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  • #41
  • May 2, 2020 9:56am May 2, 2020 9:56am
zip file below is just next months info for me...... top 200 of the oil sector sorted by net margins....

ended april with +4500.... from this point forward, account could be expected to swing +/- 2000 a day..... gave back $1700 5/1/20.... that's a good thing..... it reminds you to be prepared for those down days..... plus gives buying opportunities....
//-----


priscilla still a tad bit miffed about me turning over her tractor..... like as if that was the first time.... she took away my laptop and locked my office.....

figured it was time for some social distancing.....

so here i sit in time out...... rooting through the oil/ energy top 200...... just a hayseed..... a deer stand..... a gun..... and a spare laptop....

now you see why i need so many computers......h
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File Type: zip may net margins.zip   3.2 MB | 329 downloads
to trade and code, keep both simple... no call to impress....h
  • #42
  • May 3, 2020 9:24am May 3, 2020 9:24am
may's hit list...... not many.....less than 20..... high margins group....h
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bpt,
mtr,
nrt,
sjt,
dmlp,
cnxm,
axas,
ff,
sbow,
qep,
epsn,
pbf,
wpx,
cpe,
aroc
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to trade and code, keep both simple... no call to impress....h
  • #43
  • May 4, 2020 9:53am May 4, 2020 9:53am
summit midstream partners to buy summit midstream llc..... added here today..... will add more, up to 1000 total shares max..... expect the reverse split due to nyse rules for listing..... it would not surprise me for the nyse to look the other way for some time due to current events......
//-----

adding on extreme weakness elsewhere..... my definition of extreme weakness is -4% or worse at the open...... once/if the account doubles that figure will also double in step, -8%.... and so on.....

cut back all pre-existing orders to 1 share..... last digit of 1 reminds me it's a partial and to place the remainder later..... just precautionary....

dow and s&p both down, nasdaq up..... usually a good sign......

everything on autopilot..... fixin to go hog huntin.....h
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to trade and code, keep both simple... no call to impress....h
  • #44
  • May 5, 2020 5:56am May 5, 2020 5:56am
Quoting hayseed
dow and s&p both down, nasdaq up..... usually a good sign...... everything on autopilot..... fixin to go hog huntin.....h //--
//-----

the nasdap, like commodities, usually leads..... both are perceived as risk taking....

when the account is sorted by losers, jets rises to the top..... it's only been the last few days it's been red..... same with altm..... both were positive last week....

this type +/- movement should be expected for at least a month..... once the risk takers get a good grip, they will lift those that have fallen..... $2000 weeks are within seeing distance.....


the stock market might be 5 days a week, forex market might be 6, but piggy market is a full 24/7......h
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to trade and code, keep both simple... no call to impress....h
  • #45
  • May 5, 2020 8:54am May 5, 2020 8:54am
Quoting hayseed
adding on extreme weakness elsewhere..... my definition of extreme weakness is -4% or worse at the open.....
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just as -4% or worse gives me cause to buy, +4% or better gives me reasons to not.....

we used to keep track of stocks that had a habit of gaping up the following open bell a large percentage of the time..... we focused on .25 and 50 cent moves..... the thought was to buy 1000 shares at the close and put in a gtc sell order for a quarter or more above our entry..... starting the day off +500 gives you a sort of a calm air.....

with this mornings extreme gap ups on most everything in the account, it's very unlikely any additional orders will fill today unless i adjust my entrys..... not interested in doing that.....

so, looks like it's back to the sawmill...... there be better days to buy......h
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to trade and code, keep both simple... no call to impress....h
  • #46
  • May 6, 2020 9:54am May 6, 2020 9:54am
Quoting hayseed
insider buying can be a good sign...... insider selling is not absolutely a bad one..... high ranking high payed insiders are often offered stock options to lower their overall salary cost..... if an insider exercises these options and then sells the stock, it will show up on the insider sells list.... they might be just wanting to pay off that maxed out american express gold card..... and have nothing to do with the companys health at all..... in the case of helix's...
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still buying..... buys from 2$ on the dime down still standing.... will add up also.....

often it's easier for a 2$ stock to see 4 long before a $4 stock sees 8....

put another way and providing it doesn't go under, hlx stands a good chance at clearing 5 before amgn clears 500 or ibm clears 256.....

sold a few others day to cover my hlx buys.....h
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to trade and code, keep both simple... no call to impress....h
  • #47
  • May 7, 2020 11:04am May 7, 2020 11:04am
Quoting hayseed
the nasdap, like commodities, usually leads..... both are perceived as risk taking....
//------

nasdaq was up for the year a few minutes ago..... round number 9000...... sunny days and clear blue skys.....

still taking this as an opportunity to temporarily cash out on a few..... let more go today.... buying a select few.... bids are low....

we are not out of the woods yet..... want raise my buying power for what often follows those sky blue sunny days....h
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to trade and code, keep both simple... no call to impress....h
  • #48
  • May 11, 2020 8:33am May 11, 2020 8:33am
smart money tends to learn fast..... there is an obvious flip side to that....

this to say, odds are lessons were learned at the may oil contract expiration......
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buying is still my agenda but will be ever so often selling those in need of selling.... my definition of those in need of selling has to do with the technical chart.... it's a juggling act.....

last months profit was $2100.... that should double this month.... that non compounding rate should continue.....

shlx has one of my lowest share count.... 27 shares..... small for a reason....

it has now closed it's gap and macd rolling over...... being a buyer of weakness, my interest here and share count will increase.....

easy to see it at 10.... hard to see it at 5.....h
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to trade and code, keep both simple... no call to impress....h
  • #49
  • May 11, 2020 9:41am May 11, 2020 9:41am
adding to existing positions.... top 5 coal miners sorted by margins.....

nasdaq still in defiance of negativity.... usually a good sign....h
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to trade and code, keep both simple... no call to impress....h
  • #50
  • May 11, 2020 6:51pm May 11, 2020 6:51pm
Hi Hayseed,

Thanks for a very interesting thread.

You're right, the recovery of the NASDAQ has been simply astonishing.
Swing trader for over 10 years
  • #51
  • May 12, 2020 10:48am May 12, 2020 10:48am
Quoting Empiric1
Hi Hayseed, Thanks for a very interesting thread. You're right, the recovery of the NASDAQ has been simply astonishing.
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hey empiric.... it sure has surprised me..... have been closing out a few just in case it takes a well deserved breather.....h
to trade and code, keep both simple... no call to impress....h
  • #52
  • May 12, 2020 11:26am May 12, 2020 11:26am
noticed this morning an etrade alert of receiving a 60 cent dividend on some stock.....

most of the coal minors are currently paying a high dividend rate..... due to their price being so maligned..... both will change......

until then, ranking stocks by their dividend rate and margins can be useful...... pay attention also to quick ratio, pe, eps, de and such....

the cream rises to the top.....
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what we are in today is a rare event..... it will pass....

quite often within a few posts you can size people up..... after a dozen posts, you could nail their hide to the barn door....

some seem bent on focusing, promoting and exaggerating only the negative....

some seem to accept this as just another terrible event in life and focus on how to navigate thru it.....

if you were an employer, which would you hire......h
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to trade and code, keep both simple... no call to impress....h
  • #53
  • May 13, 2020 9:58am May 13, 2020 9:58am
buying back many of those sold over past recently..... selling and then buying it back for 5 or maybe 10% less might not seem worthwhile..... but it can be at times.....

take the case of btu, which is a bad example...... it pays a 14 cent dividend..... so for every 14 cents less i buy it after having sold, we receive an extra dividend so to speak....

say for instance, we bought at 3, sold it later at 4 and buy it back again at 3..... you have in a sense made 7 dividends..... seems minor till you extrapolate it out......

trade it back and forth a few times and at some point it is very possible to be holding the stock for free and receive the dividends for nothing....

once the world gets backup to driving speed, the price of oil should recover some...... the contrast of low fed rates and high dividend rates will lift dividend stocks considerably.....

there is a very real risk that the dividends will be lowered or put on hold.... this will of course hurt the stock price considerably.... so buying purely on basis of dividend in time like now is unwise..... some i own here have already canceled their dividend payouts....

be sure to at least glance at the institutional ownership..... and short interest..... there are pros and cons to both.....

institutional ownership rarely might register higher than 100% which seems impossible..... it's just accounting....h
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to trade and code, keep both simple... no call to impress....h
  • #54
  • May 13, 2020 12:25pm May 13, 2020 12:25pm
Quoting hayseed
{quote} //------ nasdaq was up for the year a few minutes ago..... round number 9000...... sunny days and clear blue skys..... still taking this as an opportunity to temporarily cash out on a few..... we are not out of the woods yet..... want raise my buying power for what often follows those sky blue sunny days....h
//----

a good day for buying.....

the nasdaq is like a boat.... adrift at sea..... expect it to rock..... might take on some water.....

it will not sink.....

but keep dramamine within hands reach.....h
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to trade and code, keep both simple... no call to impress....h
  • #55
  • May 14, 2020 5:35am May 14, 2020 5:35am
received a dividend today which was more than i made on the stock which i sold last week.....

the dividend was 10.03 and all i made on the stock trade was 7.70..... appears minor i know.....

speaking of dividends, there are at least 2 important dates..... the ex-date is the date you must own the stock.... elnc's ex-date was 4/30/20.... the payable date is the date you can expect payment.... elnc's payable date was 5/13/20.....

the shares i had bought on 4/27 and 4/28 qualified... those bought on 5/4 did not....

sold them all on 5/7..... nasdaq's flight to the moon has had me concerned enough lately to let go a few with thoughts of buying them back lower..... elnc was one.... my low bids went in minutes ago....

easy to see it 1.50..... 1.00 would not surprise me..... hard to see it 0.50.....h
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to trade and code, keep both simple... no call to impress....h
  • #56
  • May 14, 2020 7:37am May 14, 2020 7:37am
2500 would be all it would take.... next earnings release is 7/23 so plenty of time....

just a side line distraction at this point.....h
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to trade and code, keep both simple... no call to impress....h
  • #57
  • May 14, 2020 6:36pm May 14, 2020 6:36pm
sold 1600 shares of hlx on the 12th at 2.26 with thoughts of being able to buy it back at around 2..... today helped considerably.....

average price on the 1300 shares held now is right at 2...... it's made almost 200$ already but even so, really disappointed with my entrys.....

so much so that if it gaps up or rises above 2.30, i'll probably cash out again......

it's silly but that will weigh on my mind..... much rather take the $400 start over and do it right......h
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to trade and code, keep both simple... no call to impress....h
  • #58
  • May 14, 2020 7:00pm May 14, 2020 7:00pm
good example of what deferring the dividend can do in times like these..... ect , very wisely, will not pay it's dividend next qtr..... the dividend rate was 31.68%.....

ect fell 25%..... needlessly fell 25% for doing the right thing..... in my mind, the dividend will someday in the not too distant future be reinstated..... my definition of future in this case is 12 months.....

bought 1000 at .46..... will buy 1000 more on the dime down..... in a very real sense my dividend rate is now locked in at effectively 31.68% or higher....

easy to see it .25 ..... hard to see it .15 .....h
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to trade and code, keep both simple... no call to impress....h
  • #59
  • May 15, 2020 12:46pm May 15, 2020 12:46pm
Quoting hayseed
sold 1600 shares of hlx on the 12th at 2.26 with thoughts of being able to buy it back at around 2.....
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A Rising Share Price Has Us Looking Closely At Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:HLX) P/E Ratio

soooo..... now they are looking..... sounds like someone could benefit from reading david dreman's book, 'Contrarian Investment Strategies'.....

they could have not only tripled their money in 60 days but also be sitting on 1000 free shares...... and have something else to be looking closely at.....

like trying to figure out the p/e ratio on something free...... h
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to trade and code, keep both simple... no call to impress....h
  • #60
  • May 18, 2020 12:55pm May 18, 2020 12:55pm
nasdaq jumped high over the 9000 line like it was rattle snake or something...... just let'em buy everything back except for 307 shares of ccr.... no open orders to buy or sell.....

that snake at 10k is quite larger...... would not rule out seein 8500 again......

till then i'll be takin a nap in the cheap seats......h
to trade and code, keep both simple... no call to impress....h
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