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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #7,641
  • Edited 7:42am Sep 1, 2020 6:48am | Edited 7:42am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} Yeah, let's shock FF nation again... {image}
At this point, it's anybody guesses where potential W_3 stops...The standard level (1.3446) for this wave has been reached and GU is in PRZ right now.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU 09.01.30M.png Size: 87 KB
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU 09.01.daily.png Size: 82 KB
...and DXY chart
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Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,642
  • Sep 1, 2020 8:14am Sep 1, 2020 8:14am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} At this point, it's anybody guesses where potential W_3 stops...The standard level (1.3446) for this wave has been reached and GU is in PRZ right now.{image}{image}...and DXY chart {image}
Yes, I think it should be around the corner. Looking at EU M5, it needs a 40-50 pips push higher.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #7,643
  • Sep 1, 2020 8:19am Sep 1, 2020 8:19am
All I ask for is one more push to 1.35009 and I won't wait one month more to be in the winning group...please...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU 09.01.15M.png Size: 76 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,644
  • Sep 1, 2020 8:35am Sep 1, 2020 8:35am
Quoting Coreg2004
All I ask for is one more push to 1.35009 and I won't wait one month more to be in the winning group...please... {image}
EU got a nasty rejection above 1.20. Usually I would tp @ 1.20 and switch to short, but this time I think I'm biased.
  • #7,645
  • Sep 1, 2020 8:43am Sep 1, 2020 8:43am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Yes, I think it should be around the corner. Looking at EU M5, it needs a 40-50 pips push higher. {image}
That terminal spike would satisfy the pattern I was looking at. now focus is on the TL and S zone
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU 135.PNG Size: 82 KB
  • #7,646
  • Sep 1, 2020 8:49am Sep 1, 2020 8:49am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} EU got a nasty rejection above 1.20. Usually I would tp @ 1.20 and switch to short, but this time I think I'm biased.
We knew broader PRZ for EU but to pinpoint the reversal point we need to correctly label wave(v) of the potential end of W_C or W_3, but on smaller TF we can swing back and forth like broken doors for intra-day trades with the target of 20-40 pips...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU 09.01.daily.png Size: 84 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,647
  • Sep 1, 2020 9:03am Sep 1, 2020 9:03am
AU, possible H&Sh on H1
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  • #7,648
  • Sep 1, 2020 9:14am Sep 1, 2020 9:14am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} USDCHF, another long attempt @ 0.90 {image}
USDCHF, long trade update, moved sl to (+50), tp 0.9150
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #7,649
  • Sep 1, 2020 9:24am Sep 1, 2020 9:24am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} That terminal spike would satisfy the pattern I was looking at. now focus is on the TL and S zone {image}
EU
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #7,650
  • Sep 1, 2020 9:30am Sep 1, 2020 9:30am
EU, H2 double top
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #7,651
  • Sep 1, 2020 10:10am Sep 1, 2020 10:10am
EU, H4, possible double top, 2 hrs left for the candle close.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #7,652
  • Sep 1, 2020 11:13am Sep 1, 2020 11:13am
GU, long scalp
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #7,653
  • Sep 1, 2020 11:20am Sep 1, 2020 11:20am
Quoting shahab8b
GU, long scalp {image}
let's see if it bounces from 1.34
  • #7,654
  • Edited 12:07pm Sep 1, 2020 11:38am | Edited 12:07pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} EU {image}
EU, short trade
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM5 491png.png Size: 40 KB
  • #7,655
  • Edited 12:01pm Sep 1, 2020 11:42am | Edited 12:01pm
GU, looks like an abc corrective wave here as well, 1.3382 as possible level for wave c end
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #7,656
  • Sep 1, 2020 12:13pm Sep 1, 2020 12:13pm
Quoting shahab8b
EU, H2 double top {image}
EURUSD, the double top pattern worked well. I'm adjusting tp to 1.1850
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH4 doubletop.png Size: 35 KB
  • #7,657
  • Sep 1, 2020 12:21pm Sep 1, 2020 12:21pm
Quoting shahab8b
GU, looks like an abc corrective wave here as well, 1.3382 as possible level for wave c end {image}
GU, I went long again
  • #7,658
  • Sep 1, 2020 3:40pm Sep 1, 2020 3:40pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} USDCHF, long trade update, moved sl to (+50), tp 0.9150 {image}
The ending diagonal formation is clear on USDCHF. A break of structural R @ 0.9240 will indicate a mid-term trend reversal
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #7,659
  • Sep 1, 2020 4:22pm Sep 1, 2020 4:22pm
Quoting shahab8b
GBPUSD, weekly chart. The bias remains bullish; however, I don't think it is going to be a smooth sailing from here to 1.35. But there is no telling where it might turn and the box is 200 pips wide so it's better to trade it day by day. for now bullish with solid S @ 1.3150. {image}
GU, as expected that wick showed its power today.

The short term trend is still bullish as long as TL and S @ 1.3350 and 1.3300 hold. a clear break below 1.33 will delay 1.35
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #7,660
  • Sep 1, 2020 4:39pm Sep 1, 2020 4:39pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} EURUSD, the double top pattern worked well. I'm adjusting tp to 1.1850 {image}
EURUSD, with that bearish daily candle and RSI divergence in this kind of strong uptrend, you gotta ask if you should sell the rallies or buy the dips.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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