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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #7,601
  • Aug 28, 2020 3:48am Aug 28, 2020 3:48am
Quoting shahab8b
GBPUSD, after all these up and down moves, it's still coiling for the next move. The bias remains bullish above 1.3050 {image}
GBPUSD, long trade, I expect selling pressure around 1.33-1.3350
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDH4 82820202.png Size: 36 KB
  • #7,602
  • Aug 28, 2020 5:11am Aug 28, 2020 5:11am
AUDUSD
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSD twezzer.PNG Size: 54 KB
  • #7,603
  • Aug 28, 2020 5:57am Aug 28, 2020 5:57am
Quoting shahab8b
USDJPY, short setup {image}
USDJPY, short trade update, moved sl to (+90)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYH4 828e2.png Size: 33 KB
  • #7,604
  • Aug 28, 2020 7:32am Aug 28, 2020 7:32am
AUDUSD, I'm watching this for a possible short scalp
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AU scalp.PNG Size: 58 KB
  • #7,605
  • Aug 28, 2020 7:49am Aug 28, 2020 7:49am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} shahab8b, you put me out of business... {image}
update...
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU08.28.60M.png Size: 90 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GU08.28.daily..png Size: 67 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,606
  • Aug 28, 2020 9:34am Aug 28, 2020 9:34am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} update... {image} {image}
yea, it is on its way to +1.35 as you predicted. I've moved the sl to below H4 candle. I'll buy the dips if we a get a retracement. I'm gonna scalp short above +1.331
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDH4 8282020i.png Size: 34 KB
  • #7,607
  • Aug 28, 2020 9:54am Aug 28, 2020 9:54am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} yea, it is on its way to +1.35 as you predicted. I've moved the sl to below H4 candle. I'll buy the dips if we a get a retracement. I'm gonna scalp short above +1.331 {image}
Daily helps me to be on the right side of the market when I intra-day trade...surprise, surprise...we have GU daily chart here in your thread on a regular basis from June, 2
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU06.02.daily.png Size: 85 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,608
  • Aug 28, 2020 10:06am Aug 28, 2020 10:06am
I love it when everything goes by the book...120% ATR hit ...wow
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU08.28.15M.png Size: 69 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,609
  • Aug 28, 2020 10:06am Aug 28, 2020 10:06am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} Daily helps me to be on the right side of the market when I intra-day trade...surprise, surprise...we have GU daily chart here in your thread on a regular basis from June, 2 {image}
yea, it's amazing how these charts showed us the road map in the last 3 months.
  • #7,610
  • Aug 28, 2020 10:38am Aug 28, 2020 10:38am
and the DXY chart is helpful for trading EU, UJ, and GU ...I was moaning about 5th diagonal for 2 days at least...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DX08.28.daily.b.png Size: 75 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,611
  • Aug 28, 2020 10:44am Aug 28, 2020 10:44am
Quoting Coreg2004
and the DXY chart is helpful for trading EU, UJ, and GU ...I was moaning about 5th diagonal for 2 days at least... {image}
yea, I keep going back to that chart. It's playing out as expected.

At what point are you gonna label the decline as an impulse?
  • #7,612
  • Aug 28, 2020 11:03am Aug 28, 2020 11:03am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} yea, I keep going back to that chart. It's playing out as expected. At what point are you gonna label the decline as an impulse?
When DXY retraces to potential 4th wave zone then stops and reverses (right now we have only zig-zag ABC) or when 1.618 APP (alternative price projection) level is taken out substantially. It gives us an indication that more is to come...Wave C by theory should stop at this level (1.618) 91.945...but you know how theory often goes astray with reality...
Attached Image
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,613
  • Aug 28, 2020 12:08pm Aug 28, 2020 12:08pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} yea, it is on its way to +1.35 as you predicted. I've moved the sl to below H4 candle. I'll buy the dips if we a get a retracement. I'm gonna scalp short above +1.331 {image}
GU, closed the long trade, scalping short sl to b/e, the last trade for this week. have a good weekend all.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDH1 82820201.png Size: 33 KB
  • #7,614
  • Aug 28, 2020 12:21pm Aug 28, 2020 12:21pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} GU, closed the long trade, scalping short sl to b/e, the last trade for this week. have a good weekend all. {image}
shahab8b, I have to mess with you...what if (v)th is not in place yet?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU08.28.15M.b.png Size: 72 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,615
  • Aug 29, 2020 11:16am Aug 29, 2020 11:16am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} shahab8b, I have to mess with you...what if (v)th is not in place yet? {image}
haha, you are always correct Coreg.
  • #7,616
  • Aug 29, 2020 11:31am Aug 29, 2020 11:31am
GBPUSD, weekly chart. The bias remains bullish; however, I don't think it is going to be a smooth sailing from here to 1.35. But there is no telling where it might turn and the box is 200 pips wide so it's better to trade it day by day. for now bullish with solid S @ 1.3150.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU wk829.PNG Size: 64 KB
  • #7,617
  • Aug 29, 2020 11:45am Aug 29, 2020 11:45am
EURUSD, it remains bullish against S @ 1.1750-1.17, targeting +1.20

Weekly COT data: net long position in EUR futures jumped +14 809 contracts, to 211 752.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: EU COT 829.PNG Size: 231 KB
  • #7,618
  • Aug 30, 2020 6:41am Aug 30, 2020 6:41am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} haha, you are always correct Coreg.
Not always but probably this time...
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,619
  • Aug 30, 2020 6:45am Aug 30, 2020 6:45am
Quoting shahab8b
GBPUSD, weekly chart. The bias remains bullish; however, I don't think it is going to be a smooth sailing from here to 1.35. But there is no telling where it might turn and the box is 200 pips wide so it's better to trade it day by day. for now bullish with solid S @ 1.3150. {image}
Yeah, let's shock FF nation again...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU08.28.daily.EOW.png Size: 90 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,620
  • Edited 10:50am Aug 30, 2020 8:12am | Edited 10:50am
With EU we still have two scenarios in play...It's hard to decide which one will take shape unless I am missing something...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU08.28.daily.EOW.png Size: 85 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
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