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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #8,241
  • Edited 7:11am Oct 2, 2020 5:17am | Edited 7:11am
I think the Nasdaq may be building a H&S formation with a future neckline at 11,200. It is finishing the Head now. There may be a bounce at the neckline to build the right shoulder.
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Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #8,242
  • Oct 2, 2020 7:55am Oct 2, 2020 7:55am
Quoting shahab8b
NZDUSD, levels to watch for a possible short setup {image}
NZDUSD, short trade
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  • #8,243
  • Edited 8:20am Oct 2, 2020 8:01am | Edited 8:20am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} EURUSD, short trade. I don't know if that broadening pattern is done as they are difficult to predict (and I don't have a crystal ball). If I get stopped out, I will be looking for a possible short setup between 1.1775 and 1.1825. {image}
EURUSD, short trade update. Nothing has changed. 1.17 proved to be a tough S. If I get stopped out, I will be looking at 1.1775-1.1825 for a possible short setup
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #8,244
  • Oct 2, 2020 8:13am Oct 2, 2020 8:13am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} AUDUSD, long trade update. sl to below daily low, tp @ 0.92. Possible short setup @ 0.72 and 0.7250 {image}
AUDUSD, short trade.
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  • #8,245
  • Oct 2, 2020 8:14am Oct 2, 2020 8:14am
Quoting tashkent
{quote} it is just another myth same as trendlines
let's keep this your first and last post in my thread.
  • #8,246
  • Oct 2, 2020 8:19am Oct 2, 2020 8:19am
taking short side for gold..
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  • #8,247
  • Oct 2, 2020 8:31am Oct 2, 2020 8:31am
Quoting shahab8b
GBPUSD, I don't have a directional bias atm. I'll consider the following levels for possible long or short setups. : S @ 1.28, R @ 1.29-1.2950 and 1.30 {image}
GBPUSD, I posted a market condition/cycle diagram a few pages back. This is the exact definition of range/irregular market condition. I have a mild bearish bias as long as daily close remains below 1.30. My next order is a sell @ 1.30
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  • #8,248
  • Oct 2, 2020 8:43am Oct 2, 2020 8:43am
Dollar/Yen.

Trading opportunity to watch for short setup
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  • #8,249
  • Edited 9:26am Oct 2, 2020 9:10am | Edited 9:26am
Quoting shahab8b
USDJPY, I'll be watching 105.60 - 105.80 for a possible short setup {image}
USDJPY, short trade. I got stopped out at b/e on the previous attempt due to the market noise. It's looking better now.
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  • #8,250
  • Oct 2, 2020 9:26am Oct 2, 2020 9:26am
GU, trying to make sense out of this nonsense
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  • #8,251
  • Oct 2, 2020 9:40am Oct 2, 2020 9:40am
EURJPY
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  • #8,252
  • Oct 2, 2020 12:29pm Oct 2, 2020 12:29pm
USDJPY, possible short trade on M15
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  • #8,253
  • Oct 2, 2020 11:50pm Oct 2, 2020 11:50pm
Quoting shahab8b
I have to post this because of a few pms I have received. If you are newbie, you are in the wrong thread. I know my chart looks simple, but you have to understand all the basics first. That includes reading babypips.com at least twice. Not to mention several other TA books that I will list in another post.
sir.. im waiting your TA book list.. please.
  • #8,254
  • Edited 1:31am Oct 3, 2020 1:19am | Edited 1:31am
Quoting shahab8b
EURJPY {image}
Imo sir, after NFP which doesn't have strong momentum and effect, i decided to change my direction and waiting the triggers to enter..
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  • #8,255
  • Oct 3, 2020 1:50pm Oct 3, 2020 1:50pm
GOLD
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  • #8,256
  • Oct 3, 2020 1:53pm Oct 3, 2020 1:53pm
QQQ
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  • #8,257
  • Oct 4, 2020 4:09pm Oct 4, 2020 4:09pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} GBPUSD, I posted a market condition/cycle diagram a few pages back. This is the exact definition of range/irregular market condition. I have a mild bearish bias as long as daily close remains below 1.30. My next order is a sell @ 1.30 {image}
Excellent thread, well impressed. This one has gone under the radar for years it seems.

In terms of GBPUSD, 1.30 should provide a sell setup and 1.31 is a very attractive location.

Agree on Nasdaq. Only question is is they try and pump this bubble one final time. The tops looks to be in place. MN specifically negative.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #8,258
  • Oct 4, 2020 7:06pm Oct 4, 2020 7:06pm
Quoting C-12
{quote} Excellent thread, well impressed. This one has gone under the radar for years it seems. In terms of GBPUSD, 1.30 should provide a sell setup and 1.31 is a very attractive location. Agree on Nasdaq. Only question is is they try and pump this bubble one final time. The tops looks to be in place. MN specifically negative. {image} {image}
Thank you for the kind words.
I like the idea of selling GU @ 1.30. Let's see how it plays out. As for the US indices, they will pump it up as long as they can, but eventually this fake bubble will burst. It's just a matter of time.
  • #8,259
  • Oct 5, 2020 1:34am Oct 5, 2020 1:34am
For EU I like your sell idea too. Ideally I would like to see a breakout trap (above the TL and that last swing high)

There's an untested M30 supply sat just ahead of 1.18 / 50%. One possibly for later in the week.

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  • #8,260
  • Oct 5, 2020 3:27am Oct 5, 2020 3:27am
Head and Shoulders almost complete.
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Observation is the path to discovery.
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