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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #7,201
  • Jul 30, 2020 9:58am Jul 30, 2020 9:58am
Quoting Roszey
{quote} Too bad but all is well. Maybe we can hunt for sells next week
that's for sure
  • #7,202
  • Jul 30, 2020 9:58am Jul 30, 2020 9:58am
Quoting Coreg2004
Decision time in GU for short term traders coming up...{image} and intraday EU chart with the PRZ{image}
Based on volatility index ATR and daily range ext., GU reached exhaustion zone for today.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU07.30.15M.png Size: 85 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,203
  • Jul 30, 2020 10:25am Jul 30, 2020 10:25am
EURUSD, scalping short, but the uptrend is very solid, unless we see a clear break of S zone @ 1.1680-1.700
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM30 730202.png Size: 37 KB
  • #7,204
  • Jul 30, 2020 10:57am Jul 30, 2020 10:57am
Quoting shahab8b
EURUSD, scalping short, but the uptrend is very solid, unless we see a clear break of S zone @ 1.1680-1.700 {image}
2 possible scenarios: ABC flat correction if 5th already in place or EU finishing now 12345 pattern of leaser degree...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU07.30.15M.png Size: 75 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,205
  • Jul 30, 2020 10:59am Jul 30, 2020 10:59am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} 2 possible scenarios: ABC flat correction if 5th already in place or EU finishing now 12345 pattern of leaser degree... {image}
yes, it's the latter.
  • #7,206
  • Jul 30, 2020 11:56am Jul 30, 2020 11:56am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} yes, it's the latter.
you never know...short lunch and new ideas...first time I do harmonics on 1M chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU07.30.1M.png Size: 72 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,207
  • Jul 30, 2020 12:11pm Jul 30, 2020 12:11pm
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} you never know...short lunch and new ideas...first time I do harmonics on 1M chart {image}
bad idea... DXY doesn't want to cooperate...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DX07.30.daily.png Size: 67 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,208
  • Jul 30, 2020 12:25pm Jul 30, 2020 12:25pm
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} bad idea... DXY doesn't want to cooperate... {image}
They want EU @ 1.20
  • #7,209
  • Jul 30, 2020 12:33pm Jul 30, 2020 12:33pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} They want EU @ 1.20
Yeah, it's all calculated based on DXY dropping to the max for C zone (91.945)...Today GU went the first time over 120%dailyATR(14) this month...EU also had one such day on July, 27th...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU07.30.daily.png Size: 62 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,210
  • Jul 30, 2020 12:35pm Jul 30, 2020 12:35pm
EU, lets see if weekly closes above 1.18
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD wk730.PNG Size: 75 KB
  • #7,211
  • Jul 30, 2020 12:40pm Jul 30, 2020 12:40pm
Quoting shahab8b
EU, lets see if weekly closes above 1.18 {image}
What is interesting is that the correlation between DAX and EU is gone. The 100-day correlation coef is 0.76, DAX has been falling recently and EU has been rising. I wonder why.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DAx vs EU.PNG Size: 80 KB
  • #7,212
  • Jul 30, 2020 2:25pm Jul 30, 2020 2:25pm
Quoting shahab8b
EU, lets see if weekly closes above 1.18 {image}
Every zone can hold, and every zone can be taken out...if everything worked like theory says no one would make money.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU07.30.daily.b.png Size: 69 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,213
  • Jul 30, 2020 2:45pm Jul 30, 2020 2:45pm
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} Every zone can hold, and every zone can be taken out...if everything worked like theory says no one would make money. {image}

1.20 will be fine but right now no sell setup all we need is to wait for august ..
MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #7,214
  • Jul 30, 2020 3:22pm Jul 30, 2020 3:22pm
Quoting donfriday
{quote} 1.20 will be fine but right now no sell setup all we need is to wait for august ..
donfriday, I am aware of a strong trend to the upside but also not afraid to take intraday countertrend trade when the market gets to daily range ext. with a potential of 30 pips...Sure it's better to go with the flow of the higher TF...
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,215
  • Jul 30, 2020 9:12pm Jul 30, 2020 9:12pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} USDJPY, added short on retracement {image}
USDJPY, adjusting sl, tp @ 102
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYDaily 78.png Size: 39 KB
  • #7,216
  • Jul 31, 2020 6:38am Jul 31, 2020 6:38am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} USDJPY, adjusting sl, tp @ 102 {image}
shahab8b, check these charts...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: UJ07.31.daily.png Size: 55 KB
from Carney's Harmonic Trader:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: doubleab=cd.PNG Size: 20 KB
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DX07.31.daily.png Size: 60 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,217
  • Jul 31, 2020 6:45am Jul 31, 2020 6:45am
EURUSD, let's see if the closes like this
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU doj.PNG Size: 54 KB
  • #7,218
  • Jul 31, 2020 6:50am Jul 31, 2020 6:50am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} shahab8b, check these charts...{image}from Carney's Harmonic Trader:{image} {image}
Thanks for the charts Coreg. USD is strengthening in most pairs, except GU. I think GU has another push higher then turning
  • #7,219
  • Edited 7:15am Jul 31, 2020 7:00am | Edited 7:15am
GU, long trade, then will short @ 1.32
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDM15 731.png Size: 26 KB
  • #7,220
  • Jul 31, 2020 7:23am Jul 31, 2020 7:23am
EURGBP, possible long setup, I will long if the S zone holds
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURGBPH4 7312020.png Size: 26 KB
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