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  • #105,521
  • Sep 30, 2019 1:37am Sep 30, 2019 1:37am
Quoting JackJones
looking good for another cut.. a no-cut upside surprise could save you Oc6oph (if that is your real name).. bets on! i'll probably stay out of it until the decision {image}
I agree that the best strategy for now is to stay out of AUD until it clears out which way it intends to move through. Too much uncertainty, both in terms of technical and fundamental.
  • #105,522
  • Oct 1, 2019 5:53am Oct 1, 2019 5:53am
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  • #105,523
  • Oct 1, 2019 7:28am Oct 1, 2019 7:28am
Quoting Goles
{quote} I agree that the best strategy for now is to stay out of AUD until it clears out which way it intends to move through. Too much uncertainty, both in terms of technical and fundamental.
now watch us inflate the housing market along with this countries already massive private debt!! popcorn please.
grist for the mill
  • #105,524
  • Oct 1, 2019 7:09pm Oct 1, 2019 7:09pm
Very fast drop on the AUDUSD, but the 0.6676 zone acts again as support. The price pulls back above the 0.6700 level, but the bearish trend is still in place.
  • #105,525
  • Oct 1, 2019 8:54pm Oct 1, 2019 8:54pm
Quoting JackJones
{quote} now watch us inflate the housing market along with this countries already massive private debt!! popcorn please.
unfortunately non of my sell limits were hit before the downward movement. But what your saying is completely true. now is the time to make profit in the Australia's housing market. although i think that the aud/usd can give a very short term buying opportunity for .6740.
  • #105,526
  • Oct 5, 2019 6:21am Oct 5, 2019 6:21am
AUD/USD: Above 0.6776/84 Needed To Mark A N-Term Base - Credit Suisse

Credit Suisse discusses AUD/USD technical outlook and maintains a bearish bias pending a close back above 0.6776/84.

"Big picture, below the .6677 low for the year is expected in due course to resolve the range to the downside for a resumption of the core bear trend with little in the way of meaningful support not seen until the potential uptrend from the 2001 low, currently at .6552. Big picture, we see more important starting at the .6249 low of 2009 and stretching down to .6009, the 2008 low," CS notes.
"Above .6776/84 is needed to mark a near -term base, with resistance then at .6806 initially," CS adds.
  • #105,527
  • Oct 5, 2019 2:58pm Oct 5, 2019 2:58pm
big dump soon, probably will roll over next week.

This is H4 price chart.
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  • #105,528
  • Oct 5, 2019 3:03pm Oct 5, 2019 3:03pm
next week US/China trade deal negotiations and I don't expect anything good on that front.
Trump's admin indicated more than couple of time already that they are in no rush to strike any deal with China.
Any real progress/deal will be postponed until elections next year, make no mistake about it.

Antipods (AU and NU) will suffer a lot of pain next few months.
  • #105,529
  • Oct 5, 2019 3:17pm Oct 5, 2019 3:17pm
https://www.fxstreet.com/analysis/rb...w-201910010600

looks like this article is right, bearish bias is invalidated
  • #105,530
  • Oct 6, 2019 2:42am Oct 6, 2019 2:42am
get ready for a new dump soon and fresh yearly lows.
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  • #105,531
  • Oct 6, 2019 6:32am Oct 6, 2019 6:32am
think i'll be selling spikes early in the week and anything under 6750 down to 6720 seems cheap as it might get another leg up
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grist for the mill
  • #105,532
  • Oct 6, 2019 1:44pm Oct 6, 2019 1:44pm
Maybe headed to 6950
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ex nihilo
  • #105,533
  • Oct 6, 2019 5:24pm Oct 6, 2019 5:24pm
audusd gap fill still pending it will be a nice setup for short selling, target is 6720//6740.
entry near gap zone (65-70).
  • #105,534
  • Edited 9:17pm Oct 6, 2019 6:37pm | Edited 9:17pm
Was thinking it might gap but woke up late, best i could get was long 6759 target 6780 then will look to sell If it goes for 6790.

** long out at +1 - got short at 6765 though so target is the vol lows
grist for the mill
  • #105,535
  • Oct 7, 2019 2:24am Oct 7, 2019 2:24am
sequence changes. 6740-6770. gap fill still pending. buy low and offload at the gap zone.
  • #105,536
  • Oct 7, 2019 4:28am Oct 7, 2019 4:28am
big dump, ugly outlook. target for bears 6640//6660. next few days.
  • #105,537
  • Oct 7, 2019 5:27am Oct 7, 2019 5:27am
Quoting JackJones
Was thinking it might gap but woke up late, best i could get was long 6759 target 6780 then will look to sell If it goes for 6790. ** long out at +1 - got short at 6765 though so target is the vol lows
closed short 6735 could get to 6725 but thinking it might go back to 6750 and another dump...
grist for the mill
  • #105,538
  • Oct 8, 2019 4:52pm Oct 8, 2019 4:52pm
Quoting asgcorp
big dump, ugly outlook. target for bears 6640//6660. next few days.
could be bullish flag? so many shorts showing cot report..same like usd cad, thought it looks weird that its not falling for so long,and on 1D chart looked like flag...now gbpusd done flag, usdjpy also look weird, 3candels down strong, and now 50 fib capped, same like aud usd, stop on 50fib retracement. what do you think?
  • #105,539
  • Oct 9, 2019 1:24pm Oct 9, 2019 1:24pm
Just spotted this and entered buy already. Very promising UP move in the next 2-3 days. AUDNZD also going UP; so confirms expectations here.

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  • #105,540
  • Oct 9, 2019 4:38pm Oct 9, 2019 4:38pm
Quoting rosspetX
Just spotted this and entered buy already. Very promising UP move in the next 2-3 days. AUDNZD also going UP; so confirms expectations here. {image}
I certainly hope you are correct as I have the same play.
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