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Energetic H1 Strategy (Crude/Brent/Gas)

  • #261
  • Dec 2, 2019 2:10pm Dec 2, 2019 2:10pm
Seems we are hedged indeed Today made quite a good LIVE TE return... Will be testing it heavily till the end of the week so maybe will have some more stat, data, possible correlation.. So I might hope we might have DIFFERENT results Meaning that at least one TE should GO BIG If so, we could really look into hedging our trades, or cherrypicking... Also... do you attach/remark "certainty level" estimation before placing the trade.. If so, some correlations noted? For example... if that would be the case, we might cherry-pick the super-good ones in some other TE? This is how I try to "learn" from past trades anyway...
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #262
  • Dec 2, 2019 3:52pm Dec 2, 2019 3:52pm
Seeing a bounce up on nat gas so far this week. Not too surprising, though I think a longer term direction will take longer to emerge. I'm still in a hold pattern.
  • #263
  • Dec 3, 2019 1:59pm Dec 3, 2019 1:59pm
Quoting nastynatty
Seeing a bounce up on nat gas so far this week. Not too surprising, though I think a longer term direction will take longer to emerge. I'm still in a hold pattern.
Yeah, that would sync with seasonality... since judging by it we are suppose to be in a "hot" season.. meaning, up till mid of DEC... and then the seasonality would suggest drop till mid of FEB.. But Seasonality is just one parameter although not negligible
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #264
  • Dec 3, 2019 4:18pm Dec 3, 2019 4:18pm
Watching as NG creeps back up toward the 50 ema. If this momentum continues, I may jump long maybe even this week. I thought we may have spent more time testing lows but the market had other plans.
  • #265
  • Dec 4, 2019 2:56pm Dec 4, 2019 2:56pm
Quoting nastynatty
Watching as NG creeps back up toward the 50 ema. If this momentum continues, I may jump long maybe even this week. I thought we may have spent more time testing lows but the market had other plans.
Encountered some resistance this afternoon to end the day down. Inventory tomorrow should provide a spike and then we will see where we are headed.
  • #266
  • Dec 4, 2019 2:57pm Dec 4, 2019 2:57pm
Man, entered WTI recently, exited in some accounts... although it seems there is still STRONG potential for SOUTH
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #267
  • Dec 5, 2019 1:54pm Dec 5, 2019 1:54pm
Quoting auricforecas
Man, entered WTI recently, exited in some accounts... although it seems there is still STRONG potential for SOUTH
Indeed, it looks like we may be headed south before too long. We've seen the 15 day over the 50 day for all of November but it's starting to look like it might cross. I may start keeping an eye on that thing after we get out of this crazy week.
  • #268
  • Dec 5, 2019 1:58pm Dec 5, 2019 1:58pm
Quoting nastynatty
{quote} Indeed, it looks like we may be headed south before too long. We've seen the 15 day over the 50 day for all of November but it's starting to look like it might cross. I may start keeping an eye on that thing after we get out of this crazy week.
Yup, watching CHART right now?
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #269
  • Dec 6, 2019 4:28am Dec 6, 2019 4:28am
06/19/12


XBRUSD
Brent Oil

Been a bit of a quite a week on my end....
Price is back above the 200 and both the entry line and signal line are traded higher... A bit of overhead resistance at the moment but all in all price still capped inside a range on the longer timeframes

Levels of interest today

65.60
65.22
64.63
64.07
62.79


Green Pips
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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4&1 All Time Profit: $37,496
  • #270
  • Dec 6, 2019 4:30am Dec 6, 2019 4:30am
Quoting nastynatty
{quote} Encountered some resistance this afternoon to end the day down. Inventory tomorrow should provide a spike and then we will see where we are headed.
I had actually bought into it on Monday when i saw the divergence setup but price dipped on me before rallying further....thatt trade alone smacked the equity abit but it was counter system rules.......
4&1 All Time Profit: $37,496
  • #271
  • Dec 6, 2019 12:19pm Dec 6, 2019 12:19pm
Quoting MzansiObi
{quote} I had actually bought into it on Monday when i saw the divergence setup but price dipped on me before rallying further....thatt trade alone smacked the equity abit but it was counter system rules.......
Looks like this week will just be a wash with all the goings-on. I took no position as the market didn't seem to have its mind made up. Maybe next week something will form!
  • #272
  • Dec 6, 2019 2:41pm Dec 6, 2019 2:41pm
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} Yup, watching CHART right now?
Crazy opportunities but one would have to pull-out in time.. otherwise it would be stopped or locked or just rode the rollercoaster thirsty: )
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #273
  • Dec 9, 2019 1:09am Dec 9, 2019 1:09am
09/12/19


XBRUSD

Brent Oil

Following the break out of price above the 200, both our leading line and entry line managed to stay abve it and rally higher.....So far, price has bounced off of the entry line once , although we had a gap lower, price is yet to tag the entry line again, so long as all conditions are met, IE, entry line and Leading line above the 200 and price doesn't make a lower daily low and or close below the 200, Oil remains a good buy on the intra day.......


Levels of interest for today
66.77
66.12
65.92
64.56
63.36
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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4&1 All Time Profit: $37,496
  • #274
  • Dec 9, 2019 1:12am Dec 9, 2019 1:12am
Quoting nastynatty
{quote} Looks like this week will just be a wash with all the goings-on. I took no position as the market didn't seem to have its mind made up. Maybe next week something will form!
Its actually been bearish to the medium terms, but hasnt given an opportunity to get in on the short action, been drifting sideways along that support handle for some time.... Thinking this gap down may give some opportunity for a quick false spike up to get in short for the day...
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: XNGUSDH1_LI.jpg Size: 712 KB
4&1 All Time Profit: $37,496
  • #275
  • Dec 9, 2019 1:25am Dec 9, 2019 1:25am
09/12/19



Crude Oil

WTI

Similar to brent oil, we have broken higher and and stayed above the 200, price has also offered one bounce off of the entry line and since we have remained above it, will loook for price action to drift towards the entry line to look long,

Intra day levels of interest for today

60.96
60.45
60.03
58.20
57.62




Green Pips
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4&1 All Time Profit: $37,496
  • #276
  • Dec 9, 2019 10:07am Dec 9, 2019 10:07am
Update: managed to close both orders following the tag of the entry line for some profit.....opted not to trail and rather wait for another dip to produce itself as there is some bearish divergence creeping in....

on the sidelines again


trade safe
4&1 All Time Profit: $37,496
  • #277
  • Dec 9, 2019 12:33pm Dec 9, 2019 12:33pm
It's "crazy" man Today markets seems to be in the opposite to what I would bet on... meaning either correction or I'm not seeing something... Anyway, seems your TE would still provide a good hedge (at least) to my system, since your TE seems to PICK UP once my analysis seems to be in the stall/lagging
Anyway, would bet on the WTI going down, resuming SOUTH trend in a week the latest... Might even happen till the end of this week, but almost "for sure" in the next..
Or else, you know what.. flipping burgers
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #278
  • Dec 9, 2019 2:07pm Dec 9, 2019 2:07pm
Quoting auricforecas
It's "crazy" man Today markets seems to be in the opposite to what I would bet on... meaning either correction or I'm not seeing something... Anyway, seems your TE would still provide a good hedge (at least) to my system, since your TE seems to PICK UP once my analysis seems to be in the stall/lagging Anyway, would bet on the WTI going down, resuming SOUTH trend in a week the latest... Might even happen till the end of this week, but almost "for sure" in the next.. Or else, you know what.. flipping burgers
You may be correct in the medium term outlook, but the intra day setups are still pointing for a move to the upside for a bit...First upside hurdle is at 68.50(i)...and a look at the daily showing a series of higher highs.....there is a bit of a bear flag on the setup but the general direction showing some decent upside potential.... for me the question becomes will we retest that daily 200 handle before challenging the 68.5 handle or vice versa.....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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4&1 All Time Profit: $37,496
  • #279
  • Dec 9, 2019 2:11pm Dec 9, 2019 2:11pm
Quoting MzansiObi
{quote} You may be correct in the medium term outlook, but the intra day setups are still pointing for a move to the upside for a bit...First upside hurdle is at 68.50(i)...and a look at the daily showing a series of higher highs.....there is a bit of a bear flag on the setup but the general direction showing some decent upside potential.... for me the question becomes will we retest that daily 200 handle before challenging the 68.5 handle or vice versa..... {image}
Well yeah, I must say that AFTER this week, seasonality would be in your favour since from MID dec till the end of year, UP was expected so far But nevertheless... will still try to catch "mini" SHORTS even if overall might be heading up I am not in a BUY/SELL and HOLD trading atm.. or "mutual fund" game.. Much prefer HF style atm... Coming and going So will stick to SHORT for this week at least, then will re-check how this overlap with seasonality and other parameters
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #280
  • Dec 9, 2019 10:17pm Dec 9, 2019 10:17pm
10/12/19


XTIUSD
Crude Oil

Second bounce off of the entry line to the upside following the break above the 200. although price is yet to make a higher high, all conditions remain intact and favorable for another move higher, as such will look to place another buy order looking for a thrid bounce higher off of the entry line with stops below previous daily low and the 200 handle.....


Levels of Interest for today
60.28
59.77
59.32
58.59
57.46


Green pips
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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4&1 All Time Profit: $37,496
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