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  • Post #102,341
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  • Feb 14, 2020 1:02pm Feb 14, 2020 1:02pm
  •  Wavegarrick
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Member | 2,422 Posts
Quoting Wavegarrick
Disliked
Hi Guys, My weekly support 2 at 1.08463. We are now heading towards that ugly 100 plus pip gap of 2017. It has been an arduous journey. The question remains, do they try and fill this gap now or swing it back to the upside again? Eu has moved on like a steam train and it knows no stopping just yet. Certainly no indication of entering buy trades at the mo for me. We shall see. All the best, Cheers. {image}
Ignored
Hi Guys,

I have taken one more sell trade today with a 15 pip stop. Currently I am only relying on momentum and a position of strength. Eu is seeing trendy conditions, however I do not advise selling at these levels unless you have some back up. I have moved my trail stops up and will take it as it comes. I have not seen any reversal signs yet and will post as soon as I get some indication.

Have a great weekend,
Cheers.
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Trade to Trade another day.
 
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  • Post #102,342
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  • Feb 14, 2020 2:19pm Feb 14, 2020 2:19pm
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 17,905 Posts
H4 Status Update

I agree with Leon.. Bigger picture is still bearish and no reason to close short orders yet..

Next week bears will try to break below 1.0840 and bulls will try to climb back above Dashed-BLUE TL which currently sits at 1.0851, the more the delay the higher this tight channel will slowly shift.. I am calling it a day and week..

Happy weekends to all

Stay Green
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Be a seer, not a looker!
Ata's Trend Hunter All Time Return: 47.3%
 
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  • Post #102,343
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  • Feb 14, 2020 8:21pm Feb 14, 2020 8:21pm
  •  Austyno
  • Joined Oct 2018 | Status: Discipline creates Lifestyle | 1,684 Posts
Hmmm, Price closed @ the end of the previous gap years ago... Are u sure we won't have another huge gap on Monday... Thinking aloud. Lolz
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
 
 
  • Post #102,344
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  • Feb 14, 2020 8:43pm Feb 14, 2020 8:43pm
  •  pinguin
  • | Joined Mar 2017 | Status: Member | 269 Posts
Quoting Austyno
Disliked
Hmmm, Price closed @ the end of the previous gap years ago... Are u sure we won't have another huge gap on Monday... Thinking aloud. Lolz
Ignored
from my view refer to my post, due to price closed as pinbar which indicate price rejection (price cant closed below lowest daily price (slightly tiny nose), next week personally i expected some retracement to 38.2 - 62.8Fib area but price should keep respecting 50MA and than price continued its bias to south to fill in gap.

for me personally, i still hold my short with SL set on due to my target little bit deeper ( ambitionous maybe )

happy weekend guys
even only 1Cents..its still called profit
 
 
  • Post #102,345
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  • Feb 15, 2020 1:39am Feb 15, 2020 1:39am
  •  MaxDoom
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 13,567 Posts
Quoting MaxDoom
Disliked
it seems the bulls have had their chance today but no takers..... would be nice to see a new low put in before the weekend... time will tell {image}
Ignored
pretty much as hoped for.... closed right back at the lows
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  • Post #102,346
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  • Feb 15, 2020 3:34am Feb 15, 2020 3:34am
  •  ben82
  • | Joined Feb 2013 | Status: Fx Stooge | 404 Posts
United States Trade Representative announcement late Friday in the US

  1. increasing the duty imposed on European aircraft to 15 percent from 10 percent
  2. effective March 18

The tariffs form part of the 15 year old complaint over subsidies European governments gave to plane maker Airbus

  1. Back in October 2019 the World Trade Organization gave the US permission to try to recoup its losses

 
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  • Post #102,347
  • Quote
  • Edited at 10:15am Feb 15, 2020 9:59am | Edited at 10:15am
  •  Dingoman-two
  • Joined Aug 2017 | Status: Just a little Aussi Battler | 4,294 Posts
Quoting Dingoman-two
Disliked
{quote} Weekly chart broken down to a daily chart, The chart says it all. {image} USDX DAILY IS STILL STRONG IMHO ??? {image}
Ignored
The possibilities this week as I see it

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USDX Starting to appear weaker.
The price action appears to be loosing momentum
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  • Post #102,348
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  • Feb 15, 2020 11:16am Feb 15, 2020 11:16am
  •  azidane
  • | Joined Mar 2019 | Status: Member | 72 Posts
my way of seeing things


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  • Post #102,349
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  • Feb 15, 2020 11:31am Feb 15, 2020 11:31am
  •  pinguin
  • | Joined Mar 2017 | Status: Member | 269 Posts
Quoting azidane
Disliked
my way of seeing things {image} {image}
Ignored
refer to your second picture, as far as i know, H&S Pattern is the reversal pattern which mean that pattern indicate the trend change. and one of the condition is the pattern should formed at the end of trend.

so refer to your picture regarding H&S, if you expecting for reversal, considering the bias is downtrend so it should be the Inverted H&S .

for me myself (still using your second picture), because the H1 bias is Downtrend i would rather indicate is as Double Bottom Pattern than H&S Pattern.
even only 1Cents..its still called profit
 
 
  • Post #102,350
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  • Feb 15, 2020 11:53am Feb 15, 2020 11:53am
  •  azidane
  • | Joined Mar 2019 | Status: Member | 72 Posts
Quoting pinguin
Disliked
{quote} refer to your second picture, as far as i know, H&S Pattern is the reversal pattern which mean that pattern indicate the trend change. and one of the condition is the pattern should formed at the end of trend. so refer to your picture regarding H&S, if you expecting for reversal, considering the bias is downtrend so it should be the Inverted H&S . for me myself (still using your second picture), because the H1 bias is Downtrend i would rather indicate is as Double Bottom Pattern than H&S Pattern.
Ignored
i dont expect a reversal on monday, because i see an H&S in H1 witch may push the price lower (but because its H1 it's of a little importance in the big picture) ==> for me sunday may be down ?
 
 
  • Post #102,351
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  • Edited at 12:33pm Feb 15, 2020 12:18pm | Edited at 12:33pm
  •  Wavegarrick
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Member | 2,422 Posts
Hi Guys,

Just something I want you to be aware of, with a simple Daily chart. Except for the 2017 french election gap in April 2017 at 1.07726 ish we also have a multi year ascending trend line from Oct 2000 which is highlighted with the dodger blue trend line. Deciding times ahead indeed with all of the areas coinciding.

Cheers.
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Trade to Trade another day.
 
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  • Post #102,352
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  • Feb 15, 2020 12:25pm Feb 15, 2020 12:25pm
  •  pinguin
  • | Joined Mar 2017 | Status: Member | 269 Posts
Quoting azidane
Disliked
{quote} i dont expect a reversal on monday, because i see an H&S in H1 witch may push the price lower (but because its H1 it's of a little importance in the big picture) ==> for me sunday may be down ?
Ignored
no my friend.. i think you little bit confuse about H&S pattern. H&S pattern is the REVERSAL PATTERN which mean when the chart formed H&S Pattern it usually indicate the trend will reverse. H&S Pattern should formed on the end of UP TREND to indicate trend will reverse into DOWN TREND. and INVERTED H&S should formed on the end of DOWNTREND as the SIGN that trend will reverse into UPTREND.
even only 1Cents..its still called profit
 
1
  • Post #102,353
  • Quote
  • Feb 15, 2020 12:30pm Feb 15, 2020 12:30pm
  •  pinguin
  • | Joined Mar 2017 | Status: Member | 269 Posts
Quoting Wavegarrick
Disliked
Hi Guys, Just something I want you to be aware of, with a simple Daily chart. Except for the 2017 french election gap in April 2017 at 1.07726 ish we also have a multi year ascending trend line from Oct 2000 which is highlighted with the the dodger blue trend line. Deciding times ahead indeed with all of the areas coinciding. Cheers. {image}
Ignored
i did mate.. thats why in my recent post i mention about 1.05xx . it maybe look too ambitionous, but who knows due to "Price have memory about history".

but before price go there, it should test and break the 1.07xxx first to fill the Apr 2017 gap.
even only 1Cents..its still called profit
 
1
  • Post #102,354
  • Quote
  • Feb 15, 2020 12:42pm Feb 15, 2020 12:42pm
  •  azidane
  • | Joined Mar 2019 | Status: Member | 72 Posts
Quoting pinguin
Disliked
{quote} no my friend.. i think you little bit confuse about H&S pattern. H&S pattern is the REVERSAL PATTERN which mean when the chart formed H&S Pattern it usually indicate the trend will reverse. H&S Pattern should formed on the end of UP TREND to indicate trend will reverse into DOWN TREND. and INVERTED H&S should formed on the end of DOWNTREND as the SIGN that trend will reverse into UPTREND.
Ignored
H&S pattern is only for REVERSAL and not also for continuation, good to know

thanks
 
 
  • Post #102,355
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  • Feb 15, 2020 2:59pm Feb 15, 2020 2:59pm
  •  afshinpatiar
  • | Joined Feb 2020 | Status: Member | 2 Posts
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  • Post #102,356
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  • Edited at 5:13pm Feb 15, 2020 4:54pm | Edited at 5:13pm
  •  digger1
  • Joined Jan 2010 | Status: The Voodoo Boodoo Club | 27,235 Posts
Lol, Poor ol beaneir there maybe shoulda built a shelter ,,,, ,, when my ole bud sutho checks in its always worth a look back ,,, ,,the fabric of the universe has been rennt from top to bottom ,, but not much has changed ,, one level at a time ,,maybe just finally strarting to pick up some speed ,, cheers all
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  • Post #102,357
  • Quote
  • Feb 16, 2020 1:46am Feb 16, 2020 1:46am
  •  digger1
  • Joined Jan 2010 | Status: The Voodoo Boodoo Club | 27,235 Posts
Quoting azidane
Disliked
{quote} H&S pattern is only for REVERSAL and not also for continuation, good to know thanks
Ignored
Better too know why they fail when they fail and turn into an inverted one ,,, this one would have some work to do yet one would think
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  • Post #102,358
  • Quote
  • Feb 16, 2020 1:57am Feb 16, 2020 1:57am
  •  digger1
  • Joined Jan 2010 | Status: The Voodoo Boodoo Club | 27,235 Posts
May take a few of them to get er turned now ,, this turd moves slow ,,, till it doesent
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  • Post #102,359
  • Quote
  • Feb 16, 2020 2:10am Feb 16, 2020 2:10am
  •  pinguin
  • | Joined Mar 2017 | Status: Member | 269 Posts
Quoting digger1
Disliked
{quote} Better too know why they fail when they fail and turn into an inverted one ,,, this one would have some work to do yet one would think {image}
Ignored
from my view, refer to your picture, the H&S isn't fail, also the inverted one as well, because the inverted one is the part of the H&S in order to retrace to H&S Neckline before pullback and back to its track supposed to be.. further more the inverted one from my view just formed in short range than the H&S

CMIIW
even only 1Cents..its still called profit
 
1
  • Post #102,360
  • Quote
  • Feb 16, 2020 2:15am Feb 16, 2020 2:15am
  •  pinguin
  • | Joined Mar 2017 | Status: Member | 269 Posts
Quoting digger1
Disliked
May take a few of them to get er turned now ,, this turd moves slow ,,, till it doesent {image}
Ignored
interesting to see hidden bullish divergence from your monthly chart, so we could make preparation until the bull kick in

also the price at the level of triple bottom neckline on your monthly chart..
even only 1Cents..its still called profit
 
1
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