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  • #41
  • Mar 13, 2020 12:03am Mar 13, 2020 12:03am
nat 15m and 1h looking interesting
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rennstimp
  • #42
  • Mar 13, 2020 12:16am Mar 13, 2020 12:16am
testing resistance 30m candles
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rennstimp
  • #43
  • Mar 13, 2020 12:30am Mar 13, 2020 12:30am
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15m
rennstimp
  • #44
  • Mar 13, 2020 1:26am Mar 13, 2020 1:26am
If rise in equity continues we might see CL moving towards 33,2x/3x area imho. (H4 chart)
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persistence and determination alone are omnipotent
  • #45
  • Edited 5:09am Mar 13, 2020 4:42am | Edited 5:09am
fridays

i cant really see 2400 breaking after 2700 broke on spx, although i cant help but think big money might be worried about carrying any positions into weekend. China rate cuts though should bring something, maybe. Ehhh

Goodluck big opportunities and/or risk today
rennstimp
  • #46
  • Edited Mar 15, 2020 3:02pm Mar 14, 2020 3:20pm | Edited Mar 15, 2020 3:02pm
Trading friday was good for the first portion of the day.

Dont see it as much as a humble brag since I jumped the gun and put some stupid orders for dax/spx around NYSE closing.

Punted most of gains from trading natgas for nearly 13 hours on lazy/shitty put entries in both timing and sizing, that a few of which closed in course of a couple of minutes due to rally at NYSE close.

While Ill admit I didnt think we would see such a large rally towards end of NYSE close on spx/dax. I knew a bigger bounce was inbound and should've knew better to be so hasty on belief of 2600 resistance on spx. That being said, I still am in belief that we will see red monday thus holding a few orders over weekend.

Short version; Made nice gains from trading natgas, gave most of gains back through hasty orders on spx/dax at close, thinking monday is red but did overestimate the bounce from 2400 support.

Any predictions for spx open monday?
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rennstimp
  • #47
  • Mar 15, 2020 3:26am Mar 15, 2020 3:26am
ES H4 analysis

ES bounce nicely from trendline near 61.8 fibonacci retracement. Strong resistance in the 2700 (resistance) 2730 area (weekly s3 pivot point) making a continuation of the trend likely.

Beware of 18 march when the FED meets (rate cut).

Opening will depend on corona i guess watch twitter for the latest news.
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persistence and determination alone are omnipotent
  • #48
  • Edited 3:15pm Mar 15, 2020 3:01pm | Edited 3:15pm
Quoting Ll1979
ES H4 analysis ES bounce nicely from trendline near 61.8 fibonacci retracement. Strong resistance in the 2700 (resistance) 2730 area (weekly s3 pivot point) making a continuation of the trend likely. Beware of 18 march when the FED meets (rate cut). Opening will depend on corona i guess watch twitter for the latest news. {image}
Agreed.

Sydney opening soon, goodluck everyone.
rennstimp
  • #49
  • Mar 15, 2020 7:46pm Mar 15, 2020 7:46pm
Quoting Ll1979
ES H4 analysis ES bounce nicely from trendline near 61.8 fibonacci retracement. Strong resistance in the 2700 (resistance) 2730 area (weekly s3 pivot point) making a continuation of the trend likely. Beware of 18 march when the FED meets (rate cut). Opening will depend on corona i guess watch twitter for the latest news. {image}
Judging from market at the moment. Maybe I shouldve had abit wider SL on SPX short, hmm entry was still trash and fed risk can easily help myself justify.
rennstimp
  • #50
  • Mar 15, 2020 9:30pm Mar 15, 2020 9:30pm
xau 5m entry
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rennstimp
  • #51
  • Mar 15, 2020 10:26pm Mar 15, 2020 10:26pm
With fed rate cut, depending on market reaction.

Could see SPX below 2400 by week end if it fails
rennstimp
  • #52
  • Mar 16, 2020 12:49am Mar 16, 2020 12:49am
Quoting renNstimpy
xau 5m entry {image} {image} {image}
Nice to see you make progress
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persistence and determination alone are omnipotent
  • #53
  • Mar 16, 2020 1:41am Mar 16, 2020 1:41am
XAU retesting
rennstimp
  • #54
  • Edited 3:50am Mar 16, 2020 1:42am | Edited 3:50am
Quoting Ll1979
{quote} Nice to see you make progress {image}
Thanks, hope things are for you!
rennstimp
  • #55
  • Mar 16, 2020 1:45am Mar 16, 2020 1:45am
Quoting renNstimpy
{quote} Thanks, hope things are for you!
Watching and scanning the market no trades yet.
persistence and determination alone are omnipotent
  • #56
  • Mar 16, 2020 2:48am Mar 16, 2020 2:48am
Quoting Ll1979
{quote} Watching and scanning the market no trades yet.
No plans for big moves? With rate cut, if it indices dont move quickly I think everyone knows that its bear season. That being said, with rate cut it could easily bounce hard.
rennstimp
  • #57
  • Mar 16, 2020 3:00am Mar 16, 2020 3:00am
Quoting renNstimpy
{quote} No plans for big moves? With rate cut, if it indices dont move quickly I think everyone knows that its bear season. That being said, with rate cut it could easily bounce hard.
Looking for a CL breakout to the downside and watching gold but gold isn't performing like i thought i should be. The shit really hits the fan rate cut won't do anything about fear at all.

What about your puts are they following futures or are depending on the index itself?
persistence and determination alone are omnipotent
  • #58
  • Mar 16, 2020 3:21am Mar 16, 2020 3:21am
Quoting Ll1979
{quote} Looking for a CL breakout to the downside and watching gold but gold isn't performing like i thought i should be. The shit really hits the fan rate cut won't do anything about fear at all. What about your puts are they following futures or are depending on the index itself?
Have some in both, reason why I havent slept through this though
rennstimp
  • #59
  • Mar 16, 2020 3:47am Mar 16, 2020 3:47am
Opening is gonna be a really fucking tough decision if we see pitfall.

I think the "correct" move would be to sell the open and take the payout from already extremely risky friday orders.

That said though if we see sharp red... I mean, ugh.

Regardless I wont be sleeping for another 26 hours, what is staying "healthy and not getting the cronavirus"

to deep puts/shorts on 0 fed rate cut if spx and other indices open even deeper red
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rennstimp
  • #60
  • Mar 16, 2020 3:56am Mar 16, 2020 3:56am
Quoting renNstimpy
Opening is gonna be a really fucking tough decision if we see pitfall. I think the "correct" move would be to sell the open and take the payout from already extremely risky friday orders. That said though if we see sharp red... I mean, ugh. Regardless I wont be sleeping for another 26 hours, what is staying "healthy and not getting the cronavirus" to deep puts/shorts on 0 fed rate cut if spx opens even deeper red {image}
I guess closing on opening would be wise if we have massive fear the changes the PPT will interfere will rise. Remember profit = profit and were in it for the long haul.
persistence and determination alone are omnipotent
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