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The end of the US stock market is nearing

  • #1,221
  • Apr 17, 2020 1:41pm Apr 17, 2020 1:41pm
[quote=Igrok;12883925]{quote} DAX????... at 102.50????.... I don't remember posting that... where did you get it from?...

My apologizes Igor I meant so say DXY the dollar index of course. I just wanted to get an idea of the clues which is making this years low on EUR the must to reach again before a move to upside targets. Also I am assuming we will not be seeing parity neither on EUR nor on GBP

Thank you and sorry fro misunderstanding I must of been thinking of up coming deer or dear season (the two legged one)
  • #1,222
  • Apr 17, 2020 6:34pm Apr 17, 2020 6:34pm
hi igor,

so which part of the economy punctured the equilibrium, the 2008 crisis or the rapid growth of the capital thereafter? how about the virus what role does it play in this phase transition (just a trigger like Michael Burry)?
  • #1,223
  • Apr 18, 2020 1:29am Apr 18, 2020 1:29am
Good day Igor,

I am not sure how to send you this info perhaps you can use in your AVRORA channel anyway here you go. Its a good material for Mr Delagins videos lol.
https://youtu.be/WGbYHJcMbz8
  • #1,224
  • Apr 18, 2020 9:20pm Apr 18, 2020 9:20pm
Hi Igor, Below is a 4-hrly of the Euro-Stoxx 50 what do you think the chances of the diamond playing out are ?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,225
  • Apr 21, 2020 4:08pm Apr 21, 2020 4:08pm
Quoting Edd111111
Hi Igor, Below is a 4-hrly of the Euro-Stoxx 50 what do you think the chances of the diamond playing out are ? {image}
obviously Fairly low
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: StoxxFailed.png Size: 45 KB
  • #1,226
  • Apr 21, 2020 7:55pm Apr 21, 2020 7:55pm
Quoting Edd111111
{quote} obviously Fairly low {image}
it's not a diamond because it wasn't built on the very top or the very bottom of a trend...
  • #1,227
  • Apr 21, 2020 7:56pm Apr 21, 2020 7:56pm
Quoting Argo
Good day Igor, I am not sure how to send you this info perhaps you can use in your AVRORA channel anyway here you go. Its a good material for Mr Delagins videos lol. https://youtu.be/WGbYHJcMbz8
thank you... though he doesn't speak English and I don't have time to translate it for him...)))
  • #1,228
  • Apr 21, 2020 8:00pm Apr 21, 2020 8:00pm
Quoting eFFx168
hi igor, so which part of the economy punctured the equilibrium, the 2008 crisis or the rapid growth of the capital thereafter? how about the virus what role does it play in this phase transition (just a trigger like Michael Burry)?
the actual problem didn't fade away since 2008 crisis... just disguised and forgotten... postponed for another 10+ years... but all the roots for current trouble can be traced as far as back to 1970-th... virus is just the trigger... it could've been something else instead... but inevitable in any case...
  • #1,229
  • Apr 21, 2020 8:39pm Apr 21, 2020 8:39pm
Quoting Igrok
{quote} it's not a diamond because it wasn't built on the very top or the very bottom of a trend...
Thanks for the reply and the information, in your experience do Head and Shoulders only work at tops and bottoms of trends also or do they have the same chance of success /Failure anywhere on the chart ?
  • #1,230
  • Apr 21, 2020 10:19pm Apr 21, 2020 10:19pm
Quoting Igrok
{quote} it's not a diamond because it wasn't built on the very top or the very bottom of a trend...
Hi Igor, thanks again, I am a little confused after looking at the diamonds below, the smallest diamond, it doesnt seem to be at the bottom or top of Trend, could you please help me to see it differently ?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Igrok 3 diamond.png Size: 193 KB
  • #1,231
  • Apr 22, 2020 4:54am Apr 22, 2020 4:54am
Hello, any free provider for US equities financial data? like earnings, P/E, etc .... ?
  • #1,232
  • Apr 22, 2020 7:43am Apr 22, 2020 7:43am
Quoting Edd111111
{quote} Hi Igor, thanks again, I am a little confused after looking at the diamonds below, the smallest diamond, it doesnt seem to be at the bottom or top of Trend, could you please help me to see it differently ? {image}
it's a matter of scaling...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 109 KB
  • #1,233
  • Apr 22, 2020 7:21pm Apr 22, 2020 7:21pm
Quoting Edd111111
{quote} Thanks for the reply and the information, in your experience do Head and Shoulders only work at tops and bottoms of trends also or do they have the same chance of success /Failure anywhere on the chart ?

I'm not sure such a thing as H&S even exists... can you, please, show me one?...
  • #1,234
  • Apr 22, 2020 8:22pm Apr 22, 2020 8:22pm
Quoting Igrok
{quote} I'm not sure such a thing as H&S even exists... can you, please, show me one?...
Figure 8.1 of your book admittedly does say that they are rather rare, however offers an inverted example. I have included a couple below for you to pick the shit out of so we can all learn.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,235
  • Apr 22, 2020 9:40pm Apr 22, 2020 9:40pm
Quoting Edd111111
{quote} Figure 8.1 of your book admittedly does say that they are rather rare, however offers an inverted example. I have included a couple below for you to pick the shit out of so we can all learn. {image}
What's MOT?
  • #1,236
  • Apr 22, 2020 10:56pm Apr 22, 2020 10:56pm
Measured Objective Target = MOT. In this case the Head to the highest point on the neck line.
  • #1,237
  • Apr 23, 2020 2:59am Apr 23, 2020 2:59am
Quoting Edd111111
{quote} Figure 8.1 of your book admittedly does say that they are rather rare, however offers an inverted example. I have included a couple below for you to pick the shit out of so we can all learn. {image}
quite a laughable picture indeed... not even close to the H&S pattern even as it described in the TA textbooks...
  • #1,238
  • Apr 23, 2020 9:27am Apr 23, 2020 9:27am
thanks a lot for replying sir Igor, now if what is happening before our very eyes is like the turn of the 20th century:
1. Spanish flu
2. Weimarer Republik
3. new Yalta and Bretton Woods

question: no world war in between? or just war of words because The Thucydides Trap was avoided because of the virus turmoil?
  • #1,239
  • Edited 10:31am Apr 23, 2020 10:20am | Edited 10:31am
Quoting eFFx168
thanks a lot for replying sir Igor, now if what is happening before our very eyes is like the turn of the 20th century: 1. Spanish flu 2. Weimarer Republik 3. new Yalta and Bretton Woods question: no world war in between? or just war of words because The Thucydides Trap was avoided because of the virus turmoil?
to me it seems like WWIII being replaced with the virus instead... WWIII has been avoided narrowly and only because of Trump winning the election... though in any case the world economy is not gonna be repairable after the pandemic... current capitalistic model is going to be replaced with something different... the liberal globalists are to lose and the conservatives will win... the next huge issue to arise would be the food security problem... among more or less civilized countries the most vulnerable to the incoming food shortages are the Arabic oil-suckers and China... it must be a very painful transition for sheikhs getting from "maybaches" back to donkey and camel backs...
  • #1,240
  • Edited 11:13am Apr 23, 2020 10:45am | Edited 11:13am
15 min Funnel good place for possible trading decisions
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