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  • #141
  • Mar 20, 2020 6:52am Mar 20, 2020 6:52am
Quoting renNstimpy
Again im not personally trading much today but would say that support seems more on the weaker side. Take it with grain of salt though, fed has made moves and could go both ways. 15m {image}
My H4 support & resistance view.
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persistence and determination alone are omnipotent
  • #142
  • Mar 20, 2020 6:54am Mar 20, 2020 6:54am
Quoting renNstimpy
I gotta say that its funny how much 2 orders can tilt someone in hindsight, perhaps its my age. Ive traded full time, but am [guessing atleast] much younger than you guys [li and ef5] and absolutely need to work on discipline. Missing cl and a couple of sl fills at support form rally cant be the difference between punting excessive portions of winnings on good risk-reward trades that dont come very often. Kinda just thinking outloud at this point, but depending on market. Might start discussing option spreads in here abit more than shorter candle...
Don't worry we all been there it's part of the process. Controlling the discipline/emotions was the hardest part at least for me.
persistence and determination alone are omnipotent
  • #143
  • Mar 20, 2020 7:30am Mar 20, 2020 7:30am
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rennstimp
  • #144
  • Mar 20, 2020 7:32am Mar 20, 2020 7:32am
Quoting renNstimpy
{image}
accidentally zoomed before screenshotting, here we go. 5m candles.
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rennstimp
  • #145
  • Mar 20, 2020 8:29am Mar 20, 2020 8:29am
Dow H1 buying zone?
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persistence and determination alone are omnipotent
  • #146
  • Mar 20, 2020 2:44pm Mar 20, 2020 2:44pm
Anyone want a stab at the euro bottom ?

If it can't hold 1.06463 it's 1.06228 for me....give or take a few thousand points...
All charts/ideas based on UK time zone
  • #147
  • Mar 20, 2020 6:31pm Mar 20, 2020 6:31pm
Quoting sponge
Anyone want a stab at the euro bottom ? If it can't hold 1.06463 it's 1.06228 for me....give or take a few thousand points...
Posted in another thread but deciding to repost here to see if we can get some discussion going

////

I believe the chances of deleverage in contrast to recession is much more likely than people think.

VIX broke all time high, /es broke 18's support, perhaps I'm being overally paranoid but if 21__-20__ on spx doesnt find support, this oh course is added with the virus shit, fed rates, gold price relation [REMINDER XAU IS NOT A FAIL-PROOF SAFE HAVEN], unemployment, yield rates, dollar index, and the big one that will be comming very soon; Earnings reports and activity among commodities at this given point.

Alot of companies will be extremely effected with not just crude but most commodities at their given price and Chinese markets tanked heavily at quarterly reports when major Chinese indices saw a huge draw down awhile back as well.

While I dont think its 100% I do believe a chance of a massive deleverage is much higher than alot of people are aware and have planned for. Honestly makes me wonder what the correct market move is, I know this is posted on a fx forum so im assuming many people have been just pair trading cad/usd and while I mainly trade in options/futures market. Im still not entirely sure what the right move is, well I according to my own risk-levels. Im sure many peoples solution to this is to swing trade /vx lol

Anyways someone else got anything to add
rennstimp
  • #148
  • Mar 21, 2020 8:47am Mar 21, 2020 8:47am
Quoting sponge
S&P prediction 2300 {image}
S&P tested this level on Wed/Thurs but moved below Fri

Easy to say the bulls are pissing against the wind but there is always hope, a possible pull back over 2300 or a turn at 2220 could stem the flow.

Volume suggests more downside but last week saw more volume in with a smaller range...... could in normal markets suggest possible buying

No doubt I'll be shot at dawn by the bear squad
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All charts/ideas based on UK time zone
  • #149
  • Mar 23, 2020 9:35am Mar 23, 2020 9:35am
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Read more about these links.

  1. The US Senate failed to pass a massive coronavirus aid package after Senate Democrats voted en masse to deny Republicans the necessary support.
    The party-line vote poses a major setback to the bill after days of breakneck negotiations between lawmakers and the Trump administration, racing to pass the emergency measure.
    Expected to cost upwards of $1.8 trillion (£1.5 trillion) it would be the largest economic stimulus package in the country’s history.
    Democrats cited several concerns with the proposed legislation - including what they call a $500bn "corporate slush fund" - a loan programme controlled entirely by the Trump administration's treasury department. But they now risk major political backlash for appearing to obstruct a much-needed economic boost.
    Republicans quickly ripped into Democrats, with Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell accusing the lawmakers of creating a "spectacle" and of "playing games" with the economy.
    But senators and officials say they still hope to reach a compromise. "We’re closer than we’ve ever been at any time over the past 48 hours to an agreement," said top Senate Democrat Chuck Schumer.
    As of yet, any Senate bill will have at least three absent Republicans: Kentucky’s Rand Paul and both senators for Utah, Mitt Romney and Mike Lee. Mr Paul has tested positive for Covid-19 and both Mr Romney and Mr Lee are in self-quarantine after recent contact with their fellow senator.
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All charts/ideas based on UK time zone
  • #150
  • Mar 23, 2020 1:43pm Mar 23, 2020 1:43pm
Quoting sponge
Share this post Read more about these links. The US Senate failed to pass a massive coronavirus aid package after Senate Democrats voted en masse to deny Republicans the necessary support. The party-line vote poses a major setback to the bill after days of breakneck negotiations between lawmakers and the Trump administration, racing to pass the emergency measure. Expected to cost upwards of $1.8 trillion (£1.5 trillion) it would be the largest economic stimulus package in the country’s...
Seems like an almost exact repeat of 2008. I think they’ll get it through again.
Self-sufficiency is the greatest of all wealth. - Epicurus
  • #151
  • Mar 23, 2020 2:30pm Mar 23, 2020 2:30pm
Quoting EF5
{quote} Seems like an almost exact repeat of 2008. I think they’ll get it through again.
I think the charts will tell us when.

2172 should support ....news sensitive keeping an eye
All charts/ideas based on UK time zone
  • #152
  • Edited 4:08am Mar 24, 2020 2:42am | Edited 4:08am
Interested to see how XAU moves today with the market especially cl price currently
rennstimp
  • #153
  • Mar 24, 2020 3:54am Mar 24, 2020 3:54am
Gold looks bullish atm breaking 1577 key level, I think longer term bullish but smaller frames seem a bit overstretched imo ?

I expected a rush on Gold with all that's going on but it doesn't seem to have happened...........yet
All charts/ideas based on UK time zone
  • #154
  • Mar 24, 2020 4:00am Mar 24, 2020 4:00am
Quoting sponge
Gold looks bullish atm breaking 1577 key level, I think longer term bullish but smaller frames seem a bit overstretched imo ? I expected a rush on Gold with all that's going on but it doesn't seem to have happened...........yet
Agreed, but dont say anything or we'll jinx it
rennstimp
  • #155
  • Mar 24, 2020 5:25am Mar 24, 2020 5:25am
Some nice pips on EURUSD lately, again I think it's a longer term long ....buying the dips
All charts/ideas based on UK time zone
  • #156
  • Mar 24, 2020 6:00am Mar 24, 2020 6:00am
pfff Gold keeps going try to short at R3 but failed


got this from my mt4 broker
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persistence and determination alone are omnipotent
  • #157
  • Mar 24, 2020 6:25am Mar 24, 2020 6:25am
Quoting Ll1979
pfff Gold keeps going try to short at R3 but failed got this from my mt4 broker {image} {image}
seem to have different charts

I think mines is cash chart
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All charts/ideas based on UK time zone
  • #158
  • Mar 24, 2020 6:25am Mar 24, 2020 6:25am
Quoting Ll1979
pfff Gold keeps going try to short at R3 but failed got this from my mt4 broker {image} {image}
Strange, hope everyone made large gains today.

Had very nice returns today, really happy and know I cant top it so after this last order closed im just taking a backseat and building some equity portfolios while watch market movement.

Goodluck and kill that market today!
rennstimp
  • #159
  • Mar 24, 2020 7:17am Mar 24, 2020 7:17am
Quoting sponge
{quote} seem to have different charts I think mines is cash chart {image}
Mine is H4 CL 05-20 futures contract
persistence and determination alone are omnipotent
  • #160
  • Mar 24, 2020 7:24am Mar 24, 2020 7:24am
Quoting renNstimpy
{quote} Strange, hope everyone made large gains today. Had very nice returns today, really happy and know I cant top it so after this last order closed im just taking a backseat and building some equity portfolios while watch market movement. Goodluck and kill that market today!
What instruments did you trade?
persistence and determination alone are omnipotent
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