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The Swamp

  • #49,301
  • Jan 3, 2020 4:14am Jan 3, 2020 4:14am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it looks to close h below 1148.. It may become R now st. this h close is also a 4h close.. you may want to try a scalp off 1148 and assume it will run another = distance of today's run lower.
30 pips below 1148= 1118.. near the month area 1122 ish.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,302
  • Jan 3, 2020 4:23am Jan 3, 2020 4:23am
1110 is a norm with support and resistance.
  • #49,303
  • Jan 3, 2020 4:26am Jan 3, 2020 4:26am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1177 still the same. some attraction to 118x, but the 5 min is at 1173, the 15 min 1184. The 200 in the 1157 ish area.. If the pa atm is unable to close the h below 1148, It may bounce a little. The attraction to 1152/53 has been met.
Nice window here to short a spike. anywhere 1177/48. as long as pa can keep the h closing below 1148..the 5 and 15 will catch up.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,304
  • Jan 3, 2020 5:43am Jan 3, 2020 5:43am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Some support here-ish expected 1122/23
area in play 1118/23. (possible bounceable). area meaning it could be lower. 1109 is likely attracting it.. Possible short 1148/7x. Not sure on 1122 strength but being a month number. Could push a bounce to 1148. My plan was to ride the 5 min down.. But I closed early 1153 xrjvmsmf. I will try to jump back on the 5 when able.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,305
  • Jan 3, 2020 5:50am Jan 3, 2020 5:50am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} area in play 1118/23. (possible bounceable). area meaning it could be lower. 1109 is likely attracting it.. Possible short 1148/7x. Not sure on 1122 strength but being a month number. Could push a bounce to 1148. My plan was to ride the 5 min down.. But I closed early 1153 xrjvmsmf. I will try to jump back on the 5 when able.
not much vol as usual but still deserve knowing this level may play temporarily for now
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  • #49,306
  • Jan 3, 2020 5:52am Jan 3, 2020 5:52am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 30 pips below 1148= 1118.. near the month area 1122 ish.
its close now to the 30 pips. with 1122 in the way, it may be best to take the $. Then enter the bounce.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,307
  • Jan 3, 2020 5:56am Jan 3, 2020 5:56am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} area in play 1118/23. (possible bounceable). area meaning it could be lower. 1109 is likely attracting it.. Possible short 1148/7x. Not sure on 1122 strength but being a month number. Could push a bounce to 1148. My plan was to ride the 5 min down.. But I closed early 1153 xrjvmsmf. I will try to jump back on the 5 when able.
now 1166 and falling. With 1147/48 R.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,308
  • Jan 3, 2020 6:09am Jan 3, 2020 6:09am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} not much vol as usual but still deserve knowing this level may play temporarily for now {image}
No telling what will happen in the coming weeks. The Iranians flew a drone past the Saudis security (u.s. supplied security system) to blow up a refinery. They could be hell bent on doing it on a Israely target. In 1914 the assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand started WW1. The tail wagging the dog and young men die for old men's pride.
Explanation of current political situation explained in a card game.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,309
  • Jan 3, 2020 6:27am Jan 3, 2020 6:27am
Nostradamus?
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,310
  • Jan 3, 2020 6:42am Jan 3, 2020 6:42am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} area in play 1118/23. (possible bounceable). area meaning it could be lower. 1109 is likely attracting it.. Possible short 1148/7x. Not sure on 1122 strength but being a month number. Could push a bounce to 1148. My plan was to ride the 5 min down.. But I closed early 1153 xrjvmsmf. I will try to jump back on the 5 when able.
its bouncing some now. 1148/51 looks like an attractant. maybe back to the original 1153. R 1148 with the 5 and 15 to help catch a stray. the 5 min is near center of the 2 month numbers.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,311
  • Jan 3, 2020 7:25am Jan 3, 2020 7:25am
1148 is 1h R, but 1151 is normal. 1157 200 .. all I can say is, this is a R area. 1148/77
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,312
  • Jan 3, 2020 7:35am Jan 3, 2020 7:35am
4h adx is showing eu bears as strong.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,313
  • Jan 3, 2020 7:41am Jan 3, 2020 7:41am
Quoting gatorinla
4h adx is showing eu bears as strong. {image}
eu has bottomed out for the day as far as i see it
  • #49,314
  • Jan 3, 2020 7:46am Jan 3, 2020 7:46am
Quoting giveachance
{quote} eu has bottomed out for the day as far as i see it

I agree. Got out of all my EU shorts today. Looking to re load higher or buy much lower. Staying away from Swissy now with all the geopolitical risk.Don’t forget we have FOMC minutes at 2pm eastern time today. Unusual for a Friday but a nice way to end the holiday week.


Jeff
I EAT PIPS
  • #49,315
  • Jan 3, 2020 8:42am Jan 3, 2020 8:42am
Quoting giveachance
{quote} eu has bottomed out for the day as far as i see it
after 1151, may retest low, 5 min r 1161
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,316
  • Jan 3, 2020 8:45am Jan 3, 2020 8:45am
Quoting WhipKream
{quote} Will we test today? At this rate it seems like a possibility honestly. US10y had a huge gap on its open. Looks like it is ready to drop like a rock. Fed repo operations coming to an end soon as well. Looks like 1.0878 might come in a hurry. Time to wait for the ride down I hope.
no.. M30 downtrend is over extended as for now..we have to wait..if bears can hold 1188 below at NY close, the weekly downtrend (1188) may force EU down next week to meet day uptrend stop (1038),,

some old trades got cashed out, now I wait for reload..
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  • #49,317
  • Jan 3, 2020 8:54am Jan 3, 2020 8:54am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} no.. M30 downtrend is over extended as for now..we have to wait..if bears can hold 1188 below at NY close, the weekly downtrend (1188) may force EU down next week to meet day uptrend stop (1038),, some old trades got cashed out, now I wait for reload.. {image}
I maybe wrong, I reload one here 1151... will add... H1 downtrend still young..
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  • #49,318
  • Jan 3, 2020 8:55am Jan 3, 2020 8:55am
Quoting giveachance
{quote} eu has bottomed out for the day as far as i see it
I believe I said 1122/23 was a month support area (before move). And the possible short area was 1148/77. It's much easier to call a bottom after it has bounced.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,319
  • Jan 3, 2020 8:57am Jan 3, 2020 8:57am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I believe I said 1122/23 was a month support area. And the possible short area was 1148/77. It's much easier to call a bottom after it has bounced.
agree...,,you warned us hours early....I did long one close there after seeing your note that time, +10
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  • #49,320
  • Jan 3, 2020 9:02am Jan 3, 2020 9:02am
what a jump... +10 pips done less than 2 mins
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