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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #7,181
  • Jul 29, 2020 8:16am Jul 29, 2020 8:16am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} yea, its very likely
shahab8b, I'm saying this because the end of the AB=CD pattern is @1.2990
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU07.29.daily.png Size: 79 KB

but remember that volatility index ATR(14) showing still upside potential
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU07.28.monthlyATR(14).png Size: 50 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,182
  • Jul 29, 2020 8:47am Jul 29, 2020 8:47am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} shahab8b, I'm saying this because the end of the AB=CD pattern is @1.2990{image} but remember that volatility index ATR(14) showing still upside potential{image}
I like when it goes according to the plan.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDM15 7292020.png Size: 27 KB
  • #7,183
  • Jul 29, 2020 9:16am Jul 29, 2020 9:16am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} I like when it goes according to the plan. {image}
here is the chart from June, 10th, the last FOMC meeting...80pips bar after statement at 2 pm NY time.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU06.10.15M.FOMC.png Size: 49 KB

Shahab8b, I will play15M bar as a range after the statement is released...I do this with all major news releases (GDP, NFP,....)
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,184
  • Jul 29, 2020 10:05am Jul 29, 2020 10:05am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} here is the chart from June, 10th, the last FOMC meeting...80pips bar after statement at 2 pm NY time.{image} Shahab8b, I will play15M bar as a range after the statement is released...I do this with all major news releases (GDP, NFP,....)
The setup on EU looks promising for a short around 1.18. but looking at that bullish triangle, it may breakout to higher levels.
  • #7,185
  • Jul 29, 2020 10:45am Jul 29, 2020 10:45am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} The setup on EU looks promising for a short around 1.18. but looking at that bullish triangle, it may breakout to higher levels.
Yeah, I've been stalking it but didn't do anything during the Tokyo session (up to 10:30 NY time)...missed long entry at morning
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU07.29.30M.png Size: 79 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,186
  • Jul 29, 2020 11:18am Jul 29, 2020 11:18am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} Yeah, I've been stalking it but didn't do anything during the Tokyo session (up to 10:30 NY time)...missed long entry at morning {image}
That was a good long setup, but I passed due to the weekly chart.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU wk729.PNG Size: 71 KB
  • #7,187
  • Jul 29, 2020 12:10pm Jul 29, 2020 12:10pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} That was a good long setup, but I passed due to the weekly chart. {image}
I got the EU where I wanted after the close yesterday but I blew the opportunity...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU07.29.daily.png Size: 62 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,188
  • Jul 29, 2020 12:28pm Jul 29, 2020 12:28pm
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} I got the EU where I wanted after the close yesterday but I blew the opportunity... {image}
there is M1 bullish triangle
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu m1.PNG Size: 54 KB
  • #7,189
  • Jul 30, 2020 5:57am Jul 30, 2020 5:57am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} EURUSD, pending sell @ 1.18, confluence of fib 0.61, former R, and round number
EURUSD, short trade update, moved sl to (+10)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM1 7302020.png Size: 35 KB
  • #7,190
  • Jul 30, 2020 6:04am Jul 30, 2020 6:04am
Quoting shahab8b
USDCAD {image}
USDCAD, long trade update
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCADH1 730202.png Size: 36 KB
  • #7,191
  • Edited 7:28am Jul 30, 2020 7:06am | Edited 7:28am
Decision time in GU for short term traders coming up...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU07.30.30M..png Size: 95 KB

and intraday EU chart with the PRZ
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU07.30.30M.png Size: 89 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,192
  • Jul 30, 2020 7:39am Jul 30, 2020 7:39am
AUDUSD
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AU 730.PNG Size: 82 KB
  • #7,193
  • Jul 30, 2020 8:13am Jul 30, 2020 8:13am
EURUSD, another diagonal pattern, hard to tell if it is an ending diagonal or just another continuation pattern considering the super bearish USD market sentiment.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU ed30.PNG Size: 85 KB
  • #7,194
  • Jul 30, 2020 9:23am Jul 30, 2020 9:23am
Quoting shahab8b
AUDUSD {image}
Look, I'm trading like a banker today!

(yes, this is a joke, and I am trolling someone, who's gonna read this).
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDH1 7302020.png Size: 32 KB
  • #7,195
  • Jul 30, 2020 9:26am Jul 30, 2020 9:26am
Feels risky
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 91A65DF7-DA3A-4AEA-873A-7BA3C320CA66.png Size: 352 KB
Le$$ I$ More
  • #7,196
  • Jul 30, 2020 9:30am Jul 30, 2020 9:30am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Look, I'm trading like a banker today! (yes, this is a joke, and I am trolling someone, who's gonna read this). {image}
Wow, that fast you went thru the files which I posted just yesterday?...amazing
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,197
  • Jul 30, 2020 9:34am Jul 30, 2020 9:34am
Quoting Roszey
Feels risky {image}
great trading Roszey! I missed the GU long train today.
  • #7,198
  • Jul 30, 2020 9:35am Jul 30, 2020 9:35am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} Wow, that fast you went thru the files which I posted just yesterday?...amazing
haha, I'm a fast learner!
  • #7,199
  • Jul 30, 2020 9:45am Jul 30, 2020 9:45am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} great trading Roszey! I missed the GU long train today.
Too bad but all is well. Maybe we can hunt for sells next week
Le$$ I$ More
  • #7,200
  • Jul 30, 2020 9:57am Jul 30, 2020 9:57am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} The premarket analysis posted last weekend proved correct. GBPUSD Daily, trend is bullish against S @ 1.2480. A clear break of major R @ 1.28 will open 1.30 and 1.32 as next targets H4, trend is bullish against S @ 1.2650 Weekly FX speculative positioning data from the CFTC: GBP short 15K vs 14K short last week. Shorts increased by 1K Summary: stay bullish against S @ 1.2650, reassess if 1.2650 fails {image} {image}
GU, it's going to 1.32 faster than I thought, but wath out for some form of deep correction from that level
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDDaily 730202.png Size: 36 KB
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