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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #8,141
  • Sep 26, 2020 7:19am Sep 26, 2020 7:19am
GBPUSD,
Daily remains bearish below 1.30. H4 remains bearish as long as TL and R@ 1.28 hold. It looks like a bearish flag. There is bullish divergence on RSI, if it breaks above 1.28, it will have upside potential.
Weekly COT data: GBP long 3K vs 2k long last week. Longs increased by 1K

On monthly chart, I see 1.26-1.2630 as a potential buy level.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU 926.PNG Size: 101 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GU month9.PNG Size: 88 KB
  • #8,142
  • Sep 26, 2020 7:48am Sep 26, 2020 7:48am
EURUSD,
There is a medium term top in place @ 1.20. H4/H1 remains bearish below [email protected]. However it respects the broken TL on the opposite side. A break above 1.1685 will have upside potential.

Weekly COT data: EUR long 191K vs 179K long last week. Longs increased by 12K

A possible short setup will be selling the rallies to H&S neckline @ 1.1750-1.1775
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU 926 i.PNG Size: 81 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EU 926 d.PNG Size: 129 KB
  • #8,143
  • Sep 27, 2020 4:35pm Sep 27, 2020 4:35pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} I had a short setup on EURGBP, but it didnt reach my sell order. I think GBP might be stronger than EUR in the near term (based on the charts). Here is a short setup for EURGBP {image}
EURGBP, short trade update, it has reached S @ 0.91, it's a good time to tp on half, my target remains @ 0.90
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURGBPH1 927.png Size: 45 KB
  • #8,144
  • Sep 27, 2020 4:42pm Sep 27, 2020 4:42pm
USDCAD, it may provide short opportunity if it remains below 1.3415 considering the bearish divergence on RSI. Possible long setups @ 1.3250 and 1.32
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USCAD 927.PNG Size: 139 KB
  • #8,145
  • Sep 27, 2020 5:23pm Sep 27, 2020 5:23pm
AUDUSD, possible double bottom on H1/H2
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSD 927.PNG Size: 109 KB
  • #8,146
  • Sep 28, 2020 1:28am Sep 28, 2020 1:28am
shahabb very nice trading. i am watching you 2 months. impressed accuracy. .
inverted head and shoulder.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 70 KB
  • #8,147
  • Sep 28, 2020 5:36am Sep 28, 2020 5:36am
Quoting shahab8b
GBPUSD, Daily remains bearish below 1.30. H4 remains bearish as long as TL and R@ 1.28 hold. It looks like a bearish flag. There is bullish divergence on RSI, if it breaks above 1.28, it will have upside potential. Weekly COT data: GBP long 3K vs 2k long last week. Longs increased by 1K On monthly chart, I see 1.26-1.2630 as a potential buy level. {image} {image}
GBPUSD, I pointed out the bullish divergence on RSI (H4) and upside potential above 1.28. I think we have a short term bottom in place. Buying the dips against 1.28. To early to say, but I think it will take out 1.30 next.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU 928.PNG Size: 118 KB
  • #8,148
  • Sep 28, 2020 5:38am Sep 28, 2020 5:38am
Quoting pointlessfor
shahabb very nice trading. i am watching you 2 months. impressed accuracy. . inverted head and shoulder. {image}
Thank you pointlessfor.
  • #8,149
  • Sep 28, 2020 6:48am Sep 28, 2020 6:48am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} GBPUSD, I pointed out the bullish divergence on RSI (H4) and upside potential above 1.28. I think we have a short term bottom in place. Buying the dips against 1.28. To early to say, but I think it will take out 1.30 next. {image}
GU, for now its a buy up to 1.30. then we have to wait and see if it can break 1.30. There is also fib 0.38 confluence around 1.30. so 1.30 can provide plenty of R.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU 928 2020.PNG Size: 131 KB
  • #8,150
  • Sep 28, 2020 8:10am Sep 28, 2020 8:10am
GBPUSD, possible long setup, in case we get a deep retracement.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU long 928.PNG Size: 134 KB
  • #8,151
  • Sep 28, 2020 10:04am Sep 28, 2020 10:04am
EURUSD, possible long setup
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU long 928.PNG Size: 118 KB
  • #8,152
  • Sep 28, 2020 10:45am Sep 28, 2020 10:45am
USDCHF, short trade, similar to the EU long trade.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCHFH1 928.png Size: 35 KB
  • #8,153
  • Sep 28, 2020 9:34pm Sep 28, 2020 9:34pm
Quoting shahab8b
USDCAD, it may provide short opportunity if it remains below 1.3415 considering the bearish divergence on RSI. Possible long setups @ 1.3250 and 1.32 {image}
Hi shahab8b,
Is this setup still valid?
  • #8,154
  • Sep 29, 2020 5:28am Sep 29, 2020 5:28am
Quoting KevinZeng
{quote} Hi shahab8b, Is this setup still valid?
Well, I am still in that trade. But it's forming a triangle that might break out either side (more likely to the upside). So the confidence is low.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCADM30 929.png Size: 45 KB
  • #8,155
  • Sep 29, 2020 5:35am Sep 29, 2020 5:35am
Quoting shahab8b
AUDUSD, possible double bottom on H1/H2 {image}
AUDUSD, long trade update. & the levels to look at for a possible short setup
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDH1 929.png Size: 44 KB
  • #8,156
  • Sep 29, 2020 5:49am Sep 29, 2020 5:49am
Quoting shahab8b
EURUSD, possible long setup {image}
EURUSD, long trade. Looking to short @ the daily chart H&Sh neckline
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM30 929.png Size: 45 KB
  • #8,157
  • Sep 29, 2020 6:11am Sep 29, 2020 6:11am
Quoting shahab8b
USDCHF, short trade, similar to the EU long trade. {image}
USDCHF, short trade update, adjusting sl (+30) and tp (0.9150)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCHFH1 929.png Size: 36 KB
  • #8,158
  • Sep 29, 2020 6:51am Sep 29, 2020 6:51am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} USDCHF, short trade update, adjusting sl (+30) and tp (0.9150) {image}
really admire your mm, adjusting tp and even adding to winners. Great trades, i've improved mine thanks to you.

Thank you!
you can't stop the waves, but you can learn to surf
  • #8,159
  • Sep 29, 2020 7:18am Sep 29, 2020 7:18am
how to identify the trend based on pa (EU H1)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH1 9291.png Size: 40 KB
  • #8,160
  • Sep 29, 2020 7:33am Sep 29, 2020 7:33am
Quoting shahab8b
GBPUSD, possible long setup, in case we get a deep retracement. {image}
GBPUSD, long trade. PA is difficult to read atm. A safer trade would be long @ 1.28 or 1.2775. alternatively a short @ 1.30 might work as well.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDM15 929.png Size: 45 KB
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