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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #7,821
  • Sep 9, 2020 9:30am Sep 9, 2020 9:30am
SPY
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  • #7,822
  • Sep 9, 2020 9:33am Sep 9, 2020 9:33am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} update...1.30022 level needs to be taken out to stop fall... {image} {image}
Thanks for the charts Coreg. You were super accurate as always. Did you see my comment on wave c being very steep?
  • #7,823
  • Edited 9:46am Sep 9, 2020 9:36am | Edited 9:46am
Quoting shahab8b
USDCAD {image}
USDCAD.
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  • #7,824
  • Sep 9, 2020 9:43am Sep 9, 2020 9:43am
USDCHF
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  • #7,825
  • Sep 9, 2020 10:36am Sep 9, 2020 10:36am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Thanks for the charts Coreg. You were super accurate as always. Did you see my comment on wave c being very steep?
shahab8b, we are not out of the woods yet with GU, still, too many scenarios (how likely is the W-4 to be v-shaped???) abc most likely will bust my zone for 4th...sorry for missing a lot of communication here...
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,826
  • Sep 9, 2020 10:45am Sep 9, 2020 10:45am
EURUSD, was unable to break the S zone, not looking good for a bearish case. It's actually looking bullish
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  • #7,827
  • Sep 9, 2020 10:52am Sep 9, 2020 10:52am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} shahab8b, we are not out of the woods yet with GU, still, too many scenarios (how likely is the W-4 to be v-shaped???) abc most likely will bust my zone for 4th...sorry for missing a lot of communication here...
yea, it could be v-shaped. But looking at the US indices, I think there is more to come for the down side. it could turn into a complex correction.
  • #7,828
  • Sep 9, 2020 11:11am Sep 9, 2020 11:11am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} yea, it could be v-shaped. But looking at the US indices, I think there is more to come for the down side. it could turn into a complex correction.
shahab8b, DXY is at a critical spot right now...the strength of EU against DX is surprising for me that's why I depend on 30M charts as of right now and wait what the future brings us in the coming days on larger TF...
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Click to Enlarge Name: EU 09.09.daily.png Size: 81 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,829
  • Sep 9, 2020 11:17am Sep 9, 2020 11:17am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} shahab8b, we are not out of the woods yet with GU, still, too many scenarios (how likely is the W-4 to be v-shaped???) abc most likely will bust my zone for 4th...sorry for missing a lot of communication here...
it doesn't have to go lower than 1.285, there are many possibilities.
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  • #7,830
  • Edited 11:34am Sep 9, 2020 11:22am | Edited 11:34am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} shahab8b, DXY is at a critical spot right now...the strength of EU against DX is surprising for me that's why I depend on 30M charts as of right now and wait what the future brings us in the coming days on larger TF... {image} {image}
I know, the EU chart is not easy to read. It can be an expanding triangle as a wave 4

We have the ECB tomorrow. That can provide some movements.
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  • #7,831
  • Sep 9, 2020 11:50am Sep 9, 2020 11:50am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} it doesn't have to go lower than 1.285, there are many possibilities. {image}
shahab8b, be careful what you wish for ...
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Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,832
  • Sep 9, 2020 1:40pm Sep 9, 2020 1:40pm
If the zone breaks, i will buy. All i do now is wait..
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Le$$ I$ More
  • #7,833
  • Sep 9, 2020 2:40pm Sep 9, 2020 2:40pm
Quoting Roszey
If the zone breaks, i will buy. All i do now is wait.. {image}
yea, it has 1.30 and 1.3050 former S turned R overhead. above that, it will look more promising.
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  • #7,834
  • Sep 9, 2020 2:46pm Sep 9, 2020 2:46pm
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} shahab8b, be careful what you wish for ... {image}
I think it's more likely, considering the EW guideline of alternation for corrective waves. The wave 2 was a zigzag, for this one, a flat seems unlikely, hence, a triangle or some complex formation can come into play.
  • #7,835
  • Sep 9, 2020 3:08pm Sep 9, 2020 3:08pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} yea, it has 1.30 and 1.3050 former S turned R overhead. above that, it will look more promising. {image}
let wait and see. the market is full of tricks.
Le$$ I$ More
  • #7,836
  • Sep 9, 2020 7:54pm Sep 9, 2020 7:54pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} it doesn't have to go lower than 1.285, there are many possibilities. {image}
You guys are my mentor on waves, but it seems the idea is getting more complex to make that a 4.The weekly cannot be changed easy it may hold up but I'd limit it to where there were no buyers this week,
where the gap exists, more than likely you need another weekly to go there's v shape is off the table.
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #7,837
  • Sep 10, 2020 4:16am Sep 10, 2020 4:16am
Quoting Bones
{quote} You guys are my mentor on waves, but it seems the idea is getting more complex to make that a 4.The weekly cannot be changed easy it may hold up but I'd limit it to where there were no buyers this week, where the gap exists, more than likely you need another weekly to go there's v shape is off the table.
Bones, I’m pretty flexible on the wave count. Whether this is wave 1 of a 5-wave decline or wave 4, it needs a leg up. For now I’m targeting 50% retracement of the down move. Then we can assess based on the wave structure. If it turns south from here and goes below 1.28 (wave 1), the original wave count needs revision.
  • #7,838
  • Sep 10, 2020 4:24am Sep 10, 2020 4:24am
Quoting shahab8b
USDCHF {image}
USDCHF, short trade
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  • #7,839
  • Sep 10, 2020 4:28am Sep 10, 2020 4:28am
GU, it has to clear 1.3050 former S turned R for more upside. it remains bullish above 1.2975 short-term (H1)
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  • #7,840
  • Sep 10, 2020 4:46am Sep 10, 2020 4:46am
Quoting shahab8b
EURUSD, was unable to break the S zone, not looking good for a bearish case. It's actually looking bullish {image}
EURUSD, long trade, sl to b/e
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