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  • Post #112,861
  • Quote
  • Jul 24, 2020 3:33pm Jul 24, 2020 3:33pm
  •  forexer11
  • | Joined Feb 2013 | Status: Member | 235 Posts
Quoting macdulio
Disliked
{quote} That's what the image would suggest to me based on what happened with the last two daily exhaustions.
Ignored
Thanks hope so ..
If sliding to 1.1550 .... Great!
  • Post #112,862
  • Quote
  • Jul 24, 2020 3:53pm Jul 24, 2020 3:53pm
  •  macdulio
  • Joined Oct 2013 | Status: Member | 708 Posts
There should be a daily consolidation range printing here with 220-250 pips span which would bring price back to 1.14 - after which a move back to half of the range could make for a lower high.
  • Post #112,863
  • Quote
  • Jul 24, 2020 4:25pm Jul 24, 2020 4:25pm
  •  nic9man
  • | Joined Jun 2020 | Status: Member | 493 Posts
Quoting macdulio
Disliked
{quote} That's what the image would suggest to me based on what happened with the last two daily exhaustions.
Ignored
New high at the close does not look like exhaustion to me
1
  • Post #112,864
  • Quote
  • Jul 24, 2020 4:30pm Jul 24, 2020 4:30pm
  •  M.Fadly
  • Joined Dec 2019 | Status: Member | 413 Posts
buy eurusd above 1.16480... Tp 1.25100 sl 1.14500
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1
  • Post #112,865
  • Quote
  • Jul 24, 2020 4:40pm Jul 24, 2020 4:40pm
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 15,481 Posts | Online Now
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Disliked
Right here I dare to try a scalper sell again: Shorting 1.1637 SL: 1.1660 TP: Open Stay Green
Ignored
Seems like there are many stops higher than mine.. Robber banks are working overtime to get them all..

Stay Green
Be a seer, not a looker!
2
  • Post #112,866
  • Quote
  • Jul 24, 2020 4:42pm Jul 24, 2020 4:42pm
  •  Mitiblotch
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Member | 4,586 Posts
Quoting M.Fadly
Disliked
buy eurusd above 1.16480... Tp 1.25100 sl 1.14500 {image} {image}
Ignored
It is almost a guarantee that stop will get hit or come between 20 -30 pips of getting hit before 1.25. Usually when EU makes a high it pulls back before continuing the trend if it wants to. Somehow I believe 1.1475 area can happen, even 1.1376 area. I wish you luck with that trade. Please I don't have any trades open on EU.
1
  • Post #112,867
  • Quote
  • Jul 24, 2020 4:44pm Jul 24, 2020 4:44pm
  •  Mitiblotch
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Member | 4,586 Posts
Quoting nic9man
Disliked
{quote} New high at the close does not look like exhaustion to me https://cdn-resources.faireconomy.me....png?v=1.0.0.3
Ignored
It looks very bullish when it is about to turn bearish and vice versa. Dont be caught buying here. I personally would wait for a healthy pullback and decide wether to buy or not. I was buying a few days ago and have now closed the buys.
  • Post #112,868
  • Quote
  • Jul 24, 2020 4:44pm Jul 24, 2020 4:44pm
  •  M.Fadly
  • Joined Dec 2019 | Status: Member | 413 Posts
Quoting Mitiblotch
Disliked
{quote} It is almost a guarantee that stop will get hit or come between 20 -30 pips of getting hit before 1.25. Usually when EU makes a high it pulls back before continuing the trend if it wants to. Somehow I believe 1.1475 area can happen, even 1.1376 area. I wish you luck with that trade. Please I don't have any trades open on EU.
Ignored
LETS SEE
  • Post #112,869
  • Quote
  • Jul 24, 2020 4:49pm Jul 24, 2020 4:49pm
  •  nic9man
  • | Joined Jun 2020 | Status: Member | 493 Posts
Quoting nic9man
Disliked
{quote} I don‘t think that the first shorts on the line will be the successful ones.
Ignored

Short ist Mord...
  • Post #112,870
  • Quote
  • Jul 24, 2020 4:49pm Jul 24, 2020 4:49pm
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 15,481 Posts | Online Now
I think these are the moments where majority finally agrees with @louisfx's bullish bias which means: price will drop soon just kidding..

Stay Green
Be a seer, not a looker!
  • Post #112,871
  • Quote
  • Jul 24, 2020 4:56pm Jul 24, 2020 4:56pm
  •  nic9man
  • | Joined Jun 2020 | Status: Member | 493 Posts
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Disliked
I think these are the moments where majority finally agrees with @louisfx's bullish bias which means: price will drop soon just kidding.. Stay Green
Ignored
I thought of this as well because most strategists have been bullish already since a few weeks, however, a prominent counterexample is 2014/15 where the USD didn‘t stop appreciating while everybody on the street was bullish USD. If the fundamental setup is right the overall trend will continue. Right now we have the FED on Wednesday, until then I believe in USD weakness.
  • Post #112,872
  • Quote
  • Jul 24, 2020 4:59pm Jul 24, 2020 4:59pm
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 15,481 Posts | Online Now
Quoting nic9man
Disliked
{quote} Short ist Mord...
Ignored
Es war einmal ein Mann,
der hatte einen Zahn.
Der Zahn, der tat ihm weh,
da sprang er in den See.
Der See war ihm zu kalt,
da ging er in den Wald.
Der Wald war ihm zu dicht,
da nahm er sich ein Licht.
Das Licht war ihm zu helle,
da ging er in die Hölle.
Die Hölle war zu heiß,
da ging der Mann aufs Eis.
Das Eis war ihm zu glatt,
da ging er in die Stadt.
Die Stadt war ihm zu enge,
da stieg er auf die Hänge.
Die Hänge war'n zu kalt,
da lief der Mann ins Tal.
Das Tal war ihm zu flach,
da stieg er auf ein Dach.
Das Dach war ihm zu schräg,
da plumpst er auf den Weg.
Der Weg war ihm zu lang,
da sucht er eine Bank.
Die Bank war morsch und faul,
da kauft er einen Gaul.
Der Gaul warf ihn im Trab
in einen Graben ab.
Der Graben roch zu sehr,
da ging der Mann ans Meer.
Das Meer war ihm zu blau,
da ging er auf die Au.
Die Au war ihm zu grün,
da ging er nach Berlin.
Berlin war voller Qualm,
da stieg er auf die Alm.
Die Alm war voller Ziegen,
da ist er abgestiegen.
Der Abstieg war ein Graus,
drum ging der Mann nach Haus.
Dort wurd er endlich schlau
und nahm sich eine Frau.
Nach einem Jahre schon
bekam er einen Sohn.
Zu Haus bei Frau und Kind
blieb er stets frohgesinnt.
Er änderte sich sehr
und nörgelt niemals mehr.

Pheew.. Folks, I am calling it a day and week.. Whatever happens can wait until Monday.. Enjoy your weekends.. Cheers

Stay Green
Be a seer, not a looker!
4
  • Post #112,873
  • Quote
  • Jul 24, 2020 6:23pm Jul 24, 2020 6:23pm
  •  SNF-Complex
  • Joined Mar 2020 | Status: Member | 49 Posts
eur\usd last fixation & etc.
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For trading I use - SNF-Complex ... TESTED on DATA from 1970 .............
  • Post #112,874
  • Quote
  • Jul 24, 2020 6:26pm Jul 24, 2020 6:26pm
  •  SNF-Complex
  • Joined Mar 2020 | Status: Member | 49 Posts
EUR new target
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For trading I use - SNF-Complex ... TESTED on DATA from 1970 .............
  • Post #112,875
  • Quote
  • Jul 25, 2020 9:22am Jul 25, 2020 9:22am
  •  macdulio
  • Joined Oct 2013 | Status: Member | 708 Posts
Quoting nic9man
Disliked
{quote} New high at the close does not look like exhaustion to me
Ignored
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: EUR2319.png
Size: 62 KB

Exhaustion is one thing, but breaching the volatility bracket is entirely another.
But don't take my word, I'm biassed, holding some shorts, and was in 3.13% draw down at the close with 0.7 pips spread.

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  • Post #112,876
  • Quote
  • Edited Jul 26, 2020 2:01am Jul 25, 2020 4:12pm | Edited Jul 26, 2020 2:01am
  •  Tonar
  • | Joined Jul 2020 | Status: Junior Member | 2 Posts
My Trading Plan for Monday 27.02.2020

Blue Line

I expect a short correction until the VAH of the previous day (Friday) at about 1.1620. This also is the 50% Fib-Retracement. At 13:30 GMT data from the USA will arrive. Since the economic data have been all negative last week and missed the forecasts, I expect also negative US data on Monday as well.
Therefore, at about this time of the data release I expect a continuation of the upward movement until about 1.1698/1.1700.

Blue dotted line

The short correction could also go to the POC of the previous day (Friday) at about 1.1612. This also is the 61.8% Fib-Retracement.
In this scenario I therefore assume that the upward movement will continue only until around 1.1689.
In my opinion, the upward trend should continue until the FED meeting on Wednesday. Since the economic data from the USA were all very negative in the last days and an end to the Corona crisis is not in sight, I assume that the FED will act more hawkish.

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  • Post #112,877
  • Quote
  • Jul 25, 2020 4:17pm Jul 25, 2020 4:17pm
  •  macdulio
  • Joined Oct 2013 | Status: Member | 708 Posts
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1
3
  • Post #112,878
  • Quote
  • Jul 25, 2020 4:21pm Jul 25, 2020 4:21pm
  •  ChristinaL
  • Joined Mar 2019 | Status: Member | 77 Posts
a pair i am only charting currently, i think we will see some movement in the next week though which will decide its future for the rest of the season
  • Post #112,879
  • Quote
  • Jul 26, 2020 2:46am Jul 26, 2020 2:46am
  •  louisfx
  • Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Member | 871 Posts
Quoting macdulio
Disliked
{image}
Ignored
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Look like we gona see 79level in Usdindex.Big drop coming Long term.Hope am right.Monthly Usdindex say so.
Make it Green
2
  • Post #112,880
  • Quote
  • Jul 26, 2020 5:10am Jul 26, 2020 5:10am
  •  Walz
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Member | 480 Posts
Quoting macdulio
Disliked
{image}
Ignored
Looks like Big Head and Shoulders with Louise TP 79xx.
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