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  • Post #13,721
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  • Nov 26, 2019 9:54am Nov 26, 2019 9:54am
  •  olegchartist
  • Joined Sep 2019 | Status: Member | 230 Posts
NZDUSD is vulnerable to (short-term) breakdown

Here is NZDUSD market. From first sight, it is clear that the market is moving sideways. It has a balance between buyers and sellers.

How to trade the sideways market? Short from Highs, Buy from Supports.
But P-Ratio indicator (1) gives more advantages. It tells that selling from highs has more chances for success.

The reason - Too many buyers have profits. The market is not interested to make more benefits for them. That is why an idea about rejecting from highs has more weight.

2 - An attempt of bulls to breakout. Increase in volume, but the range is narrow, closing is poor. So. time for shorting.
3 - If you switch to faster TF, you will find a tiny SLKT at the top of this bar. It could be your trigger for shorting.

What is a Reasonable Target? I like Stop Loss Cluster (4).

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Oleg Alexandrov, market analyst. Find me in Google
1
  • Post #13,722
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  • Nov 26, 2019 10:47am Nov 26, 2019 10:47am
  •  vincentprice
  • Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Nil Desperandum | 389 Posts
Quote
Disliked
NZDUSD is vulnerable to (short-term) breakdown

Here is NZDUSD market. From first sight, it is clear that the market is moving sideways. It has a balance between buyers and sellers.

How to trade the sideways market? Short from Highs, Buy from Supports.
But P-Ratio indicator (1) gives more advantages. It tells that selling from highs has more chances for success.

The reason - Too many buyers have profits. The market is not interested to make more benefits for them. That is why an idea about rejecting from highs has more weight.
Hi

When you say "The reason - Too many buyers have profits. The market is not interested to make more benefits for them. That is why an idea about rejecting from highs has more weight." how do you determine too many buyers have profits and the market is not interested to make more benefits from them?
Nil desperandum
1
  • Post #13,723
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  • Nov 26, 2019 3:17pm Nov 26, 2019 3:17pm
  •  hellsbells
  • Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Member | 970 Posts
News today, but NZD/USD interests me to long, on hour chart last low was quite a bit higher than the range. Will review chart pre news in 90min
  • Post #13,724
  • Quote
  • Nov 27, 2019 11:26am Nov 27, 2019 11:26am
  •  EastWind
  • | Joined May 2016 | Status: Member | 28 Posts
This pair's strength is so strong. It refuses to back down. Just keeps making higher lows everyday.
  • Post #13,725
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  • Nov 29, 2019 4:43am Nov 29, 2019 4:43am
  •  vincentprice
  • Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Nil Desperandum | 389 Posts
On the 13th of Nov RBNZ took the market by surprise by not cutting interest rates from 1.0% to 0.75%.

0.75% had been priced into the NZD and subsequently the pair is re-pricing.

It is clear on the daily chart that this AUD/NZD has been in a strong downtrend since the 13th of Nov announcement.

There have been no significant pullbacks on the daily chart at any support levels, buying into this pair right now IMO is far more risky than selling into it. On the daily chart below the next significant support zone is delineated at 1.0455. I would not consider taking a position trade at this level, but rather see it as a final target area for shorting into this pair on the current downtrend.

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There are plenty of opportunities to enter short on pullbacks on the 1h / 15 min.

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Nil desperandum
  • Post #13,726
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  • Dec 4, 2019 1:45am Dec 4, 2019 1:45am
  •  Squiggles
  • Joined Nov 2014 | Status: Member | 1,677 Posts
Daily short opp in view, with Mtly n Wkly still higher.
D
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W
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1
  • Post #13,727
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  • Dec 4, 2019 2:07am Dec 4, 2019 2:07am
  •  giveachance
  • Joined Jun 2013 | Status: Ban the idiot nessus94 | 5,824 Posts
Quoting Squiggles
Disliked
Daily short opp in view, with Mtly n Wkly still higher. D{image} W{image} M{image}
Ignored
most brokerages are expecting kiwi to remain on sidelines for the near term. however with huge shorts built up since yesterday risk is to the upside
  • Post #13,728
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  • Dec 4, 2019 5:25am Dec 4, 2019 5:25am
  •  Squiggles
  • Joined Nov 2014 | Status: Member | 1,677 Posts
Quoting giveachance
Disliked
{quote} most brokerages are expecting kiwi to remain on sidelines for the near term. however with huge shorts built up since yesterday risk is to the upside
Ignored
I don’t know about any of this information but thanks for quoting me.
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  • hms_galaxy
  • Post #13,730
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  • Dec 13, 2019 1:11am Dec 13, 2019 1:11am
  •  Ayax.TSS
  • Joined Apr 2019 | Status: Member | 1,215 Posts
#NZDUSD / H4
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  • Post #13,731
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  • Dec 17, 2019 3:37pm Dec 17, 2019 3:37pm
  •  Squiggles
  • Joined Nov 2014 | Status: Member | 1,677 Posts
wkly
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  • Post #13,732
  • Quote
  • Dec 29, 2019 2:43pm Dec 29, 2019 2:43pm
  •  Ayax.TSS
  • Joined Apr 2019 | Status: Member | 1,215 Posts
#NZDUSD / Weekly, Daily & H4 / Bullish Idea
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  • Post #13,733
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  • Jan 1, 2020 6:56am Jan 1, 2020 6:56am
  •  fibopedia
  • | Joined Nov 2017 | Status: Member | 29 Posts
I might be wrong but i saw cup and handle pattern on nzdusd weekly.

https://www.onlinefinancialmarkets.c...and-Handle.jpg
  • Post #13,734
  • Quote
  • Jan 1, 2020 6:56am Jan 1, 2020 6:56am
  •  fibopedia
  • | Joined Nov 2017 | Status: Member | 29 Posts
Quoting Squiggles
Disliked
wkly{image}
Ignored

I like ur channel
  • Post #13,735
  • Quote
  • Jan 2, 2020 8:18am Jan 2, 2020 8:18am
  •  jpwilkinson
  • Joined Nov 2019 | Status: Member | 134 Posts
NZDUSD January

0.69429
0.69301

0.68436
0.68309

0.67881
0.67796

0.67617
0.67562

0.67189 Open

0.66816
0.66761

0.66582
0.66497

0.66069
0.65942

0.65077
0.64949
  • Post #13,736
  • Quote
  • Jan 3, 2020 4:17am Jan 3, 2020 4:17am
  •  Squiggles
  • Joined Nov 2014 | Status: Member | 1,677 Posts
Quoting fibopedia
Disliked
{quote} I like ur channel
Ignored
Thanks Fibopedia, looking good now
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1
  • Post #13,737
  • Quote
  • Jan 3, 2020 8:32am Jan 3, 2020 8:32am
  •  fibopedia
  • | Joined Nov 2017 | Status: Member | 29 Posts
Quoting Squiggles
Disliked
{quote} Thanks Fibopedia, looking good now {image}
Ignored

very very nice! congratulation!
  • Post #13,738
  • Quote
  • Jan 6, 2020 2:23am Jan 6, 2020 2:23am
  •  jpwilkinson
  • Joined Nov 2019 | Status: Member | 134 Posts
NZDUSD H1
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  • Post #13,739
  • Quote
  • Jan 6, 2020 4:32am Jan 6, 2020 4:32am
  •  jpwilkinson
  • Joined Nov 2019 | Status: Member | 134 Posts
Quoting jpwilkinson
Disliked
NZDUSD H1 {image}
Ignored
update: moved S/L and closed trade by mistake
  • Post #13,740
  • Quote
  • Jan 7, 2020 3:18am Jan 7, 2020 3:18am
  •  Ayax.TSS
  • Joined Apr 2019 | Status: Member | 1,215 Posts
#NZDUSD / Weekly. Daily & H4
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