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Let's Trade Options

  • #17,801
  • Sep 15, 2020 9:24pm Sep 15, 2020 9:24pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} I went Sep25 $349c for 95c, let's see if I got headfaked. Will look to diagonal for a safe profit.... ...loading Sep23 $350 short calls for $1.25......we'll see
no dice & I decided to wait for jpow....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #17,802
  • Edited 3:20pm Sep 18, 2020 1:02pm | Edited 3:20pm
Will AAPL trade above 116 by OCT 30 2020?
it does not cost me anything to share my knowledges
  • #17,803
  • Sep 18, 2020 3:19pm Sep 18, 2020 3:19pm
Quoting Toto69
Will AAPL trade above 116 by OCT 30 2020?
IF Anything is going up, AAPL likely will be it, but no, I think there will be a rush to cash in the weeks b4 the election, and AAPL will be trading @ <$100 by 10/30....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #17,804
  • Sep 20, 2020 10:55am Sep 20, 2020 10:55am
https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/g...120000338.html

"This is how Goldman suggests investors brace for the turmoil:

Sell VIX Oct. $27 puts and buy Nov. $27 puts for $1.05 per contract versus reference prices of the Oct. future of $30.40 and the Nov. future of $30.80For investors wanting to hedge, they recommend selling VIX Oct. $35 calls and buying Nov. $35 calls for $1.25 per contract"
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #17,805
  • Sep 21, 2020 3:10am Sep 21, 2020 3:10am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: VXX-01.png Size: 304 KB

PULL IN THE SHORT LEG AS IV RISES TO LOWER THE DEBIT
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #17,806
  • Sep 21, 2020 5:41pm Sep 21, 2020 5:41pm
Quoting The Fool
PULL IN THE SHORT LEG AS IV RISES TO LOWER THE DEBIT
bot the Oct30 VXX vert calls, $45/$55 for $0.36
bot Nov20 VXX vert calls, $50/70, for $0.60
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #17,807
  • Sep 22, 2020 6:27am Sep 22, 2020 6:27am
Quoting Toto69
Will AAPL trade above 116 by OCT 30 2020?
My chart printed a buy alert for AAPL .
My long AAPL 109 oct 30 2020 call option is in the money now
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: !!!!! #3 closose friday 2020-09-19-StockAndOptionQuoteForAAPL.png Size: 142 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: !!!! ENTER 2020-09-18-order_entriesentrar 1 aapl 109 call.png Size: 33 KB
it does not cost me anything to share my knowledges
  • #17,808
  • Sep 22, 2020 7:38am Sep 22, 2020 7:38am
I think index highs are in for 2020. I want to see spoos grind up yo 3400 +/-, I want to sell a Nov SPX call vert
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #17,809
  • Sep 22, 2020 3:00pm Sep 22, 2020 3:00pm
Quoting The Fool
I think index highs are in for 2020. I want to see spoos grind up yo 3400 +/-, I want to sell a Nov SPX call vert
the Nov20 3450/3475 nets about $1k a pop atm
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #17,810
  • Sep 22, 2020 3:04pm Sep 22, 2020 3:04pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote}bot the Oct30 VXX vert calls, $45/$55 for $0.36 bot Nov20 VXX vert calls, $50/70, for $0.60
the Jan '21 UVXY $50 calls went from $1 to $99 in the March spike; same date $70 calls went to $80...

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: uvxy-jan21.png Size: 82 KB
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #17,811
  • Edited Sep 23, 2020 7:06am Sep 22, 2020 3:25pm | Edited Sep 23, 2020 7:06am
I don't think it's possible to lose money betting on rising volatility into the coming Nov04 US election. The only thing that could negate that is a blow-out win for either Trump or Biden, but we are probably guaranteed contested results in multiple states and a wait for concession from either of them for weeks or maybe even months. Equities are going to puke in that atmosphere of uncertainty.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: UVXY02.png Size: 267 KB
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #17,812
  • Sep 22, 2020 8:05pm Sep 22, 2020 8:05pm
Brent Osachoff....lots of vids on youtube, mostly re: vix trading

Inserted Video
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #17,813
  • Sep 25, 2020 2:23pm Sep 25, 2020 2:23pm
bot SPX diag calls Oct2/5 $2450/2455 for 60c
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #17,814
  • Sep 28, 2020 10:10pm Sep 28, 2020 10:10pm
Quoting The Fool
bot SPX diag calls Oct2/5 $2450/2455 for 60c
This closed 2X today. MaxP Friday would be over 10x, probably about $7.50 net. I prolly wouldn't want to hold it thru NFP Friday.... Best would be if SPX rallies to 3400 by Wed...

uh...it's 3450/3455....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #17,815
  • Sep 30, 2020 11:09am Sep 30, 2020 11:09am
Quoting Toto69
Will AAPL trade above 116 by OCT 30 2020?
AAPL Above 116 09/30/2020
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2.png Size: 125 KB
it does not cost me anything to share my knowledges
  • #17,816
  • Sep 30, 2020 3:37pm Sep 30, 2020 3:37pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} This closed 2X today. MaxP Friday would be over 10x, probably about $7.50 net. I prolly wouldn't want to hold it thru NFP Friday.... Best would be if SPX rallies to 3400 by Wed... uh...it's 3450/3455....
Time spreads are all about the last few days of action (ie, b4 the short leg expiry). Ideally, SPY grinds upward to NFP Friday. If SPY is north of $335 Thursday I'd probably take 1/2 off to avoid risk of a sharp backslide on NFP day. SPY $340 Thursday would be a 10 bagger for the diagonal. Sitting at about 3x at today's close.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #17,817
  • Oct 3, 2020 6:13pm Oct 3, 2020 6:13pm
Is it possible to be shit at math but good at trading options?
(asking for an imaginary friend)
  • #17,818
  • Oct 4, 2020 4:51pm Oct 4, 2020 4:51pm
Quoting goosebone
Is it possible to be shit at math but good at trading options? (asking for an imaginary friend)
HEY man, long time no see.

There are certainly ways to trade options w/o doing any more math than most any other kind of trading. Even if you use the Greeks and start to flex some math skills, it isn't much more than what most people are exposed to in high school...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #17,819
  • Oct 5, 2020 7:28pm Oct 5, 2020 7:28pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote}HEY man, long time no see. There are certainly ways to trade options w/o doing any more math than most any other kind of trading. Even if you use the Greeks and start to flex some math skills, it isn't much more than what most people are exposed to in high school...
Cool. Might be getting braver lol. Options trading freaked me a couple too many times and I regretfully didn't get back on the horse. Still got the horse though.
Good to see you're keeping on strong over here. I lurk.

"Covid economy" has been a reengineering exercise (for many in my industry and others) and so I find myself thinking about the next chapter a lot. Who knows, might be a clichéd (and overly tattooed) Chinese character to describe that.
Stay cool Fool.
  • #17,820
  • Oct 6, 2020 10:12pm Oct 6, 2020 10:12pm
long vol short vol oh my

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/elect...134447298.html
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
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