want to sell a Nov SPX call vert
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
 
 
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  • Sep 22, 2020 4:00pm Sep 22, 2020 4:00pm
  •  The Fool
  • Joined Apr 2009 | Status: No fool like an old fool | 20,323 Posts | Online Now
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I think index highs are in for 2020. I want to see spoos grind up yo 3400 +/-, I want to sell a Nov SPX call vert
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the Nov20 3450/3475 nets about $1k a pop atm
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
 
 
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  • Sep 22, 2020 4:04pm Sep 22, 2020 4:04pm
  •  The Fool
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{quote}bot the Oct30 VXX vert calls, $45/$55 for $0.36 bot Nov20 VXX vert calls, $50/70, for $0.60
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the Jan '21 UVXY $50 calls went from $1 to $99 in the March spike; same date $70 calls went to $80...

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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
 
 
  • Post #17,811
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  • Edited Sep 23, 2020 8:06am Sep 22, 2020 4:25pm | Edited Sep 23, 2020 8:06am
  •  The Fool
  • Joined Apr 2009 | Status: No fool like an old fool | 20,323 Posts | Online Now
I don't think it's possible to lose money betting on rising volatility into the coming Nov04 US election. The only thing that could negate that is a blow-out win for either Trump or Biden, but we are probably guaranteed contested results in multiple states and a wait for concession from either of them for weeks or maybe even months. Equities are going to puke in that atmosphere of uncertainty.

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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
 
 
  • Post #17,812
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  • Sep 22, 2020 9:05pm Sep 22, 2020 9:05pm
  •  The Fool
  • Joined Apr 2009 | Status: No fool like an old fool | 20,323 Posts | Online Now
Brent Osachoff....lots of vids on youtube, mostly re: vix trading

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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
 
 
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  • Sep 25, 2020 3:23pm Sep 25, 2020 3:23pm
  •  The Fool
  • Joined Apr 2009 | Status: No fool like an old fool | 20,323 Posts | Online Now
bot SPX diag calls Oct2/5 $2450/2455 for 60c
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
 
 
  • Post #17,814
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  • Sep 28, 2020 11:10pm Sep 28, 2020 11:10pm
  •  The Fool
  • Joined Apr 2009 | Status: No fool like an old fool | 20,323 Posts | Online Now
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bot SPX diag calls Oct2/5 $2450/2455 for 60c
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This closed 2X today. MaxP Friday would be over 10x, probably about $7.50 net. I prolly wouldn't want to hold it thru NFP Friday.... Best would be if SPX rallies to 3400 by Wed...

uh...it's 3450/3455....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
 
 
  • Post #17,815
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  • Sep 30, 2020 12:09pm Sep 30, 2020 12:09pm
  •  Toto69
  • | Joined May 2020 | Status: Member | 148 Posts
Quoting Toto69
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Will AAPL trade above 116 by OCT 30 2020?
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AAPL Above 116 09/30/2020
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it does not cost me anything to share my knowledges
 
 
  • Post #17,816
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  • Sep 30, 2020 4:37pm Sep 30, 2020 4:37pm
  •  The Fool
  • Joined Apr 2009 | Status: No fool like an old fool | 20,323 Posts | Online Now
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{quote} This closed 2X today. MaxP Friday would be over 10x, probably about $7.50 net. I prolly wouldn't want to hold it thru NFP Friday.... Best would be if SPX rallies to 3400 by Wed... uh...it's 3450/3455....
Ignored
Time spreads are all about the last few days of action (ie, b4 the short leg expiry). Ideally, SPY grinds upward to NFP Friday. If SPY is north of $335 Thursday I'd probably take 1/2 off to avoid risk of a sharp backslide on NFP day. SPY $340 Thursday would be a 10 bagger for the diagonal. Sitting at about 3x at today's close.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
 
 
  • Post #17,817
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  • Oct 3, 2020 7:13pm Oct 3, 2020 7:13pm
  •  goosebone
  • Joined Jun 2015 | Status: Quo | 1,586 Posts
Is it possible to be shit at math but good at trading options?
(asking for an imaginary friend)
 
 
  • Post #17,818
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  • Oct 4, 2020 5:51pm Oct 4, 2020 5:51pm
  •  The Fool
  • Joined Apr 2009 | Status: No fool like an old fool | 20,323 Posts | Online Now
Quoting goosebone
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Is it possible to be shit at math but good at trading options? (asking for an imaginary friend)
Ignored
HEY man, long time no see.

There are certainly ways to trade options w/o doing any more math than most any other kind of trading. Even if you use the Greeks and start to flex some math skills, it isn't much more than what most people are exposed to in high school...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
 
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  • Post #17,819
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  • Oct 5, 2020 8:28pm Oct 5, 2020 8:28pm
  •  goosebone
  • Joined Jun 2015 | Status: Quo | 1,586 Posts
Quoting The Fool
Disliked
{quote}HEY man, long time no see. There are certainly ways to trade options w/o doing any more math than most any other kind of trading. Even if you use the Greeks and start to flex some math skills, it isn't much more than what most people are exposed to in high school...
Ignored
Cool. Might be getting braver lol. Options trading freaked me a couple too many times and I regretfully didn't get back on the horse. Still got the horse though.
Good to see you're keeping on strong over here. I lurk.

"Covid economy" has been a reengineering exercise (for many in my industry and others) and so I find myself thinking about the next chapter a lot. Who knows, might be a clichéd (and overly tattooed) Chinese character to describe that.
Stay cool Fool.
 
 
  • Post #17,820
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  • Oct 6, 2020 11:12pm Oct 6, 2020 11:12pm
  •  The Fool
  • Joined Apr 2009 | Status: No fool like an old fool | 20,323 Posts | Online Now
long vol short vol oh my

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/elect...134447298.html
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
 
 
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