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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #7,721
  • Sep 4, 2020 9:19am Sep 4, 2020 9:19am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} Bones, the TF is too big for me, I am the guy who trades moves of 30-60 pips...the biggest TF's I follow are daily and 2H...Whatever works for you I am happy. There is a holy grail for everyone. We need only to find it.
it's a very reliable tf for outlook ,it can close like that ,maybe back up to the high and tl ,
It gives heads up to that monthly you see today, because it close in a few hours.
but really this trend is over imo
see what happens with the tl ,but I don't think hold at all
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 22 GBPUSD-Daily.png Size: 51 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: DJI-3-weeks.png Size: 17 KB
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #7,722
  • Sep 4, 2020 9:31am Sep 4, 2020 9:31am
EURUSD, watching that S zone and TL
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU S and tl.PNG Size: 72 KB
  • #7,723
  • Sep 4, 2020 9:34am Sep 4, 2020 9:34am
Quoting Coreg2004
shahab8b, have you seen the videos on elliottwave.com yesterday?...today would be very helpful... {image}
No I haven't seen it. Is it on the main page?
  • #7,724
  • Sep 4, 2020 9:43am Sep 4, 2020 9:43am
Quoting shahab8b
AU, possible H&Sh on H1 {image}
AUDUSD, short trade, almost there. Patience always pays off.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #7,725
  • Sep 4, 2020 9:44am Sep 4, 2020 9:44am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} No I haven't seen it. Is it on the main page?
yes, as I marked in my prior post..https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...0#post13148160
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,726
  • Sep 4, 2020 10:03am Sep 4, 2020 10:03am
EU, lets see if it can break below 1.1750 and 1.17 next. There might be a mid term top in place
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU 94.PNG Size: 131 KB
  • #7,727
  • Sep 4, 2020 10:06am Sep 4, 2020 10:06am
Quoting Coreg2004
Let see if/how big NFP news affects EW count...I'm not in the market right now... {image}
Coreg, you're going with a very sharp abc (zigzag), right? I am wondering if this is all wave a and we get a wave b after that before breaking lower
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #7,728
  • Sep 4, 2020 10:07am Sep 4, 2020 10:07am
shahab8b, are we going to bet today?
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU 09.04.5M.b.png Size: 69 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GU 09.04.daily.png Size: 94 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,729
  • Sep 4, 2020 10:13am Sep 4, 2020 10:13am
USDCHF, this one seems reversing as well. it has to break 0.92 and 0.9240, but the pattern is a little ahead of EU
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #7,730
  • Sep 4, 2020 10:15am Sep 4, 2020 10:15am
Quoting Coreg2004
shahab8b, are we going to bet today? {image} {image}
haha, no, I went long GU @ 1.3185, so I don't want to lose on two bets today.
  • #7,731
  • Sep 4, 2020 10:17am Sep 4, 2020 10:17am
Quoting Bones
$ wedge is easier on eye on that index even across the majors , if it can break free next week. {image}
when the dow falls $ is required
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: 22 DJI-Weekly.png Size: 31 KB
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #7,732
  • Sep 4, 2020 10:27am Sep 4, 2020 10:27am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Coreg, you're going with a very sharp abc (zigzag), right? I am wondering if this is all wave a and we get a wave b after that before breaking lower {image}
shahab8b, still too many options on the table to say something definitely...I would like to see AB=CD level to be reached to fantasize that correction is over.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU 09.04.30M.png Size: 93 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,733
  • Sep 4, 2020 10:40am Sep 4, 2020 10:40am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} shahab8b, still too many options on the table to say something definitely...I would like to see AB=CD level to be reached to fantasize that correction is over. {image}
You're always right

I was going with this wave count. I was quick to move sl to b/e.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #7,734
  • Sep 4, 2020 10:46am Sep 4, 2020 10:46am
Quoting Bones
{quote} when the dow falls $ is required {image} {image}
That's a very likely scenario. It needs a little more push to break all those TLs and structural S/Rs
  • #7,735
  • Sep 4, 2020 11:05am Sep 4, 2020 11:05am
Quoting shahab8b
USDCAD, levels I'm looking at for a possible short setup {image}
USDCAD, short trade update
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #7,736
  • Sep 4, 2020 11:24am Sep 4, 2020 11:24am
SPY, looking to buy @ 300 as a long term play
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  • #7,737
  • Sep 4, 2020 11:49am Sep 4, 2020 11:49am
Quoting shahab8b
EURUSD, watching that S zone and TL {image}
EURUSD, long trade, the S and rising TL remain intact for now. However, a clear break below 1.1750, 1.170 will indicate a mid-term top in place
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH1 942.png Size: 35 KB
  • #7,738
  • Sep 4, 2020 12:01pm Sep 4, 2020 12:01pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} haha, no, I went long GU @ 1.3185, so I don't want to lose on two bets today.
GBPUSD, long trade update, it's looking better now, but below 1.3250 and 1.33 S zone and downtrend TL remains vulnerable to another leg down.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDH1 94long.png Size: 39 KB
  • #7,739
  • Sep 4, 2020 12:06pm Sep 4, 2020 12:06pm
EU, possible short scalp idea, it's not a bad setup for short scalp if it stays below that box, I'd close short trades if it breaks above the box though. A similar setup on GU
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #7,740
  • Sep 4, 2020 12:08pm Sep 4, 2020 12:08pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} You're always right I was going with this wave count. I was quick to move sl to b/e. {image}
shahab8b, what can I say? complicated business (EW) ...On the daily chart, I am still not convinced that correction is over after shallow potential 4th because timing is way off...only 3 days down compering to W-2 13 days down...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU 09.04.15M.png Size: 88 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
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