hi TimeTells,
I appreciate you going to the effort to explore those 4 possibilities of hedging in such detail,
I have no issue with any of your scenarios.
In any situation where all 4 possibilities play out,
1: the non-hedger gains 60 points, (+30, +30, -30, +30), averaging 15 points per trade, and
2: the hedger gains 75 points, (+30, +25, -15, + 35). averaging 18.75 points per trade.
However, I maintain you are finessing your primary edge.
Your edge is the initial entry, hedging is managing that edge with an additional artistic flourish.
(You are scoring a goal, kicking the ball on target, whether you blast it into the net, or gently chip it over the goalie into the net.)
I appreciate you going to the effort to explore those 4 possibilities of hedging in such detail,
I have no issue with any of your scenarios.
In any situation where all 4 possibilities play out,
1: the non-hedger gains 60 points, (+30, +30, -30, +30), averaging 15 points per trade, and
2: the hedger gains 75 points, (+30, +25, -15, + 35). averaging 18.75 points per trade.
However, I maintain you are finessing your primary edge.
Your edge is the initial entry, hedging is managing that edge with an additional artistic flourish.
(You are scoring a goal, kicking the ball on target, whether you blast it into the net, or gently chip it over the goalie into the net.)
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