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Attachments: The Commitments of Traders (CoT) Report
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The Commitments of Traders (CoT) Report

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  • Post #121
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  • Oct 25, 2019 7:34pm Oct 25, 2019 7:34pm
  •  v2vboni
  • Joined Sep 2015 | Status: ob-la-di, ob-la-da, life goes on... | 3,078 Posts
✍ The Commitments of Traders (CoT) Report: Week #43


CoT data >>> Futures Only | Speculative | Based on Legacy Format
Current Week #43: 23rd October 2019 (GMT +8)
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Size: 281 KB

CoT data >>> Futures & Options | Managed Money
Current Week #43: 23rd October 2019 (GMT +8)
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Intelligence is the ability to adapt to change. -- Stephen Hawking
  • Post #122
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  • Nov 3, 2019 6:21pm Nov 3, 2019 6:21pm
  •  v2vboni
  • Joined Sep 2015 | Status: ob-la-di, ob-la-da, life goes on... | 3,078 Posts
✍ The Commitments of Traders (CoT) Report: Week #44


CoT data >>> Futures Only | Speculative | Based on Legacy Format
Current Week #44: 30th October 2019 (GMT +8)
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CoT data >>> Futures & Options | Managed Money
Current Week #44: 30th October 2019 (GMT +8)
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Intelligence is the ability to adapt to change. -- Stephen Hawking
  • Post #123
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  • Nov 9, 2019 3:34am Nov 9, 2019 3:34am
  •  v2vboni
  • Joined Sep 2015 | Status: ob-la-di, ob-la-da, life goes on... | 3,078 Posts
✍ The Commitments of Traders (CoT) Report: Week #45


CoT data >>> Futures Only | Speculative | Based on Legacy Format
Current Week #45: 6th November 2019 (GMT +8)
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Name: 2019_Speculative_Week_no_45.png
Size: 307 KB


CoT data >>> Futures & Options | Managed Money
Current Week #45: 6th November 2019 (GMT +8)
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Intelligence is the ability to adapt to change. -- Stephen Hawking
  • Post #124
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  • Nov 11, 2019 1:39am Nov 11, 2019 1:39am
  •  v2vboni
  • Joined Sep 2015 | Status: ob-la-di, ob-la-da, life goes on... | 3,078 Posts
Quoting v2vboni
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✍ The Commitments of Traders (CoT) Report: Week #45 CoT data >>> Futures Only | Speculative | Based on Legacy Format Current Week #45: 6th November 2019 (GMT +8)....
Ignored
Erratum: Speculative positions (prior % change)
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Intelligence is the ability to adapt to change. -- Stephen Hawking
  • Post #125
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  • Nov 17, 2019 7:01am Nov 17, 2019 7:01am
  •  v2vboni
  • Joined Sep 2015 | Status: ob-la-di, ob-la-da, life goes on... | 3,078 Posts
✍ The Commitments of Traders (CoT) Report: Week #46


CoT data >>> Futures Only | Speculative | Based on Legacy Format
Current Week #46: 13th November 2019 (GMT +8)
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Name: 2019_Speculative_Week_no_46.png
Size: 307 KB

CoT data >>> Futures & Options | Managed Money
Current Week #46: 13th November 2019 (GMT +8)
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Size: 309 KB
Intelligence is the ability to adapt to change. -- Stephen Hawking
  • Post #126
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  • Nov 24, 2019 9:47pm Nov 24, 2019 9:47pm
  •  v2vboni
  • Joined Sep 2015 | Status: ob-la-di, ob-la-da, life goes on... | 3,078 Posts
✍ The Commitments of Traders (CoT) Report: Week #47


CoT data >>> Futures Only | Speculative | Based on Legacy Format
Current Week #47: 20th November 2019 (GMT +8)
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Name: 2019_Speculative_Week_no_47.png
Size: 310 KB

CoT data >>> Futures & Options | Managed Money
Current Week #47: 20th November 2019 (GMT +8)
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Size: 314 KB
Intelligence is the ability to adapt to change. -- Stephen Hawking
1
  • Post #127
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  • Dec 4, 2019 7:59am Dec 4, 2019 7:59am
  •  v2vboni
  • Joined Sep 2015 | Status: ob-la-di, ob-la-da, life goes on... | 3,078 Posts
✍ The Commitments of Traders (CoT) Report: Week #48
─ delayed release due U.S. holiday


CoT data >>> Futures Only | Speculative | Based on Legacy Format
Current Week #48: 27th November 2019 (GMT +8)
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Name: 2019_Speculative_Week_no_48.png
Size: 312 KB

CoT data >>> Futures & Options | Managed Money
Current Week #48: 27th November 2019 (GMT +8)
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Name: 2019_Managed_Week_no_48.png
Size: 313 KB
Intelligence is the ability to adapt to change. -- Stephen Hawking
  • Post #128
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  • Dec 6, 2019 11:28pm Dec 6, 2019 11:28pm
  •  v2vboni
  • Joined Sep 2015 | Status: ob-la-di, ob-la-da, life goes on... | 3,078 Posts
✍ The Commitments of Traders (CoT) Report: Week #49


CoT data >>> Futures Only | Speculative | Based on Legacy Format
Current Week #49: 4th December 2019 (GMT +8)
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Size: 315 KB

CoT data >>> Futures & Options | Managed Money
Current Week #49: 4th December 2019 (GMT +8)
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Size: 315 KB
Intelligence is the ability to adapt to change. -- Stephen Hawking
2
  • Post #129
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  • Dec 14, 2019 7:08pm Dec 14, 2019 7:08pm
  •  v2vboni
  • Joined Sep 2015 | Status: ob-la-di, ob-la-da, life goes on... | 3,078 Posts
✍ The Commitments of Traders (CoT) Report: Week #50


CoT data >>> Futures Only | Speculative | Based on Legacy Format
Current Week #50: 11th December 2019 (GMT +8)
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Name: 2019_Speculative_Week_no_50.png
Size: 313 KB

CoT data >>> Futures & Options | Managed Money
Current Week #50: 11th December 2019 (GMT +8)
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Size: 315 KB
Intelligence is the ability to adapt to change. -- Stephen Hawking
  • Post #130
  • Quote
  • Dec 18, 2019 5:45am Dec 18, 2019 5:45am
  •  v2vboni
  • Joined Sep 2015 | Status: ob-la-di, ob-la-da, life goes on... | 3,078 Posts
Purchasing Power Parity

One popular macroeconomic analysis metric to compare economic productivity and standards of living between countries is purchasing power parity (PPP). PPP is an economic theory that compares different countries' currencies through a "basket of goods" approach.

According to this concept, two currencies are in equilibrium—known as the currencies being at par—when a basket of goods is priced the same in both countries, taking into account the exchange rates. ─source: investopedia
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Name: PPP.png
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Image source: University of British Columbia
Intelligence is the ability to adapt to change. -- Stephen Hawking
  • Post #131
  • Quote
  • Dec 21, 2019 5:11am Dec 21, 2019 5:11am
  •  v2vboni
  • Joined Sep 2015 | Status: ob-la-di, ob-la-da, life goes on... | 3,078 Posts
✍ The Commitments of Traders (CoT) Report: Week #51


CoT data >>> Futures Only | Speculative | Based on Legacy Format
Current Week #51: 18th December 2019 (GMT +8)
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Name: 2019_Speculative_Week_no_51.png
Size: 312 KB

CoT data >>> Futures & Options | Managed Money
Current Week #51: 18th December 2019 (GMT +8)
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Name: 2019_Managed_Week_no_51.png
Size: 313 KB
Intelligence is the ability to adapt to change. -- Stephen Hawking
  • Post #132
  • Quote
  • Dec 21, 2019 6:15am Dec 21, 2019 6:15am
  •  v2vboni
  • Joined Sep 2015 | Status: ob-la-di, ob-la-da, life goes on... | 3,078 Posts
The charts summarize the relative position of an exchange rate relative to its performance over the last year. The yellow background indicates the square dimension of the chart. The orange dot indicates today's position relative to the high (top of the chart) and low (bottom of the chart) of the FX index during the last 365 days. So if the orange dot is close to the top, the currency is close to its highest valuation. If the orange dot is close to the bottom, the currency is near its lowest valuation. The blue bars indicate the distribution of valuations over the course of one year. The span between high and low valuation is divided into ten ranges (ie, deciles). Then the number of days during which the currency's valuation has been in each of these deciles is counted. The number of days is proportional to the width of each of the ten blue bars. Thus the position of the orange dot relative to the width of the blue bars indicates if the current valuation is a relatively common event or a relatively rare event. For example, if the bulk of valuations has been in the lower deciles, and the orange dot is near the top where the bars are narrow, the currency has recently moved up sharply. These charts ("FX conifers") are a simple method of visually summarizing the performance of a currency over the time period of one year. One useful feature of this chart is that it automatically adjusts for the different volatility of currencies, as the span between a one-year high and one-year low is a reflection of a currency's volatility.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: TWI_2019-12-20.png
Size: 233 KB

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Name: TWI_all_2019-12-20.png
Size: 237 KB
Intelligence is the ability to adapt to change. -- Stephen Hawking
  • Post #133
  • Quote
  • Dec 21, 2019 6:29am Dec 21, 2019 6:29am
  •  v2vboni
  • Joined Sep 2015 | Status: ob-la-di, ob-la-da, life goes on... | 3,078 Posts
Purchasing Power Parity

One popular macroeconomic analysis metric to compare economic productivity and standards of living between countries is purchasing power parity (PPP). PPP is an economic theory that compares different countries' currencies through a "basket of goods" approach.

According to this concept, two currencies are in equilibrium—known as the currencies being at par—when a basket of goods is priced the same in both countries, taking into account the exchange rates. ─source: investopedia

USD
Attached Image

CAD
Attached Image

EUR
Attached Image
Intelligence is the ability to adapt to change. -- Stephen Hawking
  • Post #134
  • Quote
  • Dec 21, 2019 6:43am Dec 21, 2019 6:43am
  •  v2vboni
  • Joined Sep 2015 | Status: ob-la-di, ob-la-da, life goes on... | 3,078 Posts
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Name: NFCI.png
Size: 73 KB

source: Chicago FED

You may use this tool to gauge the financial liquidity - more importantly, look at the ANFCI values
─ When liquidity is tightening, take bearish trades. When liquidity is loosening, take bullish trades (USD centric).
─ Risk is a coincident indicator, credit is a lagging indicator, and leverage is a leading indicator of financial stress.
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Name: NFCI_2019-12-13.png
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Intelligence is the ability to adapt to change. -- Stephen Hawking
  • Post #135
  • Quote
  • Jan 2, 2020 7:55pm Jan 2, 2020 7:55pm
  •  v2vboni
  • Joined Sep 2015 | Status: ob-la-di, ob-la-da, life goes on... | 3,078 Posts
✍ The Commitments of Traders (CoT) Report: Week #52 (late upload)


CoT data >>> Futures Only | Speculative | Based on Legacy Format
Current Week #52: 25th December 2019 (GMT +8)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: 2019_Speculative_Week_no_52.png
Size: 309 KB

CoT data >>> Futures & Options | Managed Money
Current Week #52: 25th December 2019 (GMT +8)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: 2019_Managed_Week_no_52.png
Size: 306 KB
Intelligence is the ability to adapt to change. -- Stephen Hawking
  • Post #136
  • Quote
  • Jan 4, 2020 7:52pm Jan 4, 2020 7:52pm
  •  v2vboni
  • Joined Sep 2015 | Status: ob-la-di, ob-la-da, life goes on... | 3,078 Posts
The charts summarize the relative position of an exchange rate relative to its performance over the last year. The yellow background indicates the square dimension of the chart. The orange dot indicates today's position relative to the high (top of the chart) and low (bottom of the chart) of the FX index during the last 365 days. So if the orange dot is close to the top, the currency is close to its highest valuation. If the orange dot is close to the bottom, the currency is near its lowest valuation. The blue bars indicate the distribution of valuations over the course of one year. The span between high and low valuation is divided into ten ranges (ie, deciles). Then the number of days during which the currency's valuation has been in each of these deciles is counted. The number of days is proportional to the width of each of the ten blue bars. Thus the position of the orange dot relative to the width of the blue bars indicates if the current valuation is a relatively common event or a relatively rare event. For example, if the bulk of valuations has been in the lower deciles, and the orange dot is near the top where the bars are narrow, the currency has recently moved up sharply. These charts ("FX conifers") are a simple method of visually summarizing the performance of a currency over the time period of one year. One useful feature of this chart is that it automatically adjusts for the different volatility of currencies, as the span between a one-year high and one-year low is a reflection of a currency's volatility.

☝ These are not fundamental determinants. Users are advised to read them with considerable caution.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: twi_01-05-2020.png
Size: 321 KB
Intelligence is the ability to adapt to change. -- Stephen Hawking
  • Post #137
  • Quote
  • Jan 9, 2020 8:05pm Jan 9, 2020 8:05pm
  •  v2vboni
  • Joined Sep 2015 | Status: ob-la-di, ob-la-da, life goes on... | 3,078 Posts
✍ The Commitments of Traders (CoT) Report: Week #1 (late upload)


CoT data >>> Futures Only | Speculative | Based on Legacy Format
Current Week #1: 1st January 2020 (GMT +8)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: 2020_Speculative_Week_no_1.png
Size: 315 KB

CoT data >>> Futures & Options | Managed Money
Current Week #1: 1st January 2020 (GMT +8)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: 2020_Managed_Week_no_1.png
Size: 316 KB
Intelligence is the ability to adapt to change. -- Stephen Hawking
  • Post #138
  • Quote
  • Jan 9, 2020 8:20pm Jan 9, 2020 8:20pm
  •  v2vboni
  • Joined Sep 2015 | Status: ob-la-di, ob-la-da, life goes on... | 3,078 Posts
The charts summarize the relative position of an exchange rate relative to its performance over the last year. The yellow background indicates the square dimension of the chart. The orange dot indicates today's position relative to the high (top of the chart) and low (bottom of the chart) of the FX index during the last 365 days. So if the orange dot is close to the top, the currency is close to its highest valuation. If the orange dot is close to the bottom, the currency is near its lowest valuation. The blue bars indicate the distribution of valuations over the course of one year. The span between high and low valuation is divided into ten ranges (ie, deciles). Then the number of days during which the currency's valuation has been in each of these deciles is counted. The number of days is proportional to the width of each of the ten blue bars. Thus the position of the orange dot relative to the width of the blue bars indicates if the current valuation is a relatively common event or a relatively rare event. For example, if the bulk of valuations has been in the lower deciles, and the orange dot is near the top where the bars are narrow, the currency has recently moved up sharply. These charts ("FX conifers") are a simple method of visually summarizing the performance of a currency over the time period of one year. One useful feature of this chart is that it automatically adjusts for the different volatility of currencies, as the span between a one-year high and one-year low is a reflection of a currency's volatility.

☝ These are not fundamental determinants. Users are advised to read them with considerable caution.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: twi_01-10-2020.png
Size: 240 KB
Intelligence is the ability to adapt to change. -- Stephen Hawking
  • Post #139
  • Quote
  • Jan 13, 2020 7:56am Jan 13, 2020 7:56am
  •  kuroro001
  • Joined Jul 2007 | Status: Member | 17,077 Posts
Sugar COT

https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...0#post12700080
COT : the precious data ignored & FX investing: mid/long term ideas
  • Post #140
  • Quote
  • Edited at 9:49am Jan 13, 2020 9:29am | Edited at 9:49am
  •  v2vboni
  • Joined Sep 2015 | Status: ob-la-di, ob-la-da, life goes on... | 3,078 Posts
✍ The Commitments of Traders (CoT) Report: Week #2 (late upload)


CoT data >>> Futures Only | Speculative | Based on Legacy Format
Current Week #2: 8th January 2020 (GMT +8)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: 2020_Speculative_Week_no_2.png
Size: 312 KB

CoT data >>> Futures & Options | Managed Money
Current Week #2: 8th January 2020 (GMT +8)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: 2020_Managed_Week_no_2.png
Size: 314 KB
Intelligence is the ability to adapt to change. -- Stephen Hawking
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