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4 Hour Strategy (MACD)

  • #30,941
  • Feb 14, 2020 11:42am Feb 14, 2020 11:42am
Quoting monty20
I am new to the thread and would like to thank everyone who has contributed so far to make this a success. With that being said let me take a stab at this and see if I understand the process correctly. So here is AUDNZD on the H4 TF. Looks like we had a close above the 21 and hit resistance at the 365. Now just waiting on a candle close below the 21 (which we are close to getting it appears) and then we can go short to the 89sma. Also there seems to be a RT on the macd. Again I am new to this so any correction or thoughts are appreciated Thanks...
In any averaging system there must be some trend, and each time graph can have its own trend.
In this case the averages are almost all on the side, so the macd is more useful.
I see a very clear head-to-shoulder, as there is no tendency, I should make a table between the averages, now going to 200.
When you close below the average of 20 and make a ladder, it may be a good time to sell.
Looking for the candle stairs and not the queues.
My guess..
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  • #30,942
  • Feb 14, 2020 9:33pm Feb 14, 2020 9:33pm
Seems confused?
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  • #30,943
  • Feb 16, 2020 4:13pm Feb 16, 2020 4:13pm
sell audusd in h4
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  • #30,944
  • Feb 17, 2020 2:13am Feb 17, 2020 2:13am
Quoting forexdg
sell audusd in h4 {image}
I think this short trend might be finished. We have had market rhythm (close back over the 21 and then back down below the 21 again again before a return to the 89)
And we are now in the ranging zone 89 and 200 so its possible that a trip to the 200 is on the cards. I have closed my short trade for -9 pips
Then again it might just go down some more
  • #30,945
  • Feb 17, 2020 3:54am Feb 17, 2020 3:54am
Quoting 40PipsAlan
{quote} I think this short trend might be finished. We have had market rhythm (close back over the 21 and then back down below the 21 again again before a return to the 89) And we are now in the ranging zone 89 and 200 so its possible that a trip to the 200 is on the cards. I have closed my short trade for -9 pips Then again it might just go down some more
I lost too
but I entered in sell h4 usdcad
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  • #30,946
  • Feb 17, 2020 4:18am Feb 17, 2020 4:18am
Quoting forexdg
{quote} I lost too but I entered in sell h4 usdcad {image}
Looks good to me. There might be a retest of the 89 before continuing down but who knows.
  • #30,947
  • Edited 9:55am Feb 17, 2020 9:44am | Edited 9:55am
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  • #30,948
  • Feb 17, 2020 9:51am Feb 17, 2020 9:51am
Quoting 40PipsAlan
{quote} Looks good to me. There might be a retest of the 89 before continuing down but who knows.
Long term.
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  • #30,949
  • Feb 17, 2020 12:35pm Feb 17, 2020 12:35pm
I taken eurnzd sell in h4
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and earlier today a buy in h4 in usdjpy which was 3 bars late but at almost same price as should be before (only 7 pips diference)
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  • #30,950
  • Feb 17, 2020 3:05pm Feb 17, 2020 3:05pm
I'm long in NZD/JPY.
Price closed back above 21 EMA and 89 SMA.
Initial target is at previous highs 71.20.
If the price broke this level, the second target will be 200 SMA @ 71.70.
The final Target is the 72.50.

I will move the stop loss to manage the position.
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  • #30,951
  • Feb 17, 2020 4:04pm Feb 17, 2020 4:04pm
sell audusd in h4 with1% this time because 2% not possible because of margin
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  • #30,952
  • Feb 17, 2020 4:11pm Feb 17, 2020 4:11pm
Quoting forexdg
sell audusd in h4 with1% this time because 2% not possible because of margin {image}
You should consider the RBA Meeting Minutes within 2 hours. It may create volatility.
  • #30,953
  • Feb 18, 2020 4:21am Feb 18, 2020 4:21am
Quoting Muhammad87
{quote} You should consider the RBA Meeting Minutes within 2 hours. It may create volatility.
audusd was lost and usdjpy and eurnzd
270 euros lost yesterday with this strategy
now I entered h4 buy in gbpnzd and gbpaud
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  • #30,954
  • Feb 18, 2020 7:10am Feb 18, 2020 7:10am
Ok Guys,
Here is almost a dud trade same as forexdg. Currently -90 pips down. I went long after a break of the 89 convinced it was going to go up. Market sentiment is long and macd has a green bar. Any advice please apart from win some loose some.
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  • #30,955
  • Feb 18, 2020 7:49am Feb 18, 2020 7:49am
Quoting 40PipsAlan
Ok Guys, Here is almost a dud trade same as forexdg. Currently -90 pips down. I went long after a break of the 89 convinced it was going to go up. Market sentiment is long and macd has a green bar. Any advice please apart from win some loose some. {image}
At the time of the long signal, the market was forming a descending triangle.
Draw a trendline along the tops of the candles and a horizontal line along the bottoms.
  • #30,956
  • Feb 18, 2020 7:57am Feb 18, 2020 7:57am
EURUSD +20 pips

Entry is on the breakout & BOZ pattern MACD
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  • #30,957
  • Feb 18, 2020 8:02am Feb 18, 2020 8:02am
Quoting pipraven
{quote} At the time of the long signal, the market was forming a descending triangle. Draw a trendline along the tops of the candles and a horizontal line along the bottoms.
Many thanks for your input Pipraven. I am guessing a descending triangle is a bearish signal and we need to wait for a break above the upper trendline with a retest before we think of going long.
  • #30,958
  • Feb 18, 2020 8:12am Feb 18, 2020 8:12am
Quoting 40PipsAlan
Ok Guys, Here is almost a dud trade same as forexdg. Currently -90 pips down. I went long after a break of the 89 convinced it was going to go up. Market sentiment is long and macd has a green bar. Any advice please apart from win some loose some. {image}
This is my personal view.

The price has broke below the 21 ema on Friday, today it broke above again, now that's a bit risky to enter there as it hasn't making market rhythm yet. You should've wait for it to bounce.

Long entry should be at the number 3, the trendlines (there's a triange as you guys have said) should also be broken in that area.
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  • #30,959
  • Feb 18, 2020 8:59am Feb 18, 2020 8:59am
macd show double top on h4 eurcad and bar bounce from 20ema
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  • #30,960
  • Feb 18, 2020 9:46am Feb 18, 2020 9:46am
Quoting Tuffsy
EURUSD +20 pips Entry is on the breakout & BOZ pattern MACD {image}
Hi Tuffsy, did you consider the previous H1 BOZ signal before the one u took on the EU?
Any reason why that one was a no go?

Keep up the good work guys. All info welcome and seeing the charts live are much better than trying to fathom things out from all of the old posts. Currently on page 220.
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