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The Swamp

  • #49,321
  • Jan 3, 2020 9:07am Jan 3, 2020 9:07am
Quoting Boulder
what a jump... +10 pips done less than 2 mins {image}
3.3 Pips gap on my 1H tf...

this might be the reason
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  • #49,322
  • Jan 3, 2020 9:13am Jan 3, 2020 9:13am
Quoting gatorinla
My new month chart has 1213 as a month R. It is normally a pretty good R area. It should be hard to stray far from it this month. The high area for Jan may be set in the current 122x/30 area. 1122/23 is the next lower month level I use, followed by 1069, 0962, 0909, 0821. As bullish as pa seems that 1122/1213 ish range may be in the future. Fed is still in the game helping usd bears.
a little earlier

Quoting Boulder
{quote} agree...,,you warned us hours early....I did long one close there after seeing your note that time, +10 {image}
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,323
  • Jan 3, 2020 9:18am Jan 3, 2020 9:18am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} a little earlier {quote}
markets are selling off , Dow down 211 atm.. I may have a chance to cash out today early Swiss shorts..
  • #49,324
  • Jan 3, 2020 9:21am Jan 3, 2020 9:21am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} markets are selling off , Dow down 211 atm.. I may have a chance to cash out today early Swiss shorts..
chf??

eu back to 1177 and 15 min maybe. the 5 min at 1160 usually works with a 10 pip stop. 8 pips over usually contains it when it works.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,325
  • Jan 3, 2020 9:25am Jan 3, 2020 9:25am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I maybe wrong, I reload one here 1151... will add... H1 downtrend still young.. {image}
reload another at 1163
  • #49,326
  • Jan 3, 2020 9:32am Jan 3, 2020 9:32am
1.1191 or 1.1145 is next. 16 pips down or 30 pips up. fix will decide
  • #49,327
  • Jan 3, 2020 9:58am Jan 3, 2020 9:58am
Quoting gatorinla
My new month chart has 1213 as a month R. It is normally a pretty good R area. It should be hard to stray far from it this month. The high area for Jan may be set in the current 122x/30 area. 1122/23 is the next lower month level I use, followed by 1069, 0962, 0909, 0821. As bullish as pa seems that 1122/1213 ish range may be in the future. Fed is still in the game helping usd bears.
1166.8 is mid point month s/r
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,328
  • Jan 3, 2020 9:58am Jan 3, 2020 9:58am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} chf?? eu back to 1177 and 15 min maybe. the 5 min at 1160 usually works with a 10 pip stop. 8 pips over usually contains it when it works.
cover some short swiss here 9706 +7.. not be greedy
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  • #49,329
  • Jan 3, 2020 10:05am Jan 3, 2020 10:05am
last h closed above my 5 min. lc was 1184.. bears may do it. 30 min is at 1167.. 5 min crossed it earlier.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,330
  • Jan 3, 2020 10:16am Jan 3, 2020 10:16am
Quoting gatorinla
last h closed above my 5 min. lc was 1184.. bears may do it. 30 min is at 1167.. 5 min crossed it earlier.
good....also 1188 is H1 and weekly downtrend stop
  • #49,331
  • Jan 3, 2020 10:35am Jan 3, 2020 10:35am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} good....also 1188 is H1 and weekly downtrend stop
Fed min has the unknown. If not for that, I would expect a near test of the lows within the next 24 trading hours. Lower week and day lc
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,332
  • Jan 3, 2020 10:37am Jan 3, 2020 10:37am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Fed min has the unknown. If not for that, I would expect a near test of the lows within the next 24 trading hours. Lower week and day lc
Fed min pretty much known.. last time there was no effect when they put out...not even 10 pips move
I added short here 1178.. ...
they want to test the 1188...
  • #49,333
  • Jan 3, 2020 10:49am Jan 3, 2020 10:49am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Fed min pretty much known.. last time there was no effect when they put out...not even 10 pips move I added short here 1178.. ... they want to test the 1188...
day is a pin now. I dont think it will close above 1188.. it may just need 1181 again. The week and day are lower. so it should get back near 1122 again or less.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,334
  • Jan 3, 2020 10:53am Jan 3, 2020 10:53am
NOW
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  • #49,335
  • Jan 3, 2020 10:53am Jan 3, 2020 10:53am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} day is a pin now. I dont think it will close above 1188.. it may just need 1181 again. The week and day are lower. so it should get back near 1122 again or less.
weekly candle is a doji atm, its still bearish... wait to see how it 'll close
  • #49,336
  • Jan 3, 2020 11:00am Jan 3, 2020 11:00am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Fed min pretty much known.. last time there was no effect when they put out...not even 10 pips move I added short here 1178.. ... they want to test the 1188...
some money flow to u.s. bonds may kill rate. I dont know if its enough to stop usd with Iran. Some want usd, some want the rates for safety.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,337
  • Jan 3, 2020 11:02am Jan 3, 2020 11:02am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} weekly candle is a doji atm, its still bearish... wait to see how it 'll close
yeah, odds are with the lc atm. This close to 1181 norm, maybe after 81, a fall.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,338
  • Jan 3, 2020 11:03am Jan 3, 2020 11:03am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} some money flow to u.s. bonds may kill rate. I dont know if its enough to stop usd with Iran. Some want usd, some want the rates for safety.
better kill/ discontinue the repo....
I forgot today is repo $52 bil , oversubscribed... maybe that is why Eur went up..
  • #49,339
  • Jan 3, 2020 11:08am Jan 3, 2020 11:08am
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  • #49,340
  • Jan 3, 2020 11:14am Jan 3, 2020 11:14am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} better kill/ discontinue the repo.... I forgot today is repo $52 bil , oversubscribed... maybe that is why Eur went up..
15 min at 1176.. need it back below 1160 to start with a close.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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