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Pivot Trading Journal

  • #2,121
  • Dec 5, 2019 1:08am Dec 5, 2019 1:08am
Quoting Froggy
G'day all, Joeef, following your exploits on BTM I have come for a quick look at your journal..... I have gone throu the 106 pages on comments three time!!!! Pivots trading has always interested me as well as order flow, volume etc... I am going to digest it all, if at all possible and perhaps ask a few questions before I can start contributing if okay with you Joeef? Kette you are very patient a helpful,
Welcome to my journal.

I'm looking forward for your contribution ...

And yes Kette is a BIG trader ...

All the best,
Joe
And you will leave pain to take care of itself.
  • #2,122
  • Dec 6, 2019 2:07am Dec 6, 2019 2:07am
Wow, looks like AN wants to head down to 1.03 area. I put in a buy limit just above 1.03. Hopefully it will pick it up and then bounce north for some nice profit. Let's see what happens.
  • #2,123
  • Dec 6, 2019 2:10am Dec 6, 2019 2:10am
Quoting Ratel
Wow, looks like AN wants to head down to 1.03 area. I put in a buy limit just above 1.03. Hopefully it will pick it up and then bounce north for some nice profit. Let's see what happens.
Already selling NZD,
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDCHFM30.png Size: 166 KB
We obey the structure that results from the market's reaction
  • #2,124
  • Dec 6, 2019 2:36am Dec 6, 2019 2:36am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 36 KB
Stay green!!!
  • #2,125
  • Dec 6, 2019 3:35am Dec 6, 2019 3:35am
Quoting Froggy
{image}
Nope.....try and try again....
Stay green!!!
  • #2,126
  • Dec 6, 2019 4:03am Dec 6, 2019 4:03am
@ Froggy, I see you are trading from Aus. Mind a question from my side?
What is the general feeling in Aus regarding the strength of the NZD $ vs the Aus $ lately? Do you guys think a turnaround is due soon?
  • #2,127
  • Dec 6, 2019 4:47am Dec 6, 2019 4:47am
Quoting Ratel
@ Froggy, I see you are trading from Aus. Mind a question from my side? What is the general feeling in Aus regarding the strength of the NZD $ vs the Aus $ lately? Do you guys think a turnaround is due soon?
The economy is slowing down like the rest of the world even though Australia is in a better position than any other countries except USA. We need the china/US deal to be resolved just as much NZ needs it too. NZ’s economy is depend on selling its agricultural products and Australia selling its ore, tourism and education. Australia doesn’t manufacture anything any longer neither is NZ. We need rain too, a good part of the farming areas have been in drought for 3-7 years. So, everything is getting really expensive! Also, the exchange rate has always been in NZ favour but we just need a little bit of help from Donald!!!
Stay green!!!
  • #2,128
  • Dec 6, 2019 5:14am Dec 6, 2019 5:14am
Quoting Froggy
{quote} The economy is slowing down like the rest of the world even though Australia is in a better position than any other countries except USA. We need the china/US deal to be resolved just as much NZ needs it too. NZ’s economy is depend on selling its agricultural products and Australia selling its ore, tourism and education. Australia doesn’t manufacture anything any longer neither is NZ. We need rain too, a good part of the farming areas have been in drought for 3-7 years. So, everything is getting really expensive! Also, the exchange rate...
Thanks for background info. It helps to align oneself with what things are like on the ground.
  • #2,129
  • Dec 6, 2019 5:21am Dec 6, 2019 5:21am
Quoting Froggy
{image}
NZDCHF

Hi,
for me no short in sight m15-H4 upward trend, the volume moves upwards
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDCHFM30.png Size: 103 KB
  • #2,130
  • Dec 6, 2019 5:23am Dec 6, 2019 5:23am
Not sure I have got this right, but here goes.
Looking at the pics below, it looks like the USD is oversold vs the CAD on the H4 chart. I hope it goes north during the news this afternoon.
If it does, I am shorting all rallies of the USD for the next few months.
Reason I want to do so can be seen on the Monthly chart. On this chart it looks like the USD is at a high vs the CAD. Lots of room to head south.
Obviously I will keep a tab on any fundamental changes in the new year, such as interest rate changes. If anything change, I will reconsider.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCAD.rH4.png Size: 101 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCAD.rMonthly.png Size: 100 KB
  • #2,131
  • Dec 6, 2019 5:31am Dec 6, 2019 5:31am
Quoting Ratel
Not sure I have got this right, but here goes. Looking at the pics below, it looks like the USD is oversold vs the CAD on the H4 chart. I hope it goes north during the news this afternoon. If it does, I am shorting all rallies of the USD for the next few months. Reason I want to do so can be seen on the Monthly chart. On this chart it looks like the USD is at a high vs the CAD. Lots of room to head south. Obviously I will keep a tab on any fundamental changes in the new year, such as interest rate changes. If anything change, I will reconsider....
your thoughts are correct, which we do not know if everyone sees it that way
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCADH4.png Size: 113 KB
  • #2,132
  • Dec 6, 2019 5:35am Dec 6, 2019 5:35am
Quoting kette
{quote} your thoughts are correct, which we do not know if everyone sees it that way {image}
Got kicked back 3 times... that’s enough!!!
Stay green!!!
  • #2,133
  • Dec 6, 2019 5:40am Dec 6, 2019 5:40am
Quoting Froggy
{quote} Got kicked back 3 times... that’s enough!!!

is ok, make yourself a big picture before
  • #2,134
  • Dec 6, 2019 5:43am Dec 6, 2019 5:43am
Quoting Froggy
{quote} Got kicked back 3 times... that’s enough!!!
daily, last low left are picked up
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDCHFDaily.png Size: 73 KB
  • #2,135
  • Dec 6, 2019 6:10am Dec 6, 2019 6:10am
Quoting Froggy
{quote} Got kicked back 3 times... that’s enough!!!
Froggy, give us more detail, maybe we can give advice?
A pic can maybe help us understand where things went wrong?
  • #2,136
  • Dec 6, 2019 6:56am Dec 6, 2019 6:56am
Added more,
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDCHFM30.png Size: 168 KB
We obey the structure that results from the market's reaction
  • #2,137
  • Dec 6, 2019 7:37am Dec 6, 2019 7:37am
uc
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCADM30.png Size: 72 KB
  • #2,138
  • Dec 6, 2019 11:03am Dec 6, 2019 11:03am
NZD seems to have no end in strengthening.
  • #2,139
  • Dec 6, 2019 3:01pm Dec 6, 2019 3:01pm
Quoting Ratel
{quote} Thanks for background info. It helps to align oneself with what things are like on the ground.
No worries any time, although my analysis might be wrong!!!
Stay green!!!
  • #2,140
  • Dec 6, 2019 3:10pm Dec 6, 2019 3:10pm
Quoting Ratel
{quote} Froggy, give us more detail, maybe we can give advice? A pic can maybe help us understand where things went wrong?
Thanks mate but I know where I went wrong...got lured by what I thought was a rejection. However, I should have remembered: "78 is the last chance....".
Kette was right too!!
They'll be another gravy train coming soon...I hope
Stay green!!!
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