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Energetic H1 Strategy (Crude/Brent/Gas)

  • #201
  • Nov 4, 2019 3:50pm Nov 4, 2019 3:50pm
Quoting MzansiObi
04/11/19 Natural Gas..... The leading line is back above the entry line despite it having dipped below it, Thursday Long Signal was valid despite the stops below the previous daily low being taken out, but price not dipping below the 200 line. The weekly open had a gap to the topside, so will continue looking for further dips.... Level of interest 2.7294 2.6588 2.6107 2.5243 2.4958 Trade Safe {image}
Pretty steady so far nearly at the end of the first trading day of the week. Let's see what the week holds for us...
  • #202
  • Nov 5, 2019 5:33am Nov 5, 2019 5:33am
05/11/19


XBRUSD

Price has been finding Support around the leading line(Blue) and using that to further rally, as such will consider entering near the leading line shoulde we get an hourly close above it on the retest of the area, with reduced lot size due to the wider stop, if an hourly closes below it, will wait to enter near the entry line(Green) and placing stops slightly below the 200 as per usual.

Levels of interest ahead of the NY Session
64.1
63.61
63.06
62.44
61.56

(i) Consolidation level near leading line
(ii) Cross confirming bullish sentiment
(iii) Original Entry Line.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: XBRUSDH1_LI (2).jpg Size: 774 KB
4&1 All Time Profit: $37,496
  • #203
  • Nov 5, 2019 5:49am Nov 5, 2019 5:49am
Quoting nastynatty
{quote} Pretty steady so far nearly at the end of the first trading day of the week. Let's see what the week holds for us...
Just looking at the daily, yearly high is the next challenge, will try and wait for Dips to get long....the break of the 200 EMA on the daily charg is quite significant now because it also exposed the break out above the right shoulder for the HnS pattern and as such the head got broken , invalidating the cross......Similar to the oil crosses, its been catching a bid near the leading line as per system rules, but given the spread will look to buy from the entry and exercise some patience with it
4&1 All Time Profit: $37,496
  • #204
  • Nov 5, 2019 6:26am Nov 5, 2019 6:26am
05/11/19

XTIUSD

Price is still in bullish territory andhas been consolidating near the leading line and using it as support, will wait for a retest of the entry line on the H1 and look for the first H1 hourly close to close above it to load long, failing which will look at price completing the prospective HnS pattern that its been carving out....


Entry Line sits at 56.18........

Levels of interest
58.13
57.72
57.31
56.58
55.49
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: XTIUSDH1_LI.jpg Size: 772 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: XTIUSDH1HnS_LI.jpg Size: 784 KB
4&1 All Time Profit: $37,496
  • #205
  • Nov 5, 2019 4:08pm Nov 5, 2019 4:08pm
Quoting MzansiObi
{quote} Just looking at the daily, yearly high is the next challenge, will try and wait for Dips to get long....the break of the 200 EMA on the daily charg is quite significant now because it also exposed the break out above the right shoulder for the HnS pattern and as such the head got broken , invalidating the cross......Similar to the oil crosses, its been catching a bid near the leading line as per system rules, but given the spread will look to buy from the entry and exercise some patience with it
Good thing patience is my middle name
  • #206
  • Nov 5, 2019 7:13pm Nov 5, 2019 7:13pm
Quoting nastynatty
{quote} Good thing patience is my middle name
Lol have been a fair bit patient with it and just trying to time my entries on it now.


I am still tracking its numbers in terms of intra day levels,but since breaking out its just parked up there...there is another trader(Demontrade) pulled data from 2000 and its showing a 61% rally rate in natural gas every november since then, so may be worthwile to track price and try and find a decent entry position on it....
Have attached the image for interest sake, credit to Demontrade for the image
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1Stats_LI.jpg Size: 961 KB
4&1 All Time Profit: $37,496
  • #207
  • Nov 5, 2019 8:22pm Nov 5, 2019 8:22pm
06/11/19

XNGUSD
Natural Gas

Still in bullish territory with prices hovering above the 200 and also the entry line....seems to be some bearish divergence on the H1 and H4 and price has dipped below our leading line for the second time this week, as such will wait it out and try and get a buy dip in place to go long

Key Levels of natural Gas for the day ahead...

2.8010
2.7730
2.7201
2.7399
2.6616

Trade Safe
4&1 All Time Profit: $37,496
  • #208
  • Nov 6, 2019 1:28am Nov 6, 2019 1:28am
06/11/19

XTIUSD
Crude Oil

Price still above the 200 and hovering around the leading line, still waiting on price to dip towards the entry line.

Intra day levels of interest

58.48
58.16
57.66
56.70
55.63

Green Pips
4&1 All Time Profit: $37,496
  • #209
  • Nov 6, 2019 2:08am Nov 6, 2019 2:08am
06/11/19

XBRUSD
Brent Oil

Price has remained below the leading line since the open and seems poised to give us an entry near our entry line, As such, will remain patient and watch PA near the handle.

Levels of interest
64.58
64.18
63.06
62.94
61.46




Green Pips
4&1 All Time Profit: $37,496
  • #210
  • Nov 6, 2019 7:37am Nov 6, 2019 7:37am
Quoting MzansiObi
06/11/19 XBRUSD Brent Oil Price has remained below the leading line since the open and seems poised to give us an entry near our entry line, As such, will remain patient and watch PA near the handle. Levels of interest 64.58 64.18 63.06 62.94 61.46 Green Pips
Long 62.67SL just below 200...Trade Safe
4&1 All Time Profit: $37,496
  • #211
  • Nov 6, 2019 8:18am Nov 6, 2019 8:18am
Quoting MzansiObi
{quote} Long 62.67SL just below 200...Trade Safe
Closing 50% stops at entry....
4&1 All Time Profit: $37,496
  • #212
  • Nov 6, 2019 1:29pm Nov 6, 2019 1:29pm
Quoting MzansiObi
06/11/19 XNGUSD Natural Gas Still in bullish territory with prices hovering above the 200 and also the entry line....seems to be some bearish divergence on the H1 and H4 and price has dipped below our leading line for the second time this week, as such will wait it out and try and get a buy dip in place to go long Key Levels of natural Gas for the day ahead... 2.8010 2.7730 2.7201 2.7399 2.6616 Trade Safe
Natural Gas made some bounces off of the entry line shortly after the NY open, its currently testing it again and an hourly close bellow the handle will have me wait it out to look for another long bounce off of it
4&1 All Time Profit: $37,496
  • #213
  • Nov 6, 2019 1:59pm Nov 6, 2019 1:59pm
Quoting MzansiObi
{quote} Natural Gas made some bounces off of the entry line shortly after the NY open, its currently testing it again and an hourly close bellow the handle will have me wait it out to look for another long bounce off of it
Definitely. I'll be buying more XNG when the 15 hits the 50. I went long yesterday for other reasons, but if the conditions for Energetic are hit I'll be with you.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 36 KB
  • #214
  • Nov 6, 2019 3:28pm Nov 6, 2019 3:28pm
Quoting MzansiObi
{quote} Lol have been a fair bit patient with it and just trying to time my entries on it now. I am still tracking its numbers in terms of intra day levels,but since breaking out its just parked up there...there is another trader(Demontrade) pulled data from 2000 and its showing a 61% rally rate in natural gas every november since then, so may be worthwile to track price and try and find a decent entry position on it.... Have attached the image for interest sake, credit to Demontrade for the image {image}
That is some great analysis! Props to you and Demontrade. So much for weather seasonality being priced in already

NG still down on the day but will be interesting to see what EIA data holds for us tomorrow. I am sitting on the bench for now.
  • #215
  • Nov 6, 2019 10:11pm Nov 6, 2019 10:11pm
Quoting vpn
{quote} Definitely. I'll be buying more XNG when the 15 hits the 50. I went long yesterday for other reasons, but if the conditions for Energetic are hit I'll be with you. {image}
The leading line is dipping towards our entry line and we have had some hourly closes below it.....still in bullish territory as such will wait for an hourly close above our entry line to look for a cheeky long on this one
4&1 All Time Profit: $37,496
  • #216
  • Nov 7, 2019 12:28am Nov 7, 2019 12:28am
7/11/19


Oil

Both Brent and crude oil have retraced and price has dipped below both our signal line and entry line, however, as price is still above the 200, we remain in bullish territory...the idea now becomes to wait for an hourly close above the entry and signal to load another set of longs .



XBRUSD
Brent Oil
Levels of interest for today

64.69
64.28
63.18
62.59
60.93


Entry line sits at 62.35


XTIUSD

Crude oil
Levels of Interest
58.89
58.47
57.41
56.96
55.08


Entry line sits at 56.55


Green pips
4&1 All Time Profit: $37,496
  • #217
  • Nov 7, 2019 3:11pm Nov 7, 2019 3:11pm
Natgas: 15 day is still above the 50 day so it seems like a long position might be favored here. These two bearish daily candles suggest differently to me though. Will keep watching intently!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 35 KB
  • #218
  • Nov 8, 2019 12:52pm Nov 8, 2019 12:52pm
Hm.. checked your initial post and TE.. and it seems (still not a large sample to make some bigger conclusion) that it works best for XBR/USD so maybe adding another TE to this thread, just for XBR/USD? Because now the others are also diminishing overall returns of this XBR... Specially XNG/USD sinked the chart... Just a suggestion maybe, for people to get more clear picture immediately after entering the thread... I also love the work you keep doing because some threads die too quickly, much to thread openers lack of interest, so I love (A)LIVE threads...

For the trading part... will be tracking this TE... Done any detailed backtesting with certain permutations of TP/SL etc? since those can change everything...
Some stat would be nice maybe or summaries now and then, for newcomers
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #219
  • Nov 11, 2019 3:19pm Nov 11, 2019 3:19pm
Natgas seems like it's heading for another cross on the 15, 50 ratio. I think after we settle in to this week we will see another cross though I don't see a whole lot of room to short from here.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 40 KB
  • #220
  • Nov 12, 2019 3:15pm Nov 12, 2019 3:15pm
Quoting nastynatty
Natgas seems like it's heading for another cross on the 15, 50 ratio. I think after we settle in to this week we will see another cross though I don't see a whole lot of room to short from here. {image}
Well I definitely wait for this week to settle down... I do not take markets too seriously until this consolidation (in main markets) is over... Also, do you count the season in? http://m.futuresmag.com/sites/defaul...46.22%20PM.png
(http://m.futuresmag.com/2018/05/13/s...ay-natural-gas)
Can you afford to take that chance?
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