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  • #99,021
  • Dec 13, 2019 12:00pm Dec 13, 2019 12:00pm
Quoting Adam.k
{quote} If today's candle closed like what's now.. it's unlikely to go up to your TP ... {image}
Today yes but next week, it should... I might close before it reaches... Tp was based on the range of today
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
  • #99,022
  • Dec 13, 2019 8:52pm Dec 13, 2019 8:52pm
waiting for a trade setup today
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #99,023
  • Dec 13, 2019 9:17pm Dec 13, 2019 9:17pm
Was sleeping during the drop, was it due to the US China phase 1 or whatever trade deal?

How likely is 1.12 again next week?
  • #99,024
  • Dec 13, 2019 10:26pm Dec 13, 2019 10:26pm
Quoting Starcraftmaz
Was sleeping during the drop, was it due to the US China phase 1 or whatever trade deal? How likely is 1.12 again next week?
trade planner ; i will never miss any trade
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  • #99,025
  • Dec 13, 2019 11:57pm Dec 13, 2019 11:57pm
lots of useful information on EURUSD on this group. thanks everyone for this.

my views on EURUSD --

longer term i attach some probability of it trying to do what it did back in 2017 which is trying to reverse the longer term down-trend. probability has gone up after the Oct19 bull engulfing monthly candle but 1st step would be to start giving closes > 1.12 which is not the case at the moment -- can change.

shorter term, my weekly close interest points are 1.1105 and 1.1072. daily close interest points are 1.1079. last weekly gave close north of 1.1105 which looks like short term constructive as far as daily does not close back below 1.107x maybe.

fundamentally eur data (manufacturing) has been outperforming usd data (manufacturing pmi / consumer sentiment, etc) last few mnths, and read somewhere that lagarde was not too dovish either last ECB meeting in contrast to Powell who looks bent towards keeping rates lower for some time.

time will tell whether eur breaks out of 1.12 or down-trend since 2018 continues but my medium term bias is towards higher which aligns nicely with fundamentals.

thanks.
  • #99,026
  • Dec 14, 2019 1:10am Dec 14, 2019 1:10am
Well,

I am not sure, but it looks like it is going to drop back again to 1.09950. Time will tell, but the pressure is clearly bearish...
  • #99,027
  • Dec 14, 2019 1:22am Dec 14, 2019 1:22am
Market starts to slowdown next week?
  • #99,028
  • Dec 14, 2019 6:23am Dec 14, 2019 6:23am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #99,029
  • Dec 14, 2019 7:11am Dec 14, 2019 7:11am
Depending on market opening (assuming without a gap), I can say that we will first see some slow upwards move as long as 1.1111 supports.. M1 and M5 timeframe traders will probably try to trade that insignificant rise until London opening..

For my followers: Based on weekly chart below, the typical resistance zone of my Dashed-BLUE touch has worked and I am already short.. Next, I will wait to catch a new sell order as high as I can or even a re-touch to Dashed-BLUE.. Speaking of which, the new Dashed-BLUE touch level for next week of course would have been shifted to 1.1179 now as you can see on chart.. In such case same logic applies here and I will look for best sell opportunities in that area.. Time will tell.. Basically we rinse and repeat..

Anyway.. For now enjoy your weekend folks.. Peace

Stay Green
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #99,030
  • Dec 14, 2019 10:54am Dec 14, 2019 10:54am
if it can help
my weekly view
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  • #99,031
  • Dec 14, 2019 4:30pm Dec 14, 2019 4:30pm
Quoting tush1822
{quote} update. Overall - PA is victim of Optimism and Pessimism of Trade deal > Range bound till 15 Dec Fundamentally- US China trade deal over powered over slight positive EU PMIs Technically- large bull candle (2/12/2019) and strong shooting star daily candle (4/12/2019) shows waves of Optimism and Pessimism over trade deal. > Range bound from 1.10800 to 1.10330 till 15th Dec Or till a formal announcement on a Phase 1 deal. {image}
Overall> US-CHINA trade deal will dominate
Fundamentally> USD will become strong next week
Technically- Triple top at 1.11675 , H4 level Head and shoulder reversal at neck-1.11100, Retesting of Daily trend line upto >1.10330
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  • #99,032
  • Dec 15, 2019 4:09am Dec 15, 2019 4:09am
KISS [Keep It Simple Stupid ]

easy to read what the S/R le`ve```ls to w`atch will be next week and what trade direction to take if those levels are hit
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #99,033
  • Edited 10:40pm Dec 15, 2019 4:39am | Edited 10:40pm
Quoting PatienceFx
KISS [Keep It Simple Stupid ] easy to read what the S/R le`ve```ls to w`atch will be next week and what trade direction to take if those levels are hit {image}
Try these folks.

Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf ADR_PLUS_Indicator_Guidance_v1.1.pdf   176 KB | 384 downloads

Attached File(s)
File Type: ex4 ADR_PLUS.ex4   176 KB | 270 downloads

Attached File(s)
File Type: ex4 Symbol_Changer_PLUS.ex4   167 KB | 234 downloads
Attached File(s)
File Type: mq4 Market Panel Display Controller (1).mq4   26 KB | 242 downloads
  • #99,034
  • Dec 15, 2019 6:04am Dec 15, 2019 6:04am
Hi guys! See my newest forecast: EURUSD 16-18 Dec
Risk Management is of utmost importance!
  • #99,035
  • Dec 15, 2019 7:28am Dec 15, 2019 7:28am
entry wait for lower high or breakout...



focus and patience...

keep green

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i'm ever lose $2000, now time to go grow up
  • #99,036
  • Dec 15, 2019 7:51am Dec 15, 2019 7:51am
Just a thought........
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4&1 All Time Profit: $37,496
  • #99,037
  • Dec 15, 2019 9:57am Dec 15, 2019 9:57am
key level
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  • #99,038
  • Dec 15, 2019 12:32pm Dec 15, 2019 12:32pm
Quoting tush1822
{quote} Overall> US-CHINA trade deal will dominate Fundamentally> USD will become strong next week Technically- Triple top at 1.11675 , H4 level Head and shoulder reversal at neck-1.11100, Retesting of Daily trend line upto >1.10330 {image}
I would not bet a dime on the USD getting stronger next week because trading staff of hedge funds & banks normally start their year end vacations next week.
  • #99,039
  • Dec 15, 2019 12:39pm Dec 15, 2019 12:39pm
Quoting Hutch
{quote} I would not bet a dime on the USD getting stronger next week because trading staff of hedge funds & banks normally start their year end vacations next week.
Yep. In my experience, the next couple of weeks are either completely blah. Or punctuated with inexplicable madness...

Trade with extreme caution everybody.
  • #99,040
  • Dec 15, 2019 1:50pm Dec 15, 2019 1:50pm
Quoting Hutch
{quote} I would not bet a dime on the USD getting stronger next week because trading staff of hedge funds & banks normally start their year end vacations next week.
fair point!!!
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