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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #7,101
  • Jul 23, 2020 12:50pm Jul 23, 2020 12:50pm
Quoting shahab8b
USDJPY, short setup {image}
USDJPY
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  • #7,102
  • Jul 23, 2020 1:18pm Jul 23, 2020 1:18pm
DXY, the moment of truth. 1 or 2?
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  • #7,103
  • Jul 23, 2020 2:03pm Jul 23, 2020 2:03pm
S&P500, short term topping pattern?
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  • #7,104
  • Jul 23, 2020 3:01pm Jul 23, 2020 3:01pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} USDJPY {image}
Long term... USD/JPY (Blue line) over INVERTED Spot Gold....surely USD/JPY has to crack lower?
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  • #7,105
  • Edited 4:57pm Jul 23, 2020 4:46pm | Edited 4:57pm
Quoting Hyperion
{quote} Long term... USD/JPY (Blue line) over INVERTED Spot Gold....surely USD/JPY has to crack lower?{image}
The 100-day correlation coefficient for USDJPY and gold is -0.31, which is not high (range is between -1 to 1, 0 means no correlation). On the other hand the corr coef for AUDUSD and gold is 0.86, indicating a very high correlation. I don't know about your trade plan, just my observation.
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Click to Enlarge Name: AU gold.PNG Size: 107 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJP gold.PNG Size: 124 KB
  • #7,106
  • Jul 23, 2020 7:26pm Jul 23, 2020 7:26pm
USDCHF
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  • #7,107
  • Edited 8:11pm Jul 23, 2020 7:49pm | Edited 8:11pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} USDJPY {image}
USDJPY, s @ 106.70 is broken, 106 is next
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #7,108
  • Jul 23, 2020 7:59pm Jul 23, 2020 7:59pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} EURUSD, that was some busted double top pattern (it did reach 60% of its theoretical target, but nonetheless, it wasn't what I thought). I plan to go long on a retest of 1.1.6. This may bring good luck to those shorting EU! {image}
EURUSD, long trade upate
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  • #7,109
  • Jul 24, 2020 8:01am Jul 24, 2020 8:01am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} USDJPY, s @ 106.70 is broken, 106 is next {image}
It's only a matter of time before 106 breaks. I'm revising the target from 106 to 102.
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  • #7,110
  • Jul 24, 2020 8:07am Jul 24, 2020 8:07am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} EURUSD, that was some busted double top pattern (it did reach 60% of its theoretical target, but nonetheless, it wasn't what I thought). I plan to go long on a retest of 1.1.6. This may bring good luck to those shorting EU! {image}
EURUSD, bullish flag in play
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM5 fl.png Size: 35 KB
  • #7,111
  • Jul 24, 2020 8:13am Jul 24, 2020 8:13am
Quoting shahab8b
GBPUSD {image}
GBPUSD, long trade, target is 1.28 for today. I'll try an intraday short @ 1.28 for today.
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  • #7,112
  • Jul 24, 2020 8:28am Jul 24, 2020 8:28am
Quoting shahab8b
S&P500, short term topping pattern? {image}
S&P500, going lower, but interestingly, it is not helping USD
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  • #7,113
  • Jul 24, 2020 9:00am Jul 24, 2020 9:00am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} It's only a matter of time before 106 breaks. I'm revising the target from 106 to 102. {image}
USDJPY, S @ 106 is broken now, adding short on rallies.
  • #7,114
  • Jul 24, 2020 9:24am Jul 24, 2020 9:24am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} GBPUSD, long trade, target is 1.28 for today. I'll try an intraday short @ 1.28 for today. {image}
GBPUSD, I'll be watching PA around 1.28, it's likely to be broken today.
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  • #7,115
  • Jul 24, 2020 9:32am Jul 24, 2020 9:32am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} EURUSD, bullish flag in play {image}
EURUSD, you need to add to your position when you're right. But most traders do the opposite, they add to their losing trades.
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  • #7,116
  • Jul 24, 2020 10:48am Jul 24, 2020 10:48am
EURUSD
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  • #7,117
  • Jul 24, 2020 11:14am Jul 24, 2020 11:14am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} If DXY will continue down possible ABC becoming a 1-2-3-4-5 pattern...just keep eye on it and incorporate it into your method of trading. {image} {image}
EU continues strong to PRZ but no hurry with reversal because DXY is still very weak ...no serious reaction to 1.618 Ext. so far.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU07.24.daily.png Size: 82 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: DX07.24.daily.png Size: 83 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #7,118
  • Jul 24, 2020 11:28am Jul 24, 2020 11:28am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} EU continues strong to PRZ but no hurry with reversal because DXY is still very weak ...no serious reaction to 1.618 Ext. so far. {image} {image}
thanks for your analysis....information that I always wish to have...wave+fib..
  • #7,119
  • Jul 24, 2020 11:44am Jul 24, 2020 11:44am
EURUSD, it's difficult to make a bearish call with all these heavy buyings, even intraday , but it looks like a possible three drives pattern. Sell @ 1.1650 for today
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  • #7,120
  • Jul 24, 2020 11:49am Jul 24, 2020 11:49am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} thanks for your analysis....information that I always wish to have...wave+fib..
Thanks Boulder, on intraday TF 5th seems not to be done yet although I am out after 1.618 ext was hit.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
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