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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #7,141
  • Jul 27, 2020 5:49am Jul 27, 2020 5:49am
EURUSD, short scalp
  • #7,142
  • Edited 6:25am Jul 27, 2020 6:09am | Edited 6:25am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} the question is if this happens without retracement first? Daily chart the most important right now... Maybe go with the channel like Elliott to pinpoint the end of W_5...{image}
If W_5 is in place expect deeper correction...
Edit: I fixed NY Opening price
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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As always when trading EU keep an eye on DXY...
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Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,143
  • Jul 27, 2020 7:19am Jul 27, 2020 7:19am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} USDJPY, added short on retracement {image}
Awesome......
and now......3 shades of green in PRZ...you know I mess with you?...but I can because you know what you are doing...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: UJ07.27.60M.png Size: 87 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,144
  • Jul 27, 2020 7:41am Jul 27, 2020 7:41am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} Awesome...... and now......3 shades of green in PRZ...you know I mess with you?...but I can because you know what you are doing... {image}
haha, I know. but my target remains @ 102.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYDaily 72720202.png Size: 31 KB
  • #7,145
  • Jul 27, 2020 7:42am Jul 27, 2020 7:42am
Quoting shahab8b
EURUSD, short scalp
got stopped out, next short setup @ 1.18
  • #7,146
  • Jul 27, 2020 8:22am Jul 27, 2020 8:22am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} got stopped out, next short setup @ 1.18
it seems DXY makes capitulation bar but still has some room for reaching max for C...you know Euro is 58% weighted in DXY so is more sensitive to move by the dollar index than other pairs...and don't forget Tuesday is tomorrow, just my thoughts...I am out of EU GU and AU, I didn't trade UJ bc I figured AU gives me more pips...sometimes even I am wrong...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DX07.27.daily.b.png Size: 82 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,147
  • Jul 27, 2020 9:02am Jul 27, 2020 9:02am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} it seems DXY makes capitulation bar but still has some room for reaching max for C...you know Euro is 58% weighted in DXY so is more sensitive to move by the dollar index than other pairs...and don't forget Tuesday is tomorrow, just my thoughts...I am out of EU GU and AU, I didn't trade UJ bc I figured AU gives me more pips...sometimes even I am wrong... {image}
Thanks for the chart Coreg. Yes, these vertical moves are usually terminal, but it can easily go to 1.20 or 1.22. From there v-shaped reversal back to 1.15. I'm scalping short EU m1 this morning, still waiting for my short setup @ 1.18 (fib 0.61, former R, and ab=cd)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #7,148
  • Edited 9:18am Jul 27, 2020 9:05am | Edited 9:18am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} it seems DXY makes capitulation bar but still has some room for reaching max for C...you know Euro is 58% weighted in DXY so is more sensitive to move by the dollar index than other pairs...and don't forget Tuesday is tomorrow, just my thoughts...I am out of EU GU and AU, I didn't trade UJ bc I figured AU gives me more pips...sometimes even I am wrong... {image}
Don't forget USDCHF, I posted the long setup last week.
  • #7,149
  • Jul 27, 2020 5:12pm Jul 27, 2020 5:12pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} haha, I know. but my target remains @ 102. {image}
I got short at 106.76 and had similar targets however I closed this morning at 105.35 - instantly regretted being flat and sold half the position again haha
  • #7,150
  • Jul 27, 2020 8:13pm Jul 27, 2020 8:13pm
EURUSD, short trade
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #7,151
  • Jul 27, 2020 8:22pm Jul 27, 2020 8:22pm
Gold, finally some correction, it may or may not close bearish like this, but something to consider
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  • #7,152
  • Jul 27, 2020 8:28pm Jul 27, 2020 8:28pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Don't forget USDCHF, I posted the long setup last week.
USDCHF, long trade
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #7,153
  • Jul 28, 2020 5:50am Jul 28, 2020 5:50am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} Moty, check this out, I talked about it yesterday in my post...https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...3#post13032203 Quoting Almo2312 {quote} levels// its now stand on the 38.2 next one is the S2 if {image} Almo2312, that's reasonable expectation after ABC pattern (although another pattern is still in play too on the daily chart) ...but maybe for today is enough??? {image}
GU close to Target #2...I still didn't figure out why @Bones has such high confidence in his TL (yes, I understand their significance) but he matches my method perfectly...unreal...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU07.28.daily.png Size: 70 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,154
  • Jul 28, 2020 6:20am Jul 28, 2020 6:20am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} haha, I know. but my target remains @ 102. {image}
Don't listen to the devil...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: UJ07.28.daily.png Size: 65 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,155
  • Jul 28, 2020 6:42am Jul 28, 2020 6:42am
USDCHF
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #7,156
  • Jul 28, 2020 6:58am Jul 28, 2020 6:58am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} GU close to Target #2...I still didn't figure out why @Bones has such high confidence in his TL (yes, I understand their significance) but he matches my method perfectly...unreal... {image}
Nice chart Coreg. My target is 1.30
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  • #7,157
  • Jul 28, 2020 7:30am Jul 28, 2020 7:30am
Quoting shahab8b
USDCHF {image}
As of right now, I see 2 scenarios; either flat or irregular...or something I didn't think of yet or recognize...
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,158
  • Jul 28, 2020 7:37am Jul 28, 2020 7:37am
USDCAD
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  • #7,159
  • Jul 28, 2020 7:44am Jul 28, 2020 7:44am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} As of right now, I see 2 scenarios; either flat or irregular...or something I didn't think of yet or recognize... {image} {image}
Thanks for the chart Coreg. I think it provides a good RRR if that range holds. I really think long term we'll see parity again.
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  • #7,160
  • Jul 28, 2020 7:59am Jul 28, 2020 7:59am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Thanks for the chart Coreg. I think it provides a good RRR if that range holds. I really think long term we'll see parity again. {image}
I am a little bit surprised that UCHF daily doesn't match DXY so far...any bounce should give 30 pips...I wait...on positive note, GU cooperates today without any adjustment
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU07.28.30M..png Size: 86 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
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